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  #31   Report Post  
Old April 10th 08, 12:43 PM posted to alt.global-warming,sci.environment,sci.geo.meteorology
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Feb 2007
Posts: 68
Default March ties for 3rd warmest on NASA's 129-year record.

Bill Ward wrote:

On Wed, 09 Apr 2008 13:12:25 -0700, Roger
Coppock wrote:

On Apr 9, 8:34*am, Bill Ward
wrote:
On Wed, 09 Apr 2008 07:04:24 -0700, matt_sykes
wrote:
On 9 Apr, 10:24, Roger Coppock
wrote:
On Apr 8, 8:01*pm, Poetic Justice
-n-

Dog.com wrote:
Roger Coppock wrote:
March ties for 3rd warmest on NASA's
129-year record.

Why is NASA the official keeper of the
temperature?

NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies
offers data, as do several other
organizations. *I use NASA's data because
GISS corrects for UHI using nighttime earth
shine, artificial lighting, measured from
satellites. IMHO, this method is better
than using census data to locate urban
areas.

That is a feeble way to adjust for UHI.

The ONLY way to adjust for UHI is to put a
station in a rural area near to the urban
station to act as a control *(being a
sicnetist you wold know this of course).

Mind you, one you have done that you might
as well ignore the urban station data since
rural data is true surface temp.

And what happens when you do that? *You get
no warming trend. *RURAL STATIONS ACROSS THE
GLOBE SHOW NO OVERALL TEMPERATURE TREND.

Roger can't comprehend that bad data is worse
than no data. *Unless you're trying to scare
people, of course.


If you have better data, or a method for UHI
correction, you are more than
welcome to present them here. Until then the
data presented above are a better indication of
reality than your fantasies.


Fantasies aren't science, whether they're mine
or NASA's. That's
the problem with trying to "correct" bad data.
If it's bad, it can't be
used - it's a fantasy based on invalid
assumptions. Averaging bad data with with good
data hides the problem, but doesn't fix it.


It is even worse than that. I suspect there is an
analogy with wine making. I knew of a winemaker
who had a small amount of wine made from under
ripe grapes. He blended it (10%) with some good
wine 90%). That small amount ruined the whole
lot. A "Little BAD Goes a LONG ways". I suspect
the same is true of data. A little bad or
incorrect can have effects that are way beyond
suspected results.


  #32   Report Post  
Old April 10th 08, 12:45 PM posted to alt.global-warming,sci.environment,sci.geo.meteorology
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Feb 2007
Posts: 68
Default March ties for 3rd warmest on NASA's 129-year record.

Roger Coppock wrote:

On Apr 9, 4:51*pm, Bill Ward
wrote:


Fantasies aren't science, whether they're mine
or NASA's. *That's the problem with trying to
"correct" bad data. *If it's bad, it can't be
used - it's a fantasy based on invalid
assumptions. *Averaging bad data with with good
data hides the problem, but doesn't fix it.


So, show us how is should be done. Show us your
better data.

If you have better data, or a method for UHI
correction, you are more than
welcome to present them here. *Until then the
data presented above are a
better indication of reality than your
fantasies.


Roger's "Science Protocol": Throw a lot of ****
at the wall and see what sticks.
  #33   Report Post  
Old April 10th 08, 02:41 PM posted to alt.global-warming,sci.environment,sci.geo.meteorology
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Dec 2005
Posts: 204
Default March ties for 3rd warmest on NASA's 129-year record.


"Paul E. Lehmann" wrote in message
...
Roger Coppock wrote:

On Apr 9, 4:51 pm, Bill Ward
wrote:


Fantasies aren't science, whether they're mine
or NASA's. That's the problem with trying to
"correct" bad data. If it's bad, it can't be
used - it's a fantasy based on invalid
assumptions. Averaging bad data with with good
data hides the problem, but doesn't fix it.


So, show us how is should be done. Show us your
better data.

If you have better data, or a method for UHI
correction, you are more than
welcome to present them here. Until then the
data presented above are a
better indication of reality than your
fantasies.


Roger's "Science Protocol": Throw a lot of ****
at the wall and see what sticks.


Yes. Roger loves the arcane.


  #34   Report Post  
Old April 10th 08, 06:45 PM posted to alt.global-warming,sci.environment,sci.geo.meteorology
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Dec 2007
Posts: 487
Default March ties for 3rd warmest on NASA's 129-year record.


"Robert Blass" wrote
The world is ending....YAWN


Ending for some species, yes. And the more that will die out the more
likely it will be that you will be found hanging from a tree by the rope.



  #35   Report Post  
Old April 10th 08, 07:14 PM posted to alt.global-warming,sci.environment,sci.geo.meteorology
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Jul 2006
Posts: 272
Default March ties for 3rd warmest on NASA's 129-year record.

On Apr 10, 1:43 pm, "Paul E. Lehmann" wrote:
Bill Ward wrote:
On Wed, 09 Apr 2008 13:12:25 -0700, Roger
Coppock wrote:


On Apr 9, 8:34 am, Bill Ward
wrote:
On Wed, 09 Apr 2008 07:04:24 -0700, matt_sykes
wrote:
On 9 Apr, 10:24, Roger Coppock
wrote:
On Apr 8, 8:01 pm, Poetic Justice
-n-


Dog.com wrote:
Roger Coppock wrote:
March ties for 3rd warmest on NASA's
129-year record.


Why is NASA the official keeper of the
temperature?


NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies
offers data, as do several other
organizations. I use NASA's data because
GISS corrects for UHI using nighttime earth
shine, artificial lighting, measured from
satellites. IMHO, this method is better
than using census data to locate urban
areas.


That is a feeble way to adjust for UHI.


The ONLY way to adjust for UHI is to put a
station in a rural area near to the urban
station to act as a control (being a
sicnetist you wold know this of course).


Mind you, one you have done that you might
as well ignore the urban station data since
rural data is true surface temp.


And what happens when you do that? You get
no warming trend. RURAL STATIONS ACROSS THE
GLOBE SHOW NO OVERALL TEMPERATURE TREND.


Roger can't comprehend that bad data is worse
than no data. Unless you're trying to scare
people, of course.


If you have better data, or a method for UHI
correction, you are more than
welcome to present them here. Until then the
data presented above are a better indication of
reality than your fantasies.


Fantasies aren't science, whether they're mine
or NASA's. That's
the problem with trying to "correct" bad data.
If it's bad, it can't be
used - it's a fantasy based on invalid
assumptions. Averaging bad data with with good
data hides the problem, but doesn't fix it.


It is even worse than that. I suspect there is an
analogy with wine making. I knew of a winemaker
who had a small amount of wine made from under
ripe grapes. He blended it (10%) with some good
wine 90%). That small amount ruined the whole
lot. A "Little BAD Goes a LONG ways". I suspect
the same is true of data. A little bad or
incorrect can have effects that are way beyond
suspected results.


Such are the musings of a statistical illiterate. In actual practice,
the way to avoid problems from extraneous or erroneous data (ie. bad)
is to swamp it by using large sample sizes. If you measure the height
of 100 men taken at random, the mean height will be virtually
unchanged should one or two of them be giants or dwarves.

This is what happens in practice with temperature data. Very large
sample size ensures that the famous UHIs will have little effect on
the calculated global means.


  #36   Report Post  
Old April 10th 08, 07:20 PM posted to alt.global-warming,sci.environment,sci.geo.meteorology
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Feb 2007
Posts: 68
Default March ties for 3rd warmest on NASA's 129-year record.

John M. wrote:

On Apr 10, 1:43 pm, "Paul E. Lehmann"
wrote:
Bill Ward wrote:
On Wed, 09 Apr 2008 13:12:25 -0700, Roger
Coppock wrote:


On Apr 9, 8:34 am, Bill Ward
wrote:
On Wed, 09 Apr 2008 07:04:24 -0700,
matt_sykes wrote:
On 9 Apr, 10:24, Roger Coppock
wrote:
On Apr 8, 8:01 pm, Poetic Justice
-n-


Dog.com wrote:
Roger Coppock wrote:
March ties for 3rd warmest on NASA's
129-year record.


Why is NASA the official keeper of the
temperature?


NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies
offers data, as do several other
organizations. I use NASA's data
because GISS corrects for UHI using
nighttime earth shine, artificial
lighting, measured from satellites.
IMHO, this method is better than using
census data to locate urban areas.


That is a feeble way to adjust for UHI.


The ONLY way to adjust for UHI is to put
a station in a rural area near to the
urban
station to act as a control (being a
sicnetist you wold know this of course).


Mind you, one you have done that you
might as well ignore the urban station
data since rural data is true surface
temp.


And what happens when you do that? You
get
no warming trend. RURAL STATIONS ACROSS
THE GLOBE SHOW NO OVERALL TEMPERATURE
TREND.


Roger can't comprehend that bad data is
worse
than no data. Unless you're trying to
scare people, of course.


If you have better data, or a method for UHI
correction, you are more than
welcome to present them here. Until then
the data presented above are a better
indication of reality than your fantasies.


Fantasies aren't science, whether they're
mine
or NASA's. That's
the problem with trying to "correct" bad
data. If it's bad, it can't be
used - it's a fantasy based on invalid
assumptions. Averaging bad data with with
good data hides the problem, but doesn't fix
it.


It is even worse than that. I suspect there is
an
analogy with wine making. I knew of a
winemaker who had a small amount of wine made
from under
ripe grapes. He blended it (10%) with some
good
wine 90%). That small amount ruined the whole
lot. A "Little BAD Goes a LONG ways". I
suspect
the same is true of data. A little bad or
incorrect can have effects that are way beyond
suspected results.


Such are the musings of a statistical
illiterate. In actual practice, the way to avoid
problems from extraneous or erroneous data (ie.
bad) is to swamp it by using large sample sizes.
If you measure the height of 100 men taken at
random, the mean height will be virtually
unchanged should one or two of them be giants or
dwarves.

This is what happens in practice with
temperature data. Very large sample size ensures
that the famous UHIs will have little effect on
the calculated global means.


made a lot of money in the stock market, have you?
  #37   Report Post  
Old April 10th 08, 07:27 PM posted to alt.global-warming,sci.environment,sci.geo.meteorology
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Jul 2006
Posts: 272
Default March ties for 3rd warmest on NASA's 129-year record.

On Apr 10, 8:20 pm, "Paul E. Lehmann" wrote:
John M. wrote:
On Apr 10, 1:43 pm, "Paul E. Lehmann"
wrote:
Bill Ward wrote:
On Wed, 09 Apr 2008 13:12:25 -0700, Roger
Coppock wrote:


On Apr 9, 8:34 am, Bill Ward
wrote:
On Wed, 09 Apr 2008 07:04:24 -0700,
matt_sykes wrote:
On 9 Apr, 10:24, Roger Coppock
wrote:
On Apr 8, 8:01 pm, Poetic Justice
-n-


Dog.com wrote:
Roger Coppock wrote:
March ties for 3rd warmest on NASA's
129-year record.


Why is NASA the official keeper of the
temperature?


NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies
offers data, as do several other
organizations. I use NASA's data
because GISS corrects for UHI using
nighttime earth shine, artificial
lighting, measured from satellites.
IMHO, this method is better than using
census data to locate urban areas.


That is a feeble way to adjust for UHI.


The ONLY way to adjust for UHI is to put
a station in a rural area near to the
urban
station to act as a control (being a
sicnetist you wold know this of course).


Mind you, one you have done that you
might as well ignore the urban station
data since rural data is true surface
temp.


And what happens when you do that? You
get
no warming trend. RURAL STATIONS ACROSS
THE GLOBE SHOW NO OVERALL TEMPERATURE
TREND.


Roger can't comprehend that bad data is
worse
than no data. Unless you're trying to
scare people, of course.


If you have better data, or a method for UHI
correction, you are more than
welcome to present them here. Until then
the data presented above are a better
indication of reality than your fantasies.


Fantasies aren't science, whether they're
mine
or NASA's. That's
the problem with trying to "correct" bad
data. If it's bad, it can't be
used - it's a fantasy based on invalid
assumptions. Averaging bad data with with
good data hides the problem, but doesn't fix
it.


It is even worse than that. I suspect there is
an
analogy with wine making. I knew of a
winemaker who had a small amount of wine made
from under
ripe grapes. He blended it (10%) with some
good
wine 90%). That small amount ruined the whole
lot. A "Little BAD Goes a LONG ways". I
suspect
the same is true of data. A little bad or
incorrect can have effects that are way beyond
suspected results.


Such are the musings of a statistical
illiterate. In actual practice, the way to avoid
problems from extraneous or erroneous data (ie.
bad) is to swamp it by using large sample sizes.
If you measure the height of 100 men taken at
random, the mean height will be virtually
unchanged should one or two of them be giants or
dwarves.


This is what happens in practice with
temperature data. Very large sample size ensures
that the famous UHIs will have little effect on
the calculated global means.


made a lot of money in the stock market, have you?


Why, yes, as matter of fact. It isn't particularly difficult to do.
Why do you ask?
  #38   Report Post  
Old April 10th 08, 07:37 PM posted to alt.global-warming,sci.environment,sci.geo.meteorology
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Feb 2008
Posts: 34
Default March ties for 3rd warmest on NASA's 129-year record.

On Thu, 10 Apr 2008 10:45:38 -0700, "V-for-Vendicar"
sayd the following:


"Robert Blass" wrote
The world is ending....YAWN


Ending for some species, yes. And the more that will die out the more
likely it will be that you will be found hanging from a tree by the rope.



You're DRAMATIC about this so called "man made" warming.

DRAMA is all your side has right now.

You should go to acting school.

  #39   Report Post  
Old April 10th 08, 09:52 PM posted to alt.global-warming,sci.environment,sci.geo.meteorology
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Feb 2007
Posts: 68
Default March ties for 3rd warmest on NASA's 129-year record.

John M. wrote:

On Apr 10, 8:20 pm, "Paul E. Lehmann"
wrote:
John M. wrote:
On Apr 10, 1:43 pm, "Paul E. Lehmann"
wrote:
Bill Ward wrote:
On Wed, 09 Apr 2008 13:12:25 -0700, Roger
Coppock wrote:


On Apr 9, 8:34 am, Bill Ward
wrote:
On Wed, 09 Apr 2008 07:04:24 -0700,
matt_sykes wrote:
On 9 Apr, 10:24, Roger Coppock
wrote:
On Apr 8, 8:01 pm, Poetic Justice
-n-


Dog.com wrote:
Roger Coppock wrote:
March ties for 3rd warmest on
NASA's 129-year record.


Why is NASA the official keeper of
the temperature?


NASA Goddard Institute for Space
Studies offers data, as do several
other
organizations. I use NASA's data
because GISS corrects for UHI using
nighttime earth shine, artificial
lighting, measured from satellites.
IMHO, this method is better than
using census data to locate urban
areas.


That is a feeble way to adjust for
UHI.


The ONLY way to adjust for UHI is to
put a station in a rural area near to
the urban
station to act as a control (being a
sicnetist you wold know this of
course).


Mind you, one you have done that you
might as well ignore the urban station
data since rural data is true surface
temp.


And what happens when you do that?
You get
no warming trend. RURAL STATIONS
ACROSS THE GLOBE SHOW NO OVERALL
TEMPERATURE TREND.


Roger can't comprehend that bad data is
worse
than no data. Unless you're trying to
scare people, of course.


If you have better data, or a method for
UHI correction, you are more than
welcome to present them here. Until then
the data presented above are a better
indication of reality than your
fantasies.


Fantasies aren't science, whether they're
mine
or NASA's. That's
the problem with trying to "correct" bad
data. If it's bad, it can't be
used - it's a fantasy based on invalid
assumptions. Averaging bad data with with
good data hides the problem, but doesn't
fix it.


It is even worse than that. I suspect there
is an
analogy with wine making. I knew of a
winemaker who had a small amount of wine
made from under
ripe grapes. He blended it (10%) with some
good
wine 90%). That small amount ruined the
whole
lot. A "Little BAD Goes a LONG ways". I
suspect
the same is true of data. A little bad or
incorrect can have effects that are way
beyond suspected results.


Such are the musings of a statistical
illiterate. In actual practice, the way to
avoid problems from extraneous or erroneous
data (ie. bad) is to swamp it by using large
sample sizes. If you measure the height of
100 men taken at random, the mean height will
be virtually unchanged should one or two of
them be giants or dwarves.


This is what happens in practice with
temperature data. Very large sample size
ensures that the famous UHIs will have little
effect on the calculated global means.


made a lot of money in the stock market, have
you?


Why, yes, as matter of fact. It isn't
particularly difficult to do. Why do you ask?


I believe I asked Roger but since you answered,
congratulations. Did you use statistical
analysis or was it blind luck or inside
information? Of course a LOT depends on when to
jump in and when to jump out, doesn't it. Do you
use 30 years of data or merely daily or
hourly?
  #40   Report Post  
Old April 10th 08, 10:55 PM posted to alt.global-warming,sci.environment,sci.geo.meteorology
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Jul 2006
Posts: 272
Default March ties for 3rd warmest on NASA's 129-year record.

On Apr 10, 10:52 pm, "Paul E. Lehmann" wrote:
John M. wrote:
On Apr 10, 8:20 pm, "Paul E. Lehmann"
wrote:
John M. wrote:
On Apr 10, 1:43 pm, "Paul E. Lehmann"
wrote:
Bill Ward wrote:
On Wed, 09 Apr 2008 13:12:25 -0700, Roger
Coppock wrote:


On Apr 9, 8:34 am, Bill Ward
wrote:
On Wed, 09 Apr 2008 07:04:24 -0700,
matt_sykes wrote:
On 9 Apr, 10:24, Roger Coppock
wrote:
On Apr 8, 8:01 pm, Poetic Justice
-n-


Dog.com wrote:
Roger Coppock wrote:
March ties for 3rd warmest on
NASA's 129-year record.


Why is NASA the official keeper of
the temperature?


NASA Goddard Institute for Space
Studies offers data, as do several
other
organizations. I use NASA's data
because GISS corrects for UHI using
nighttime earth shine, artificial
lighting, measured from satellites.
IMHO, this method is better than
using census data to locate urban
areas.


That is a feeble way to adjust for
UHI.


The ONLY way to adjust for UHI is to
put a station in a rural area near to
the urban
station to act as a control (being a
sicnetist you wold know this of
course).


Mind you, one you have done that you
might as well ignore the urban station
data since rural data is true surface
temp.


And what happens when you do that?
You get
no warming trend. RURAL STATIONS
ACROSS THE GLOBE SHOW NO OVERALL
TEMPERATURE TREND.


Roger can't comprehend that bad data is
worse
than no data. Unless you're trying to
scare people, of course.


If you have better data, or a method for
UHI correction, you are more than
welcome to present them here. Until then
the data presented above are a better
indication of reality than your
fantasies.


Fantasies aren't science, whether they're
mine
or NASA's. That's
the problem with trying to "correct" bad
data. If it's bad, it can't be
used - it's a fantasy based on invalid
assumptions. Averaging bad data with with
good data hides the problem, but doesn't
fix it.


It is even worse than that. I suspect there
is an
analogy with wine making. I knew of a
winemaker who had a small amount of wine
made from under
ripe grapes. He blended it (10%) with some
good
wine 90%). That small amount ruined the
whole
lot. A "Little BAD Goes a LONG ways". I
suspect
the same is true of data. A little bad or
incorrect can have effects that are way
beyond suspected results.


Such are the musings of a statistical
illiterate. In actual practice, the way to
avoid problems from extraneous or erroneous
data (ie. bad) is to swamp it by using large
sample sizes. If you measure the height of
100 men taken at random, the mean height will
be virtually unchanged should one or two of
them be giants or dwarves.


This is what happens in practice with
temperature data. Very large sample size
ensures that the famous UHIs will have little
effect on the calculated global means.


made a lot of money in the stock market, have
you?


Why, yes, as matter of fact. It isn't
particularly difficult to do. Why do you ask?


I believe I asked Roger


Not unless he changed his pseudonym to John M.

but since you answered,
congratulations. Did you use statistical
analysis or was it blind luck or inside
information? Of course a LOT depends on when to
jump in and when to jump out, doesn't it. Do you
use 30 years of data or merely daily or
hourly?


I bought FTSE 100 stocks, buying in when I had spare cash and whenever
a bear market was showing signs of bottoming (you can never get the
bottom prices, of course, except by chance). Over the years I let the
portfolio increase by not doing a lot of selling, and with the
companies mostly growing in size the dividends increase year-on-year -
as well as stock values.

It's like any form of gambling wherever you have an edge e.g.
Blackjack. Don't try to force the pace because the downs can wipe you
out if you're incautious. Just now I'm quite relaxed about the paper
losses of the last month, and I see most of it has crept back into my
core holdings.


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