TS Vince was just upgraded to a CAT1 hurricane in the 21Z Forecast Advsiory
posted by the NHC


HURRICANE VINCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL232005
2100Z SUN OCT 09 2005

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.2N 18.6W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.

//Stuart Robinson
TORRO

"Stuart Robinson" wrote in message
...
TS Vince was just upgraded to a CAT1 hurricane in the 21Z Forecast
Advsiory
posted by the NHC


HURRICANE VINCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL232005
2100Z SUN OCT 09 2005

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.2N 18.6W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.

//Stuart Robinson
TORRO

May I suggest we call Vince a MINI Hurricane

"Steve" wrote in message
...

"Stuart Robinson" wrote in message
...
TS Vince was just upgraded to a CAT1 hurricane in the 21Z Forecast
Advsiory
posted by the NHC


HURRICANE VINCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL232005
2100Z SUN OCT 09 2005

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.2N 18.6W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.

//Stuart Robinson
TORRO

May I suggest we call Vince a MINI Hurricane

Has a hurricane ever formed in that area and then headed north east? I can't
recall one.

Stuart Robinson wrote:
TS Vince was just upgraded to a CAT1 hurricane in the 21Z Forecast Advsiory
posted by the NHC


HURRICANE VINCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL232005
2100Z SUN OCT 09 2005

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.2N 18.6W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.

//Stuart Robinson
TORRO



Unsurprisingly, todays European past 12 hours synops throws up Funchal,
Madiera as the wettest location with 22.0mm between 6am and 6pm today.

--
Keith (Southend)

'Weather Home & Abroad'
http://www.southendweather.net

LJS wrote:
"Steve" wrote in message
...

"Stuart Robinson" wrote in message
...
TS Vince was just upgraded to a CAT1 hurricane in the 21Z Forecast
Advsiory posted by the NHC


HURRICANE VINCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL232005
2100Z SUN OCT 09 2005

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.2N 18.6W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.

//Stuart Robinson
TORRO

May I suggest we call Vince a MINI Hurricane

Has a hurricane ever formed in that area and then headed north east?
I can't recall one.

Neither have I and I'm not sure theres been more than a handful ever to form
AND move in that way. But it presents a nice view on the sat images,
especially on one or two of the Dundee ones.

"LJS" wrote in message
...

"Steve" wrote in message
...

"Stuart Robinson" wrote in message
...
TS Vince was just upgraded to a CAT1 hurricane in the 21Z Forecast
Advsiory
posted by the NHC


HURRICANE VINCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL232005
2100Z SUN OCT 09 2005

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.2N 18.6W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.

//Stuart Robinson
TORRO

May I suggest we call Vince a MINI Hurricane

Has a hurricane ever formed in that area and then headed north east? I
can't
recall one.

I do not think so, but there has been the odd TS with similar track. CAT 1
hurricanes have run into Biscay and even Mayo, Eire, but they did not fom
where Vince is.

"Stuart Robinson" wrote in message
...
TS Vince was just upgraded to a CAT1 hurricane in the 21Z Forecast
Advsiory
posted by the NHC

I was wondering where the NHC's jurisdiction ends, so to speak. IIRC a few
years ago they passed the responsibility over to the Met Office for one
particular storm system - it went something like "for future updates see the
Shipping Forecast" !

Jon.

Vicne duly noted on today's Euro Sig. Weather charts.. e.g. VT 12Z
http://www.lfv.se/Tor/wc12/swc_12.asp

Strange times indeed !

Jon.

Vince duly noted on today's Euro Sig. Weather charts.. e.g. VT 12Z
http://www.lfv.se/Tor/wc12/swc_12.asp

Strange times indeed !

Jon.

The NHC Jurisdiction ends at 15W as does the GFDL model which has been the
best Hurricane performer during 2005. UKMO and GFS all dissipate this system
within 36 hours into the South East moving cold front - however none of
these models started with the hurricane in place - both were looking at a
1003mb low.

I do wonder if .... the USAF will fly a pane into this and drop a sonde, not
least to prove that it actually a warm cored system with hurricane force
winds.

Also to note.... in Europe we base our sustained wind speeds on a 10 minutes
average - were for hurricanes it is taken for 1 minute average. So by Euro
standards this would not have hurricane force winds (just below in fact)

//Stuart Robinson
TORRO

PS I looks at chasing this, aiming for Vido in N.W. Spain - but the cost of
the flights were just unreal !




"Jon O'Rourke" wrote in message
...
"Stuart Robinson" wrote in message
...
TS Vince was just upgraded to a CAT1 hurricane in the 21Z Forecast
Advsiory
posted by the NHC

I was wondering where the NHC's jurisdiction ends, so to speak. IIRC a few
years ago they passed the responsibility over to the Met Office for one
particular storm system - it went something like "for future updates see
the
Shipping Forecast" !

Jon.