your last 10 day forecast was wrong.
stop making out your some pro forecaster with made up stats.
your not. your just internet fodder.


Dawlish wrote:
On Jun 25, 7:12 am, Dawlish wrote:
On Jun 15, 7:37 pm, Dawlish wrote:


I've forecast zonal conditions continuing to the end of the month as
my next 10-day forecast and I don't see any reason to change that.
Once established, it's hard to get rid of zonal conditions, but there
may be some hints of blocking developing over Scandinavia which could
interrupt the zonal flow.

2 more runs with that Scandinavian blocking showing on the gfs. Could
there be hints of the zonal train hitting the buffers? Not enough
consistency, yet.

Paul

On Jun 25, 8:06*pm, "N.E Zephyr" wrote:
your last 10 day forecast was wrong.
stop making out your some pro forecaster with made up stats.
your not. your just internet fodder.



Dawlish wrote:
On Jun 25, 7:12 am, Dawlish wrote:
On Jun 15, 7:37 pm, Dawlish wrote:

I've forecast zonal conditions continuing to the end of the month as
my next 10-day forecast and I don't see any reason to change that.
Once established, it's hard to get rid of zonal conditions, but there
may be some hints of blocking developing over Scandinavia which could
interrupt the zonal flow.

2 more runs with that Scandinavian blocking showing on the gfs. Could
there be hints of the zonal train hitting the buffers? Not enough
consistency, yet.

Paul- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -

Ah! My stalker. I'm flattered that the single reason you come on
uk.sci.weather is to abuse me with excruciatingly poor English! (17
posts, under 3 different names....and counting). TY!

On Jun 25, 8:06*pm, "N.E Zephyr" wrote:
your last 10 day forecast was wrong.
stop making out your some pro forecaster with made up stats.
your not. your just internet fodder.



Dawlish wrote:
On Jun 25, 7:12 am, Dawlish wrote:
On Jun 15, 7:37 pm, Dawlish wrote:

I've forecast zonal conditions continuing to the end of the month as
my next 10-day forecast and I don't see any reason to change that.
Once established, it's hard to get rid of zonal conditions, but there
may be some hints of blocking developing over Scandinavia which could
interrupt the zonal flow.

2 more runs with that Scandinavian blocking showing on the gfs. Could
there be hints of the zonal train hitting the buffers? Not enough
consistency, yet.

Paul- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -

On Jun 25, 6:55*pm, Dawlish wrote:
On Jun 25, 7:12*am, Dawlish wrote:

On Jun 15, 7:37*pm, Dawlish wrote:
I've forecast zonal conditions continuing to the end of the month as
my next 10-day forecast and I don't see any reason to change that.
Once established, it's hard to get rid of zonal conditions, but there
may be some hints of blocking developing over Scandinavia which could
interrupt the zonal flow.

2 more runs with that Scandinavian blocking showing on the gfs. Could
there be hints of the zonal train hitting the buffers? Not enough
consistency, yet.

Paul

Yet another run with the Scandinavian blocking showing and this
continues to drag up some very warm air during the first week of July.
You never know, it could indicate a temporary derailment of the zonal
train - though internetworkwetterzentralerail could have it back on
the tracks soon afterwards. See what shows tomorrow morning

Paul

On Jun 25, 9:46*pm, Dawlish wrote:
On Jun 25, 6:55*pm, Dawlish wrote:

On Jun 25, 7:12*am, Dawlish wrote:

On Jun 15, 7:37*pm, Dawlish wrote:
I've forecast zonal conditions continuing to the end of the month as
my next 10-day forecast and I don't see any reason to change that.
Once established, it's hard to get rid of zonal conditions, but there
may be some hints of blocking developing over Scandinavia which could
interrupt the zonal flow.

2 more runs with that Scandinavian blocking showing on the gfs. Could
there be hints of the zonal train hitting the buffers? Not enough
consistency, yet.

Paul

Yet another run with the Scandinavian blocking showing and this
continues to drag up some very warm air during the first week of July.
You never know, it could indicate a temporary derailment of the zonal
train - though internetworkwetterzentralerail could have it back on
the tracks soon afterwards. See what shows tomorrow morning

Paul

.........And a subtle change this morning, with the blocking being
shown to the North of us and not over Scandinavia. The possible heat
topples, as a result. Shifting and changing at T240+. No consistency =
no good for forecasting at present. The continuation of the zonal
weather is as likely as an interruption.

Paul

What a wierdo, now your keeping meaningless stats on my posts.
I guess they mean more than your crap forecasts.

Dawlish wrote:
On Jun 25, 8:06 pm, "N.E Zephyr" wrote:
your last 10 day forecast was wrong.
stop making out your some pro forecaster with made up stats.
your not. your just internet fodder.



Dawlish wrote:
On Jun 25, 7:12 am, Dawlish wrote:
On Jun 15, 7:37 pm, Dawlish wrote:
I've forecast zonal conditions continuing to the end of the month as
my next 10-day forecast and I don't see any reason to change that.
Once established, it's hard to get rid of zonal conditions, but there
may be some hints of blocking developing over Scandinavia which could
interrupt the zonal flow.
2 more runs with that Scandinavian blocking showing on the gfs. Could
there be hints of the zonal train hitting the buffers? Not enough
consistency, yet.
Paul- Hide quoted text -
- Show quoted text -

Ah! My stalker. I'm flattered that the single reason you come on
uk.sci.weather is to abuse me with excruciatingly poor English! (17
posts, under 3 different names....and counting). TY!

On Jun 25, 7:12*am, Dawlish wrote:
On Jun 15, 7:37*pm, Dawlish wrote:





Some very interesting gfs charts today and for the last couple of
days. There's been enough consistency in the gfs output for me to
forecast that 10 days from now, on the 25th June, the UK weather will
be zonal, with pressure being higher over Europe and a decreasing
pressure gradient towards Northern Scotland. The Atlantic will be
holding sway and the weather will be approaching from the West. Detail
is a zonal spell is impossible to forecast at that distance and there
could, just as easily, be a ridge of high pressure on the 25th, as a
Westward moving front, but ridges will be transitory and they will be
forecast to move eAstwards as low pressures approach from the West

On the run-up to the 25th, the weather will be unsettled from midweek,
this week, but as a low pressure settles to the SW and pushes towards
us, next weekend, it could drag up some very warm air ahead of it. If
the present charts verify, we could see the first 30C of the year
Sunday/Monday of next week and perhaps some spectacular thunderstorms
if the plume of warm air being dragged up from Spain reaches us. A
Spanish plume, rather than a North African one, this time. It's also
possible that it could be pushed East, but temperatures of 35C could
be experienced in the near continent, Northern France, Benelux
countries, or Germany late next weekend and into the start of the week
after.

After that, the weather in the UK will again turn unsettled, with the
odd transitory ridge, for the UK as the 25th approaches.
Paul

Zonal; fronts queueing up to the West, but the SE faring better than
tha NW. A good forecast this time, at 10 days. Beats the last one that
was good for 8/9 days, but didn't anticipate the establishment of
zonal conditions right at the end.The unsettled theme for today was
shown on 5 consecutive runs of the gfs back on the 14th/15th June. On
the way to today's outcome, the plume toppled and was not quite as
warm as I'd thought it might be, The only vestige of heat for the UK
was a very warm night in mT air on Saturday, with some thunderstorms
for some areas.

I've forecast zonal conditions continuing to the end of the month as
my next 10-day forecast and I don't see any reason to change that.
Once established, it's hard to get rid of zonal conditions, but there
may be some hints of blocking developing over Scandinavia which could
interrupt the zonal flow.

Paul- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -

My forecast for today, from the 20th, was good, with zonal conditions
extending to the end of the month, but with the possibility of the
Atlantic influence waning as the jetstream has looked like it will
head South again, forecasting 10 days hence, since the 20th, has been
a nightmare for everyone........until today, IMO.

Paul