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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#1
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Hi All,
I'm a long time lurker who is just interested in the weather, but possibly more so than your 'average Joe' which is why I enjoy reading all the interesting stuff from the experts on here. I like to think I've developed a better understanding of forecasting as a result of lurking here but there's one thing that puzzles me and would really appreciate some guidance from the contributors to this group. One of the sites I regularly look at gives an 3 hour forecast window including a UV index and this always peaks between 16.00 and 19.00 when, for example, today and tomorrow (Sunday and Monday) it shows the UV level as 8 during these hours but only 6 between 13.00 and 15.59. I can't fathom out why this should be - surely the UV index would peak when the sun is strongest which, in summer time in the UK would be around lunchtime, wouldn't it? Please bear in mind I'm a complete novice and have no detailed understanding of weather systems and suchlike but info I've read on this group has helped me understand a good deal over the last couple of years; but I just can't understand why the UV level isn't strongest when you'd expect the sunshine (when we get it) to be strongest. Thanks Mike. |
#2
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#3
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#4
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Hi Mike
As already been said, the UV intensity will generally be proportional to how high the sun is in the sky, i.e., less atmosphere (and ozone) for the light to travel through before reaching the earth's surface. Therefore, the greatest UV levels will generally occur, on a clear day when the sun is at its highest elevation in the sky. There will be no lag as you would expect with temperature. At this time of year (BST daylight saving) and the fact that most of the British Isles lie west of the Greenwich Meridian, the greatest UV index will occur from around 1pm in London and the South East through to around 1:30 pm in the far south west of England, west Wales, western Scotland & Ireland. Here is a link to a graph showing the UV index for today (8th) and yesterday for Camborne in Cornwall, note the peak at around 1pm - 2pm. http://www.btinternet.com/~nickgardn...ex08062008.jpg ________________ Nick. Otter Valley, Devon 83 m amsl http://www.ottervalley.co.uk |
#5
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On Sun, 8 Jun 2008 19:30:06 +0100, Mike Tullett wrote:
Mike - you are quite right to question the times of 16.00 to 19.00. Solar radiation, of any kind, will peak an hour or so either side of local noon. Ish. Cloud cover will make a difference Thick heavy cloud and midday v clear skies late afternoon... But cloud can probably increase the UV level as well, high thin sirrusy stuff producing more back scatter? This would not account for "a UV index and this always peaks between 16.00 and 19.00" though. -- Cheers Dave. |
#6
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"Nick Gardner" wrote...
As already been said, the UV intensity will generally be proportional to how high the sun is in the sky, i.e., less atmosphere (and ozone) for the light to travel through before reaching the earth's surface. Therefore, the greatest UV levels will generally occur, on a clear day when the sun is at its highest elevation in the sky. There will be no lag as you would expect with temperature. Here is a link to a graph showing the UV index for today (8th) and yesterday for Camborne in Cornwall, note the peak at around 1pm - 2pm. http://www.btinternet.com/~nickgardn...ex08062008.jpg ________________ .... this graph shows a representation of the total global radiation and UV radiation at an un-named spot:- http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/product...s/diur_guv.gif and is confirmed by the HPA site ... http://www.hpa.org.uk/webw/HPAweb&HP...=1158934607746 These confirm the notes of others: the UV radiation should be (ignoring effect of varying cloud cover), at a maximum around solar noon (which does vary w.r.t. 'clock' noon). If you are using 'Metcheck' then I note that their algorithms don't seem to predict *any* UV radiation (despite forecast well broken cloud cover), much before 10 o'clock local time, which at this time of the year is unrealistic - particularly in Scotland: it may be lower than midday, but it isn't going to be zero! Also, worryingly, the maxima for a selection of sites I've just put in seem to coincide with the day maximum temperature - to which it isn't connected as noted by Nick. Martin. -- Martin Rowley West Moors, East Dorset (UK): 17m (56ft) amsl Lat: 50.82N Long: 01.88W NGR: SU 082 023 |
#7
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On Jun 8, 8:26 pm, "Martin Rowley"
wrote: "Nick Gardner" wrote... As already been said, the UV intensity will generally be proportional to how high the sun is in the sky, i.e., less atmosphere (and ozone) for the light to travel through before reaching the earth's surface. Therefore, the greatest UV levels will generally occur, on a clear day when the sun is at its highest elevation in the sky. There will be no lag as you would expect with temperature. Here is a link to a graph showing the UV index for today (8th) and yesterday for Camborne in Cornwall, note the peak at around 1pm - 2pm. http://www.btinternet.com/~nickgardn...lery/weatherim... ________________ ... this graph shows a representation of the total global radiation and UV radiation at an un-named spot:- http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/product...ndex/gif_files... and is confirmed by the HPA site ... http://www.hpa.org.uk/webw/HPAweb&HP..._C/11976370217... These confirm the notes of others: the UV radiation should be (ignoring effect of varying cloud cover), at a maximum around solar noon (which does vary w.r.t. 'clock' noon). If you are using 'Metcheck' then I note that their algorithms don't seem to predict *any* UV radiation (despite forecast well broken cloud cover), much before 10 o'clock local time, which at this time of the year is unrealistic - particularly in Scotland: it may be lower than midday, but it isn't going to be zero! Also, worryingly, the maxima for a selection of sites I've just put in seem to coincide with the day maximum temperature - to which it isn't connected as noted by Nick. Martin. -- Martin Rowley West Moors, East Dorset (UK): 17m (56ft) amsl Lat: 50.82N Long: 01.88W NGR: SU 082 023 Mike wrote : "One of the sites I regularly look at gives an 3 hour forecast window including a UV index and this always peaks between 16.00 and 19.00 when, for example, today and tomorrow (Sunday and Monday) it shows the UV level as 8 during these hours but only 6 between 13.00 and 15.59." It would help if you gave us a link to that site. Is it Irish, or American? It the time in GMT, BST or local time? Sunshine is as strong in May as it is in July but most peope seem to get sun burnt later in the year. I have wondered why, but it is probably because the air is warmer later in the year (and day) so more people sun bathe then. Cheers, Alastair. |
#8
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![]() "Alastair" wrote It would help if you gave us a link to that site. Is it Irish, or American? It the time in GMT, BST or local time? Thanks for all the really helpful replies. Alastair, it's Metcheck which Martin has indicated seems to be inaccurate. Their forecast for tomorrow has the same peak as today which is between 16.00 and 18.59 which makes no sense based on the replies you've kindly given. I do enjoy sitting in the sun but like to avoid sunburn or over exposure which I've always assumed meant around the lunchtime (i.e. in London from around midday till 14.00 give or take a bit depending on the proximity to the longest day, cloud and so on) but Metcheck had completely thrown me. I use several sources for the forecasts, several from sites mentioned on this group, though I've no idea where I got Metcheck from! http://www.metcheck.com/V40/UK/FREE/...zipcode=london I now realise it can't possibly be right as it also shows an index of 6 in the period till 21.59. What sites do you guys use that can be interpreted by laymen like me? Thanks, Mike |
#9
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![]() "Alastair" wrote in message ... On Jun 8, 8:26 pm, "Martin Rowley" wrote: "Nick Gardner" wrote... As already been said, the UV intensity will generally be proportional to how high the sun is in the sky, i.e., less atmosphere (and ozone) for the light to travel through before reaching the earth's surface. Therefore, the greatest UV levels will generally occur, on a clear day when the sun is at its highest elevation in the sky. There will be no lag as you would expect with temperature. Here is a link to a graph showing the UV index for today (8th) and yesterday for Camborne in Cornwall, note the peak at around 1pm - 2pm. http://www.btinternet.com/~nickgardn...lery/weatherim... ________________ ... this graph shows a representation of the total global radiation and UV radiation at an un-named spot:- http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/product...ndex/gif_files... and is confirmed by the HPA site ... http://www.hpa.org.uk/webw/HPAweb&HP..._C/11976370217... These confirm the notes of others: the UV radiation should be (ignoring effect of varying cloud cover), at a maximum around solar noon (which does vary w.r.t. 'clock' noon). If you are using 'Metcheck' then I note that their algorithms don't seem to predict *any* UV radiation (despite forecast well broken cloud cover), much before 10 o'clock local time, which at this time of the year is unrealistic - particularly in Scotland: it may be lower than midday, but it isn't going to be zero! Also, worryingly, the maxima for a selection of sites I've just put in seem to coincide with the day maximum temperature - to which it isn't connected as noted by Nick. Martin. -- Martin Rowley West Moors, East Dorset (UK): 17m (56ft) amsl Lat: 50.82N Long: 01.88W NGR: SU 082 023 Mike wrote : "One of the sites I regularly look at gives an 3 hour forecast window including a UV index and this always peaks between 16.00 and 19.00 when, for example, today and tomorrow (Sunday and Monday) it shows the UV level as 8 during these hours but only 6 between 13.00 and 15.59." It would help if you gave us a link to that site. Is it Irish, or American? It the time in GMT, BST or local time? Sunshine is as strong in May as it is in July but most peope seem to get sun burnt later in the year. I have wondered why, but it is probably because the air is warmer later in the year (and day) so more people sun bathe then. Cheers, Alastair. In the northern hemispher, ozone levels are lower in may than in July and those of northern european descent are relatively intolerant of UV after winter and cases of severe sunburn are more common in early summer than late summer. Having said that you are correct that mild/moderate sunburn peaks later when it's warmer and folks are on their hols. |
#10
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Dave Liquorice wrote:
On Sun, 8 Jun 2008 19:30:06 +0100, Mike Tullett wrote: Mike - you are quite right to question the times of 16.00 to 19.00. Solar radiation, of any kind, will peak an hour or so either side of local noon. Ish. Cloud cover will make a difference Thick heavy cloud and midday v clear skies late afternoon... But cloud can probably increase the UV level as well, high thin sirrusy stuff producing more back scatter? Cumulus clouds are more likely to produce an increase due to reflection. I vaguely recall that they can increase the level by as much as 100%. This would not account for "a UV index and this always peaks between 16.00 and 19.00" though. -- Graham P Davis, Bracknell, Berks., UK. E-mail: newsman, not newsboy. "What use is happiness? It can't buy you money." [Chic Murray, 1919-85] |
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