Home |
Search |
Today's Posts |
![]() |
|
alt.talk.weather (General Weather Talk) (alt.talk.weather) A general forum for discussion of the weather. |
Reply |
|
LinkBack | Thread Tools | Display Modes |
#31
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
On Sat, 08 Nov 2003 20:56:09 GMT, Gunner
wrote: On Sat, 08 Nov 2003 20:27:13 GMT, Sue wrote: On Sat, 08 Nov 2003 19:40:31 GMT, Gunner wrote: On Sat, 08 Nov 2003 12:01:41 -0500, Rex Tincher wrote: On Sat, 08 Nov 2003 12:27:19 GMT, "Bob Harrington" wrote: Strider wrote: snip It seems like there is an excess of methane floating about. Sorry about that. Ran out of Beano... Anybody got videotapes of the classic "Cecil and Beano" cartoons? Cecile and Beany. Cecile? I always thought he was a male seasick sea serpent. G Sue YAY!! Thats the one! Good girl! Gunner, gonna be 50, Tuesday...sigh.... showing his age. Pish. You're young yet. There are a few of us here who would love to be 50 again. Sue |
#32
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
On Sat, 08 Nov 2003 05:40:00 +0000, Strider wrote:
On Sat, 08 Nov 2003 01:53:22 GMT, GuidoXVI wrote: On Fri, 07 Nov 2003 22:27:05 +0000, Strider wrote: That is my point. There is not enough proven data to justify large social changes. Political arguments are rarely, if ever about anything more than political power. Therefore they cannot be proven mathematically. Were there enough verifialbe facts ( A causes B and C will most likely fix it) there would be little argument. There is no doubt among scientists that increased CO2 in the atmosphere can cause a greenhouse effect. What's not clear is how big an effect it can have, or how soon. What is clear is that if we do nothing, the world will be warmer, and the seas higher, than if we don't, at least for the next few centuries. Frankly, I'm willing to let the next millennium take care of itself for the moment. What facts are available fairly well proves that the climate is warming up, at least over the last 150 years. The reasons for this warming are theory. Therefore, any fix might theoretically work. The question, then, is will this fix do the job or will it make the situation worse? See above. The more accurate models of the atmosphere have a close correlation with the data. That's the best anyone can do. "Theory" isn't synonymous with "unproven", it means "an explanation". Theories aren't proved, they can only be disproved. The greenhouse gas theory's been around for some time, and it has yet to be disproved. Nova did a story not too long ago about measuring the Antarctic ice cap. Take a look on the PBS website. That's a start, at least. You can also do a Google search, or read books on biology, physics, and climatology. All that boring stuff. Nova just repeats the researcher's theories, presented as fact BTW, and usually without bothering to let the viewer know that it's a theror. That's because Nova's audience is mostly smart enough to tell the difference between facts gathered and conclusions based on fact. When there is little disagreement on the basics of a theory, scientists tend to talk about it as fact. It's certainly not a habit peculiar to scientists. People in my business do the same thing all the time, even though most of us have never even seen an electron. Circuits just become more understandable if you imagine electrons (and holes) exist. For that matter, priests talk that way about their favorite subject with a whole lot less reason. None of this is shown to be caused by humans. In fact, it can pretty well be shown to have happened in the past, long before people could have had a role. You no doubt believe that smoking has never been proved to cause cancer. The mechanisms for CO2 production and distribution in the atmosphere are well understood. Some of them have human causes. No natural process creates CFCs in any quantity worth mentioning. These are works of man. (Straw argument, cancer, noted) Actually not. It's an analogy. There was clinical, experimental, and statistical data to indicate that smoking caused cancer. Many people still chose not to believe it, because their freedom to fill their (and our) lungs with noxious gases was being threatened. The excuses were similar - 'correlation doesn't prove causality', 'mice are getting cancer, so what?', and, my personal favorite 'my aunt is 102 years old, and she smokes like a chimney, drinks a fifth of scotch a week, and has unprotected sex every day'. Correlation doesn't prove causality, laboratory experiments were mostly done with lower mammals, and there probably is someone who has an aunt who's 102 years old and smokes like a chimney. The fact remains, however, that the "theory" that smoking causes cancer fits the facts known, and is not contradicted by any. This is also true with the theory of the effect of greenhouse gases on our atmosphere. Your assumption that the greenhouse theory of global warming is man made. I'd give you this one except that global warming and cooling have happened many, many times in the past quite without the help of humanity. I don't think they quite have a handle on those reasons as of yet. You misread my statement. Added CO2 pollution and CFCs are works of man. They are known to cause at least some of the current warming trend, at least over those last 150 or so years you mention. Reducing or eliminating them will at least make the problem less severe. As I said before, there is at least some evidence that the world was in a warming trend anyway, for at least the last 10,000 years or so. That's why there's not a mile of ice on top of my house. There have been small variations in this trend, of course, one of which caused the concerns expressed in the article that started this thread. If it really turns out that we're headed for an ice age in the longer term, I'm not too worried. We've proved that we can create substantial amounts of greenhouse gases when we put our minds to it. Religion is about faithin something that cannot be proven. This is exactly what the eco movement is about., faith is the unproven. That there are people who take ecology as a religion is unfortunate, but it doesn't mean there's not a problem. No more than the existence of Jerry Falwell and Pat Robertson proves there's no god. Our debate is not about the existance of a problem. We agee the climate is getting warmer right now. the debate is about the validity of the theories on the reason. It's also about the nature of science, and whether a preponderance of evidence in a particular direction is enough to warrant a change in policy, or we should wait until there's a unified theory of atmospherics, or until the last crank and the last paid consultant are satisfied. It may already be too late, but I think it's time to get on with fixing it. |
#33
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]() |
#34
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]() "Rex Tincher" wrote in message ... On Thu, 06 Nov 2003 18:13:54 GMT, Strider wrote: On Thu, 6 Nov 2003 08:32:59 -0700, "John Doe" wrote: But I thought the earth was warming up? "Global warming". "The Greenhouse affect". thx. Let's see, back in the 1970's, the first Earth Day, global cooling was supposed to kill us all by 2000. Then in the 1980's it was global warming that's our bane. I get so confused, do I invest in more insulation or more sunscreen? Invest in bull**** repellent. In the 1970s the weather scientists got media attention and government grants by predicting a new ice age. That scam ran dry so then they started predicting global warming. Politicians and environmentalists love global warming because they can "cure" it by imposing billions of dollars in energy taxes and reducing our standard of living. Greed and envy are powerful human motivators, especially in people who believe that they are too noble to be subject to greed and envy. ... its social/economic engineering on a global scale with a vast forced redistribution of wealth - kind of a new modern dressedup version of communism. Joe Stalin would be very proud indeed. |
#35
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]() "Bob Harrington" wrote in message news:Uu5rb.106246$ao4.322077@attbi_s51... GuidoXVI wrote: On Fri, 07 Nov 2003 06:34:49 +0000, Bob Harrington wrote: It's 10 PM here - I've collected enough data over the past 6 hours to confirm that Global Darkening is a reality! We must become more enlightened! =) Collect data for another twelve hours or so, and I think a new theory will emerge. Science marches on! I've analyzed my data over several days now. While there is definite indication of a cyclic darkening/lightening, there is still an overall trend towards darkening. Disturbingly, data from the southern hemisphere shows exactly the reverse trend - the only reasonable explanation is a nefarious plot by Australia to steal our light! With heavy heart, I must conclude that we are on the dim side of a widening Lightness Gap! .... would nuking Oz solve the problem?? |
#36
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
Dudhorse wrote:
"Bob Harrington" wrote in message news:Uu5rb.106246$ao4.322077@attbi_s51... GuidoXVI wrote: On Fri, 07 Nov 2003 06:34:49 +0000, Bob Harrington wrote: It's 10 PM here - I've collected enough data over the past 6 hours to confirm that Global Darkening is a reality! We must become more enlightened! =) Collect data for another twelve hours or so, and I think a new theory will emerge. Science marches on! I've analyzed my data over several days now. While there is definite indication of a cyclic darkening/lightening, there is still an overall trend towards darkening. Disturbingly, data from the southern hemisphere shows exactly the reverse trend - the only reasonable explanation is a nefarious plot by Australia to steal our light! With heavy heart, I must conclude that we are on the dim side of a widening Lightness Gap! ... would nuking Oz solve the problem?? Totolly... |
#37
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
On 9 Nov 2003 04:45:35 GMT, (Frank White)
wrote: In article , says... On Sat, 08 Nov 2003 12:01:41 -0500, Rex Tincher wrote: On Sat, 08 Nov 2003 12:27:19 GMT, "Bob Harrington" wrote: Strider wrote: snip It seems like there is an excess of methane floating about. Sorry about that. Ran out of Beano... Anybody got videotapes of the classic "Cecil and Beano" cartoons? Cecile and Beany. Help Cecile Help! Coming Beany Boy! Ah..childhood... Gunner "R A G G M O P P Ragmop-mop-mop-mop-mop-mop-mop" And Cowabunga to you! G Sue ^_^ FW |
#38
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
On Sun, 09 Nov 2003 15:26:12 +0000, strabo wrote:
Falwell's and Robertson's beliefs don't cost Americans billions of dollars and dictate social interests. The cult of scientism does. Considering the size of their empires, I'd say that Falwell and Robertson have cost us billions of dollars. We've gotten considerably less for those billions from them than from the scientific research they've cost us. "The cult of scientism"? Did you think that little gem of pseudo-english up on your own, or did your dog upset a Scrabble game? |
#39
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
On Mon, 10 Nov 2003 19:20:33 +0000, GuidoXVI wrote:
"The cult of scientism"? Did you think that little gem of pseudo-english up on your own, or did your dog upset a Scrabble game? Oh, my goodness, it actually is a word: Main Entry: sci·en·tism Pronunciation: 'sI-&n-"ti-z&m Function: noun Date: 1877 1 : methods and attitudes typical of or attributed to the natural scientist 2 : an exaggerated trust in the efficacy of the methods of natural science applied to all areas of investigation (as in philosophy, the social sciences , and the humanities) [from Merriam-Webster online dictionary] Apparently, it was used at one time as a description for a real scientist, then perverted to mean something else. A lovely Orwellian turnabout. |
#40
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
On Tue, 11 Nov 2003 05:39:47 +0000, strabo wrote:
Now that you've figured how to use a dictionary, find out what real science entails. I've never yet seen "real science" properly defined by anti-science dimwits, nor am I likely to now. Someone who'd use a phrase like "cult of scientism" to describe someone who prefers trusting scientists who've spent their lives trying to understanding a subject using the best methods available as opposed to his, or someone elses, prejudices or fond wishes, is clearly someone whose opinion on any subject can't be trusted. |
Reply |
Thread Tools | Search this Thread |
Display Modes | |
|
|
![]() |
||||
Thread | Forum | |||
Does one cold winter mean that the Earth is cooling? | sci.geo.meteorology (Meteorology) | |||
Has the Earth been cooling? | sci.geo.meteorology (Meteorology) | |||
Earth is Not Cooling, according to Statisticians | sci.geo.meteorology (Meteorology) | |||
The Earth Has In Fact Been Cooling and the German Army has Never Been Defeated | sci.geo.meteorology (Meteorology) | |||
Lagrangian Pts not Earth's 1st AirConditioner Earth's 1stAirConditioner; coolant of IceDust + ozone replenishment | sci.geo.meteorology (Meteorology) |