In article , helpmeplz2008
@yahoo.com says...
On Thu, 31 Jan 2008 16:23:05 -0600, Harold Brooks
sayd the following:

The tornado/severe storm
distribution in the US is essentially defined by the presence of the
Gulf, as a moisture source, and the Rockies, as a source of mid-
tropospheric potential instability.

So since I'm really close to the gulf stream my chances are higher?

No. Most of the moisture between the mountains of the US comes from the
Gulf of Mexico.


Would moving north lesson my chances?

I cannot stand thunderstorms period. I wish to avoid them at all costs
but do not want to leave TN.

Given those constaints, get as far northeast in the state as you can.
It probably won't make a huge difference, but it'll be as much as you
can do.

Harold
--
Harold Brooks
NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory

Harold Brooks wrote:
In article , helpmeplz2008
@yahoo.com says...
On Thu, 31 Jan 2008 16:23:05 -0600, Harold Brooks
sayd the following:

The tornado/severe storm
distribution in the US is essentially defined by the presence of the
Gulf, as a moisture source, and the Rockies, as a source of mid-
tropospheric potential instability.
So since I'm really close to the gulf stream my chances are higher?

No. Most of the moisture between the mountains of the US comes from the
Gulf of Mexico.

Would moving north lesson my chances?

I cannot stand thunderstorms period. I wish to avoid them at all costs
but do not want to leave TN.

Given those constaints, get as far northeast in the state as you can.
It probably won't make a huge difference, but it'll be as much as you
can do.

Harold

I've had maybe 3 thunderstorms in 10 years. I am in a mountain river
valley 25 mile north of the Santa Monica bay, at ca. 1,800' AMSL. It's
just like Tennessee, minus the crackers.

On Tue, 05 Feb 2008 06:05:21 -0800, David sayd
the following:

I've had maybe 3 thunderstorms in 10 years. I am in a mountain river
valley 25 mile north of the Santa Monica bay, at ca. 1,800' AMSL. It's
just like Tennessee, minus the crackers.


3?

We've had at least 500 thunderstorms in the last 10 years. The ones
recorded in databases are only severe storms. But run of the mill
storms, it's in the hundreds here. IT SUCKS!

I'm needing an answer to this question.

Would I really decrease my chances of severe weather If I moved from
Chattanooga to Johnson city tennessee?

On Feb 5, 10:16*am, Crackles McFarly wrote:
On Tue, 05 Feb 2008 06:05:21 -0800, David sayd
the following:

I've had maybe 3 thunderstorms in 10 years. *I am in a mountain river
valley 25 mile north of the Santa Monica bay, at ca. 1,800' AMSL. *It's
just like Tennessee, minus the crackers.

3?

We've had at least 500 thunderstorms in the last 10 years. The ones
recorded in databases are only severe storms. But run of the mill
storms, it's in the hundreds here. IT SUCKS!

I'm needing an answer to this question.

Would I really decrease my chances of severe weather If I moved from
Chattanooga to Johnson city tennessee?

My guess is not significantly. Here's a site for you to check:
http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/hazard/hazardmap.html
You can click on the locations of places you're interested in
and see how the probabilities change for several diffierent
types of severe weather. I did it for the approximate locations
of Chattanooga and Johnson City for wind and it looks like
Johnson City has something like 0.1% lower maximum
probability for 1980-1999. I suspect similar small differences
will hold for other aspects of severe weather and even
thunderstorms in general. If you really want much less
chance of encountering such weather, it seems to me
that there is no choice but to move someplace with a
significantly different climate than Tennessee. Sorry the
news isn't better.

Cheers,
Russell

Crackles McFarly wrote:
On Tue, 05 Feb 2008 06:05:21 -0800, David sayd
the following:

I've had maybe 3 thunderstorms in 10 years. I am in a mountain river
valley 25 mile north of the Santa Monica bay, at ca. 1,800' AMSL. It's
just like Tennessee, minus the crackers.


3?

We've had at least 500 thunderstorms in the last 10 years. The ones
recorded in databases are only severe storms. But run of the mill
storms, it's in the hundreds here. IT SUCKS!

I'm needing an answer to this question.

Would I really decrease my chances of severe weather If I moved from
Chattanooga to Johnson city tennessee?



I used to be a radio engineer in SE Texas, I know t-storms.

On Tue, 5 Feb 2008 08:20:05 -0800 (PST), Russell
sayd the following:

On Feb 5, 10:16*am, Crackles McFarly wrote:
On Tue, 05 Feb 2008 06:05:21 -0800, David sayd
the following:

I've had maybe 3 thunderstorms in 10 years. *I am in a mountain river
valley 25 mile north of the Santa Monica bay, at ca. 1,800' AMSL. *It's
just like Tennessee, minus the crackers.

3?

We've had at least 500 thunderstorms in the last 10 years. The ones
recorded in databases are only severe storms. But run of the mill
storms, it's in the hundreds here. IT SUCKS!

I'm needing an answer to this question.

Would I really decrease my chances of severe weather If I moved from
Chattanooga to Johnson city tennessee?

My guess is not significantly. Here's a site for you to check:
http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/hazard/hazardmap.html
You can click on the locations of places you're interested in
and see how the probabilities change for several diffierent
types of severe weather. I did it for the approximate locations
of Chattanooga and Johnson City for wind and it looks like
Johnson City has something like 0.1% lower maximum
probability for 1980-1999. I suspect similar small differences
will hold for other aspects of severe weather and even
thunderstorms in general. If you really want much less
chance of encountering such weather, it seems to me
that there is no choice but to move someplace with a
significantly different climate than Tennessee. Sorry the
news isn't better.

Cheers,
Russell

UGH...
thanks though..