uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged.

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Old September 21st 06, 09:56 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Gordon - I'm still very concerned.


Jon O'Rourke wrote:


http://wind.met.fu-berlin.de/cgi-bin...laymode=Endlos
is a useful animation.


Thanks Jon. That is an excellent animation site. Just what I have been
searching for.


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Old September 21st 06, 10:08 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Gordon - I'm still very concerned.


Philip Eden wrote:


Just a handful from memory:

Debbie came straight up from the Azores and hammered Ireland
(especially NI) 15-17 Sep 1961

Chloe, 17-21 Sep 1967 hit western France hard

30 Sep to 3 Oct 1981, not sure I can remember name, may have
been Irene, hit Coruna and tracked along the north coast of
Spain towards Biarritz.

2-5 Oct 1984, can't remember name, gave a 6-hour thunderstorm
in London

Floyd, 10-12 Sep 1993

Lili retained tropical characteristics almost into the SW Approaches
26-28 Oct 1996

17-23 Oct 2002, Kyle was it?

Also 21-25 Oct 1949, famous in France for the widespread
damage it caused.


There was also one in the mid 1970's which wandered slowly east towards
Portugal for days, and became almost invisible on the fax polar orbiter
images of the time, then suddenly 'woke up' again over Iberia and
resulted in serious flooding.

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Old September 21st 06, 11:40 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Gordon - I'm still very concerned.


wrote:
Jon O'Rourke wrote:


http://wind.met.fu-berlin.de/cgi-bin...laymode=Endlos
is a useful animation.


Thanks Jon. That is an excellent animation site. Just what I have been
searching for.

Ihaven'tseen this advertised here-
EUMETSAT hrly Airmass product,designed for diagnosing cyclogenesis-
http://www.eumetsat.int/Home/Main/Im...index.htm?l=en
Thanks to Robb Bale for pointing it out,

David

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Old September 21st 06, 01:23 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Gordon - I'm still very concerned.


Philip Eden wrote:

Lili retained tropical characteristics almost into the SW Approaches
26-28 Oct 1996

There were some very big seas associated with that one, but fortunately
from the normal direction (unlike Oct 2004). Gusts close to 70mph over
28th & 29th in Penzance, 90mph at Gwennap Head.

There is no sign of a worryingly big southerly swell at the moment,
it's currently just very choppy. Excellent Wind/Kite surfing at
Marazion. The big swell looks like coming back from the WSW tomorrow.
With an offshore wind on the north coast on Friday, the surfing could
be excellent, for those brave enough.
www.easterling.freeserve.co.uk/NQYBig.html shows how big it can get on
the north Cornwall coast when the wind drops out and there's a good
long wavelegth swell. I've seen it even bigger on the Porthleven reef,
but no camera.

Graham
Penzance



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Old September 21st 06, 05:27 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Gordon - I'm still very concerned.


"Will Hand" wrote in message
...

"Robin Nicholson" wrote in message
...
On Wed, 20 Sep 2006 22:42:56 +0100, "Will Hand"
wrote:

Hi Nigel,

How you doing? Can't help with the stats but what I do know is that beast

is
heading for Corunna judging by latest satellite images at
http://www.metoffice.com/satpics/latest_IR.html . The only model to capture

that
evolution was ECMWF at T+72 range. It then subsequently took it over SW

England.
I'm not sure, but I have a feeling that this system may well end up

wallowing
around in the Bay of Biscay , only time will tell. It can't track across

land
into France, surely not?


Will, are you saying that the track of this might not follow the
models (well, the MetO and NOGAPS:the ones I look at regularly) and
curve up closer if not over SW England?
R


Yes!!!!
ECMWF previous run was bang on and that gave me storms over Haytor.

Oh Sh**

Will.
--


And I'm still not confident in the official forecasts, but have to go along with
them. I shall be watching the imagery and obs like a hawk this evening as well
as David Braine on Spotlight of course which is also promising some pictures of
the swell.

Will (from a breezy and balmy Haytor)
--




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