Is it a warm outlier I wonder - the encroaching warmer air from the SW
seems to at least temporarily make it through the block....

Not so cheers!
--
James Brown

"James Brown" wrote in message
...
Is it a warm outlier I wonder - the encroaching warmer air from the SW
seems to at least temporarily make it through the block....

Not so cheers!
--
James Brown

Yep a marked warm outlier. Ignore it.

Will
--

Will Hand wrote:
"James Brown" wrote in message
...
Is it a warm outlier I wonder - the encroaching warmer air from the SW
seems to at least temporarily make it through the block....

Not so cheers!
--
James Brown

Yep a marked warm outlier. Ignore it.

Will

I do admire your confidence Will :-)

--
Keith (Southend)
http://www.southendweather.net
e-mail: kreh at southendweather dot net

Will,

Can I ask a personal question?

What is your background, have you, or do you still work for the Met
Office, because your forecasts are far better than any I see on the
Met Office Website, or the BBC.

Regards,

Bonos Ego.

"Keith (Southend)" wrote in message
...
Will Hand wrote:
"James Brown" wrote in message
...
Is it a warm outlier I wonder - the encroaching warmer air from the SW
seems to at least temporarily make it through the block....

Not so cheers!
--
James Brown

Yep a marked warm outlier. Ignore it.

Will

I do admire your confidence Will :-)


Thanks keith, but it's based on a lot of experience and knowledge. In these
situations, once a block becomes established with an anchoring low to the
south of the anticyclone, what that does is two things, it helps to deflect
the westerly jet and feeds negative potential vorticity from the south into
the high - both help to maintain the block. The low to the south, by itself
will not normally break down a block. It sometimes does happen but rarely.
Looking more closely it seems that that run wanted to collapse our present
high quickly before the northern retrogressed high built, this is at odds
with the ensemble mean. What it might be signalling though is the
possibility of some organised rain/snow in the SW as the low pressure
weakness brushes northwestwards.

Will
--

"Will Hand" wrote in message
...

"Keith (Southend)" wrote in message
...
Will Hand wrote:
"James Brown" wrote in message
...
Is it a warm outlier I wonder - the encroaching warmer air from the SW
seems to at least temporarily make it through the block....

Not so cheers!
--
James Brown

Yep a marked warm outlier. Ignore it.

Will

I do admire your confidence Will :-)


Thanks keith, but it's based on a lot of experience and knowledge. In
these situations, once a block becomes established with an anchoring low
to the south of the anticyclone, what that does is two things, it helps to
deflect the westerly jet and feeds negative potential vorticity from the
south into the high - both help to maintain the block. The low to the
south, by itself will not normally break down a block. It sometimes does
happen but rarely. Looking more closely it seems that that run wanted to
collapse our present high quickly before the northern retrogressed high
built, this is at odds with the ensemble mean. What it might be signalling
though is the possibility of some organised rain/snow in the SW as the low
pressure weakness brushes northwestwards.

Will
--------------------
Well I've entered the winter spirit - go to www.laindonweather.co.uk
If that doesn't b*gger it up nothing will ;-) (No polar bears though)

Dave
--

wrote in message
...
Will,

Can I ask a personal question?

What is your background, have you, or do you still work for the Met
Office, because your forecasts are far better than any I see on the
Met Office Website, or the BBC.

Regards,

Bonos Ego.

Oh boy look at 'em, Christmas puke job in this thread. The Hound must have a
halo bigger than a hula hoop if that can be big enough.
DaveR

On Dec 24, 8:09*pm, "Will Hand" wrote:

Thanks keith, but it's based on a lot of experience and knowledge.
Will
--

No modesty there then.... ;^)

Steve
www.rockbeareweather.co.uk

Dave R. wrote:

wrote in message
...
Will,

Can I ask a personal question?

What is your background, have you, or do you still work for the Met
Office, because your forecasts are far better than any I see on the
Met Office Website, or the BBC.

Regards,

Bonos Ego.

Oh boy look at 'em, Christmas puke job in this thread. The Hound must
have a halo bigger than a hula hoop if that can be big enough.
DaveR

Uncalled for Dave

"Neil" wrote in message
...
Dave R. wrote:

wrote in message
...
Will,

Can I ask a personal question?

What is your background, have you, or do you still work for the Met
Office, because your forecasts are far better than any I see on the
Met Office Website, or the BBC.

Regards,

Bonos Ego.

Oh boy look at 'em, Christmas puke job in this thread. The Hound must
have a halo bigger than a hula hoop if that can be big enough.
DaveR

Uncalled for Dave

Certainly not - It stands ..so show me the swear word?