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#31
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Bill Ward wrote:
On Wed, 09 Apr 2008 13:12:25 -0700, Roger Coppock wrote: On Apr 9, 8:34*am, Bill Ward wrote: On Wed, 09 Apr 2008 07:04:24 -0700, matt_sykes wrote: On 9 Apr, 10:24, Roger Coppock wrote: On Apr 8, 8:01*pm, Poetic Justice -n- Dog.com wrote: Roger Coppock wrote: March ties for 3rd warmest on NASA's 129-year record. Why is NASA the official keeper of the temperature? NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies offers data, as do several other organizations. *I use NASA's data because GISS corrects for UHI using nighttime earth shine, artificial lighting, measured from satellites. IMHO, this method is better than using census data to locate urban areas. That is a feeble way to adjust for UHI. The ONLY way to adjust for UHI is to put a station in a rural area near to the urban station to act as a control *(being a sicnetist you wold know this of course). Mind you, one you have done that you might as well ignore the urban station data since rural data is true surface temp. And what happens when you do that? *You get no warming trend. *RURAL STATIONS ACROSS THE GLOBE SHOW NO OVERALL TEMPERATURE TREND. Roger can't comprehend that bad data is worse than no data. *Unless you're trying to scare people, of course. If you have better data, or a method for UHI correction, you are more than welcome to present them here. Until then the data presented above are a better indication of reality than your fantasies. Fantasies aren't science, whether they're mine or NASA's. That's the problem with trying to "correct" bad data. If it's bad, it can't be used - it's a fantasy based on invalid assumptions. Averaging bad data with with good data hides the problem, but doesn't fix it. It is even worse than that. I suspect there is an analogy with wine making. I knew of a winemaker who had a small amount of wine made from under ripe grapes. He blended it (10%) with some good wine 90%). That small amount ruined the whole lot. A "Little BAD Goes a LONG ways". I suspect the same is true of data. A little bad or incorrect can have effects that are way beyond suspected results. |
#32
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Roger Coppock wrote:
On Apr 9, 4:51*pm, Bill Ward wrote: Fantasies aren't science, whether they're mine or NASA's. *That's the problem with trying to "correct" bad data. *If it's bad, it can't be used - it's a fantasy based on invalid assumptions. *Averaging bad data with with good data hides the problem, but doesn't fix it. So, show us how is should be done. Show us your better data. If you have better data, or a method for UHI correction, you are more than welcome to present them here. *Until then the data presented above are a better indication of reality than your fantasies. Roger's "Science Protocol": Throw a lot of **** at the wall and see what sticks. |
#33
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![]() "Paul E. Lehmann" wrote in message ... Roger Coppock wrote: On Apr 9, 4:51 pm, Bill Ward wrote: Fantasies aren't science, whether they're mine or NASA's. That's the problem with trying to "correct" bad data. If it's bad, it can't be used - it's a fantasy based on invalid assumptions. Averaging bad data with with good data hides the problem, but doesn't fix it. So, show us how is should be done. Show us your better data. If you have better data, or a method for UHI correction, you are more than welcome to present them here. Until then the data presented above are a better indication of reality than your fantasies. Roger's "Science Protocol": Throw a lot of **** at the wall and see what sticks. Yes. Roger loves the arcane. |
#34
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![]() "Robert Blass" wrote The world is ending....YAWN Ending for some species, yes. And the more that will die out the more likely it will be that you will be found hanging from a tree by the rope. |
#35
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On Apr 10, 1:43 pm, "Paul E. Lehmann" wrote:
Bill Ward wrote: On Wed, 09 Apr 2008 13:12:25 -0700, Roger Coppock wrote: On Apr 9, 8:34 am, Bill Ward wrote: On Wed, 09 Apr 2008 07:04:24 -0700, matt_sykes wrote: On 9 Apr, 10:24, Roger Coppock wrote: On Apr 8, 8:01 pm, Poetic Justice -n- Dog.com wrote: Roger Coppock wrote: March ties for 3rd warmest on NASA's 129-year record. Why is NASA the official keeper of the temperature? NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies offers data, as do several other organizations. I use NASA's data because GISS corrects for UHI using nighttime earth shine, artificial lighting, measured from satellites. IMHO, this method is better than using census data to locate urban areas. That is a feeble way to adjust for UHI. The ONLY way to adjust for UHI is to put a station in a rural area near to the urban station to act as a control (being a sicnetist you wold know this of course). Mind you, one you have done that you might as well ignore the urban station data since rural data is true surface temp. And what happens when you do that? You get no warming trend. RURAL STATIONS ACROSS THE GLOBE SHOW NO OVERALL TEMPERATURE TREND. Roger can't comprehend that bad data is worse than no data. Unless you're trying to scare people, of course. If you have better data, or a method for UHI correction, you are more than welcome to present them here. Until then the data presented above are a better indication of reality than your fantasies. Fantasies aren't science, whether they're mine or NASA's. That's the problem with trying to "correct" bad data. If it's bad, it can't be used - it's a fantasy based on invalid assumptions. Averaging bad data with with good data hides the problem, but doesn't fix it. It is even worse than that. I suspect there is an analogy with wine making. I knew of a winemaker who had a small amount of wine made from under ripe grapes. He blended it (10%) with some good wine 90%). That small amount ruined the whole lot. A "Little BAD Goes a LONG ways". I suspect the same is true of data. A little bad or incorrect can have effects that are way beyond suspected results. Such are the musings of a statistical illiterate. In actual practice, the way to avoid problems from extraneous or erroneous data (ie. bad) is to swamp it by using large sample sizes. If you measure the height of 100 men taken at random, the mean height will be virtually unchanged should one or two of them be giants or dwarves. This is what happens in practice with temperature data. Very large sample size ensures that the famous UHIs will have little effect on the calculated global means. |
#36
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John M. wrote:
On Apr 10, 1:43 pm, "Paul E. Lehmann" wrote: Bill Ward wrote: On Wed, 09 Apr 2008 13:12:25 -0700, Roger Coppock wrote: On Apr 9, 8:34 am, Bill Ward wrote: On Wed, 09 Apr 2008 07:04:24 -0700, matt_sykes wrote: On 9 Apr, 10:24, Roger Coppock wrote: On Apr 8, 8:01 pm, Poetic Justice -n- Dog.com wrote: Roger Coppock wrote: March ties for 3rd warmest on NASA's 129-year record. Why is NASA the official keeper of the temperature? NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies offers data, as do several other organizations. I use NASA's data because GISS corrects for UHI using nighttime earth shine, artificial lighting, measured from satellites. IMHO, this method is better than using census data to locate urban areas. That is a feeble way to adjust for UHI. The ONLY way to adjust for UHI is to put a station in a rural area near to the urban station to act as a control (being a sicnetist you wold know this of course). Mind you, one you have done that you might as well ignore the urban station data since rural data is true surface temp. And what happens when you do that? You get no warming trend. RURAL STATIONS ACROSS THE GLOBE SHOW NO OVERALL TEMPERATURE TREND. Roger can't comprehend that bad data is worse than no data. Unless you're trying to scare people, of course. If you have better data, or a method for UHI correction, you are more than welcome to present them here. Until then the data presented above are a better indication of reality than your fantasies. Fantasies aren't science, whether they're mine or NASA's. That's the problem with trying to "correct" bad data. If it's bad, it can't be used - it's a fantasy based on invalid assumptions. Averaging bad data with with good data hides the problem, but doesn't fix it. It is even worse than that. I suspect there is an analogy with wine making. I knew of a winemaker who had a small amount of wine made from under ripe grapes. He blended it (10%) with some good wine 90%). That small amount ruined the whole lot. A "Little BAD Goes a LONG ways". I suspect the same is true of data. A little bad or incorrect can have effects that are way beyond suspected results. Such are the musings of a statistical illiterate. In actual practice, the way to avoid problems from extraneous or erroneous data (ie. bad) is to swamp it by using large sample sizes. If you measure the height of 100 men taken at random, the mean height will be virtually unchanged should one or two of them be giants or dwarves. This is what happens in practice with temperature data. Very large sample size ensures that the famous UHIs will have little effect on the calculated global means. made a lot of money in the stock market, have you? |
#37
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On Apr 10, 8:20 pm, "Paul E. Lehmann" wrote:
John M. wrote: On Apr 10, 1:43 pm, "Paul E. Lehmann" wrote: Bill Ward wrote: On Wed, 09 Apr 2008 13:12:25 -0700, Roger Coppock wrote: On Apr 9, 8:34 am, Bill Ward wrote: On Wed, 09 Apr 2008 07:04:24 -0700, matt_sykes wrote: On 9 Apr, 10:24, Roger Coppock wrote: On Apr 8, 8:01 pm, Poetic Justice -n- Dog.com wrote: Roger Coppock wrote: March ties for 3rd warmest on NASA's 129-year record. Why is NASA the official keeper of the temperature? NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies offers data, as do several other organizations. I use NASA's data because GISS corrects for UHI using nighttime earth shine, artificial lighting, measured from satellites. IMHO, this method is better than using census data to locate urban areas. That is a feeble way to adjust for UHI. The ONLY way to adjust for UHI is to put a station in a rural area near to the urban station to act as a control (being a sicnetist you wold know this of course). Mind you, one you have done that you might as well ignore the urban station data since rural data is true surface temp. And what happens when you do that? You get no warming trend. RURAL STATIONS ACROSS THE GLOBE SHOW NO OVERALL TEMPERATURE TREND. Roger can't comprehend that bad data is worse than no data. Unless you're trying to scare people, of course. If you have better data, or a method for UHI correction, you are more than welcome to present them here. Until then the data presented above are a better indication of reality than your fantasies. Fantasies aren't science, whether they're mine or NASA's. That's the problem with trying to "correct" bad data. If it's bad, it can't be used - it's a fantasy based on invalid assumptions. Averaging bad data with with good data hides the problem, but doesn't fix it. It is even worse than that. I suspect there is an analogy with wine making. I knew of a winemaker who had a small amount of wine made from under ripe grapes. He blended it (10%) with some good wine 90%). That small amount ruined the whole lot. A "Little BAD Goes a LONG ways". I suspect the same is true of data. A little bad or incorrect can have effects that are way beyond suspected results. Such are the musings of a statistical illiterate. In actual practice, the way to avoid problems from extraneous or erroneous data (ie. bad) is to swamp it by using large sample sizes. If you measure the height of 100 men taken at random, the mean height will be virtually unchanged should one or two of them be giants or dwarves. This is what happens in practice with temperature data. Very large sample size ensures that the famous UHIs will have little effect on the calculated global means. made a lot of money in the stock market, have you? Why, yes, as matter of fact. It isn't particularly difficult to do. Why do you ask? |
#38
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On Thu, 10 Apr 2008 10:45:38 -0700, "V-for-Vendicar"
sayd the following: "Robert Blass" wrote The world is ending....YAWN Ending for some species, yes. And the more that will die out the more likely it will be that you will be found hanging from a tree by the rope. You're DRAMATIC about this so called "man made" warming. DRAMA is all your side has right now. You should go to acting school. |
#39
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John M. wrote:
On Apr 10, 8:20 pm, "Paul E. Lehmann" wrote: John M. wrote: On Apr 10, 1:43 pm, "Paul E. Lehmann" wrote: Bill Ward wrote: On Wed, 09 Apr 2008 13:12:25 -0700, Roger Coppock wrote: On Apr 9, 8:34 am, Bill Ward wrote: On Wed, 09 Apr 2008 07:04:24 -0700, matt_sykes wrote: On 9 Apr, 10:24, Roger Coppock wrote: On Apr 8, 8:01 pm, Poetic Justice -n- Dog.com wrote: Roger Coppock wrote: March ties for 3rd warmest on NASA's 129-year record. Why is NASA the official keeper of the temperature? NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies offers data, as do several other organizations. I use NASA's data because GISS corrects for UHI using nighttime earth shine, artificial lighting, measured from satellites. IMHO, this method is better than using census data to locate urban areas. That is a feeble way to adjust for UHI. The ONLY way to adjust for UHI is to put a station in a rural area near to the urban station to act as a control (being a sicnetist you wold know this of course). Mind you, one you have done that you might as well ignore the urban station data since rural data is true surface temp. And what happens when you do that? You get no warming trend. RURAL STATIONS ACROSS THE GLOBE SHOW NO OVERALL TEMPERATURE TREND. Roger can't comprehend that bad data is worse than no data. Unless you're trying to scare people, of course. If you have better data, or a method for UHI correction, you are more than welcome to present them here. Until then the data presented above are a better indication of reality than your fantasies. Fantasies aren't science, whether they're mine or NASA's. That's the problem with trying to "correct" bad data. If it's bad, it can't be used - it's a fantasy based on invalid assumptions. Averaging bad data with with good data hides the problem, but doesn't fix it. It is even worse than that. I suspect there is an analogy with wine making. I knew of a winemaker who had a small amount of wine made from under ripe grapes. He blended it (10%) with some good wine 90%). That small amount ruined the whole lot. A "Little BAD Goes a LONG ways". I suspect the same is true of data. A little bad or incorrect can have effects that are way beyond suspected results. Such are the musings of a statistical illiterate. In actual practice, the way to avoid problems from extraneous or erroneous data (ie. bad) is to swamp it by using large sample sizes. If you measure the height of 100 men taken at random, the mean height will be virtually unchanged should one or two of them be giants or dwarves. This is what happens in practice with temperature data. Very large sample size ensures that the famous UHIs will have little effect on the calculated global means. made a lot of money in the stock market, have you? Why, yes, as matter of fact. It isn't particularly difficult to do. Why do you ask? I believe I asked Roger but since you answered, congratulations. Did you use statistical analysis or was it blind luck or inside information? Of course a LOT depends on when to jump in and when to jump out, doesn't it. Do you use 30 years of data or merely daily or hourly? ![]() |
#40
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On Apr 10, 10:52 pm, "Paul E. Lehmann" wrote:
John M. wrote: On Apr 10, 8:20 pm, "Paul E. Lehmann" wrote: John M. wrote: On Apr 10, 1:43 pm, "Paul E. Lehmann" wrote: Bill Ward wrote: On Wed, 09 Apr 2008 13:12:25 -0700, Roger Coppock wrote: On Apr 9, 8:34 am, Bill Ward wrote: On Wed, 09 Apr 2008 07:04:24 -0700, matt_sykes wrote: On 9 Apr, 10:24, Roger Coppock wrote: On Apr 8, 8:01 pm, Poetic Justice -n- Dog.com wrote: Roger Coppock wrote: March ties for 3rd warmest on NASA's 129-year record. Why is NASA the official keeper of the temperature? NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies offers data, as do several other organizations. I use NASA's data because GISS corrects for UHI using nighttime earth shine, artificial lighting, measured from satellites. IMHO, this method is better than using census data to locate urban areas. That is a feeble way to adjust for UHI. The ONLY way to adjust for UHI is to put a station in a rural area near to the urban station to act as a control (being a sicnetist you wold know this of course). Mind you, one you have done that you might as well ignore the urban station data since rural data is true surface temp. And what happens when you do that? You get no warming trend. RURAL STATIONS ACROSS THE GLOBE SHOW NO OVERALL TEMPERATURE TREND. Roger can't comprehend that bad data is worse than no data. Unless you're trying to scare people, of course. If you have better data, or a method for UHI correction, you are more than welcome to present them here. Until then the data presented above are a better indication of reality than your fantasies. Fantasies aren't science, whether they're mine or NASA's. That's the problem with trying to "correct" bad data. If it's bad, it can't be used - it's a fantasy based on invalid assumptions. Averaging bad data with with good data hides the problem, but doesn't fix it. It is even worse than that. I suspect there is an analogy with wine making. I knew of a winemaker who had a small amount of wine made from under ripe grapes. He blended it (10%) with some good wine 90%). That small amount ruined the whole lot. A "Little BAD Goes a LONG ways". I suspect the same is true of data. A little bad or incorrect can have effects that are way beyond suspected results. Such are the musings of a statistical illiterate. In actual practice, the way to avoid problems from extraneous or erroneous data (ie. bad) is to swamp it by using large sample sizes. If you measure the height of 100 men taken at random, the mean height will be virtually unchanged should one or two of them be giants or dwarves. This is what happens in practice with temperature data. Very large sample size ensures that the famous UHIs will have little effect on the calculated global means. made a lot of money in the stock market, have you? Why, yes, as matter of fact. It isn't particularly difficult to do. Why do you ask? I believe I asked Roger Not unless he changed his pseudonym to John M. but since you answered, congratulations. Did you use statistical analysis or was it blind luck or inside information? Of course a LOT depends on when to jump in and when to jump out, doesn't it. Do you use 30 years of data or merely daily or hourly? ![]() I bought FTSE 100 stocks, buying in when I had spare cash and whenever a bear market was showing signs of bottoming (you can never get the bottom prices, of course, except by chance). Over the years I let the portfolio increase by not doing a lot of selling, and with the companies mostly growing in size the dividends increase year-on-year - as well as stock values. It's like any form of gambling wherever you have an edge e.g. Blackjack. Don't try to force the pace because the downs can wipe you out if you're incautious. Just now I'm quite relaxed about the paper losses of the last month, and I see most of it has crept back into my core holdings. |
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