uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged.

Reply
 
LinkBack Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #1   Report Post  
Old October 28th 09, 06:17 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Mar 2008
Posts: 10,601
Default Storm for Sunday?

12z gfs has Sunday's depression on a very interesting track. I feel
that the low centre wil end up further North than currently forecast,
but there's some gales and heavy rain likely to be wrapped around that
low and it could prove to be a damaging storm. Lots of leaves still
left on trees and lots of blocked drains too.

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn962.png

Further afield, it looks like Autumn will hit the Med next week. Perf
Anyone who has escaped for half-term, to the western Med, at least,
has had some super October weather, but anyone who has tried to save
some money and tried to escape the kids in the resorts, or taken the
kids out of school to benefit from cheaper deals, might wish they
chosen this week instead!!

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1802.png


  #2   Report Post  
Old October 28th 09, 06:26 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Nov 2004
Posts: 7,921
Default Storm for Sunday?

Great minds think alike. Simultaneously I started a similar thread!
Yes it could be further north OTOH it could slow even more and deepen
further south. Ensembles will be key to arriving at a most likely position.

Will
--

"Dawlish" wrote in message
...
12z gfs has Sunday's depression on a very interesting track. I feel
that the low centre wil end up further North than currently forecast,
but there's some gales and heavy rain likely to be wrapped around that
low and it could prove to be a damaging storm. Lots of leaves still
left on trees and lots of blocked drains too.

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn962.png

Further afield, it looks like Autumn will hit the Med next week. Perf
Anyone who has escaped for half-term, to the western Med, at least,
has had some super October weather, but anyone who has tried to save
some money and tried to escape the kids in the resorts, or taken the
kids out of school to benefit from cheaper deals, might wish they
chosen this week instead!!

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1802.png


  #3   Report Post  
Old October 29th 09, 07:39 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Mar 2008
Posts: 10,601
Default Storm for Sunday?

On Oct 28, 6:26*pm, "Will Hand" wrote:
Great minds think alike. Simultaneously I started a similar thread!
Yes it could be further north OTOH it could slow even more and deepen
further south. Ensembles will be key to arriving at a most likely position.

  #4   Report Post  
Old October 29th 09, 07:51 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Mar 2008
Posts: 10,601
Default Storm for Sunday?

On Oct 29, 7:39*am, Dawlish wrote:
On Oct 28, 6:26*pm, "Will Hand" wrote:





Great minds think alike. Simultaneously I started a similar thread!
Yes it could be further north OTOH it could slow even more and deepen
further south. Ensembles will be key to arriving at a most likely position.


Will
--


"Dawlish" wrote in message


....


12z gfs has Sunday's depression on a very interesting track. I feel
that the low centre wil end up further North than currently forecast,
but there's some gales and heavy rain likely to be wrapped around that
low and it could prove to be a damaging storm. Lots of leaves still
left on trees and lots of blocked drains too.


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn962.png


Further afield, it looks like Autumn will hit the Med next week. Perf
Anyone who has escaped for half-term, to the western Med, at least,
has had some super October weather, but anyone who has tried to save
some money and tried to escape the kids in the resorts, or taken the
kids out of school to benefit from cheaper deals, might wish they
chosen this week instead!!


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1802.png-Hide quoted text -


- Show quoted text -


Not quite the same track this morning and the 00z gfs takes the
depression across Northern Ireland and then across Scotland, but still
with some strong winds and heavy rain,. Definitely one to watch ATM.- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -


Sorry, posted too early!

I'd add that it also looks as if the UK is in for a spell of windy
weather which could last right the way through next week. The 00zgfs
shows little respite until next Friday. The ECM is similar, but is
promising a much colder plunge and north-easterlies next weekend.
Brrr. "If only we had that chart in January", I can hear a few saying!

http://www.ecmwf.int/products/foreca...test!chart.gif
  #5   Report Post  
Old October 29th 09, 05:44 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Sep 2007
Posts: 16
Default Storm for Sunday?

On Oct 29, 7:51*am, Dawlish wrote:
On Oct 29, 7:39*am, Dawlish wrote:





On Oct 28, 6:26*pm, "Will Hand" wrote:


Great minds think alike. Simultaneously I started a similar thread!
Yes it could be further north OTOH it could slow even more and deepen
further south. Ensembles will be key to arriving at a most likely position.


Will
--


"Dawlish" wrote in message


....


12z gfs has Sunday's depression on a very interesting track. I feel
that the low centre wil end up further North than currently forecast,
but there's some gales and heavy rain likely to be wrapped around that
low and it could prove to be a damaging storm. Lots of leaves still
left on trees and lots of blocked drains too.


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn962.png


Further afield, it looks like Autumn will hit the Med next week. Perf
Anyone who has escaped for half-term, to the western Med, at least,
has had some super October weather, but anyone who has tried to save
some money and tried to escape the kids in the resorts, or taken the
kids out of school to benefit from cheaper deals, might wish they
chosen this week instead!!


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rt...png-Hidequoted text -


- Show quoted text -


Not quite the same track this morning and the 00z gfs takes the
depression across Northern Ireland and then across Scotland, but still
with some strong winds and heavy rain,. Definitely one to watch ATM.- Hide quoted text -


- Show quoted text -


Sorry, posted too early!

I'd add that it also looks as if the UK is in for a spell of windy
weather which could last right the way through next week. The 00zgfs
shows little respite until next Friday. The ECM is similar, but is
promising a much colder plunge and north-easterlies next weekend.
Brrr. "If only we had that chart in January", I can hear a few saying!

http://www.ecmwf.int/products/foreca...products/f...- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -


Anyone care to take a bet that rainfall in NW Cambs is more than 5mm
in next 7 days ? Damn this Indian Summer, had enough of it. I do hope
that the water companies are preparing for a drought next summer.
wouldnt be surprised if they wait until the horse has bolted before
closing the stable door.
Ned (fed up)


  #6   Report Post  
Old October 29th 09, 05:59 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Mar 2008
Posts: 10,601
Default Storm for Sunday?

On Oct 29, 5:44*pm, ned flanders wrote:
On Oct 29, 7:51*am, Dawlish wrote:





On Oct 29, 7:39*am, Dawlish wrote:


On Oct 28, 6:26*pm, "Will Hand" wrote:


Great minds think alike. Simultaneously I started a similar thread!
Yes it could be further north OTOH it could slow even more and deepen
further south. Ensembles will be key to arriving at a most likely position.


Will
--


"Dawlish" wrote in message


...


12z gfs has Sunday's depression on a very interesting track. I feel
that the low centre wil end up further North than currently forecast,
but there's some gales and heavy rain likely to be wrapped around that
low and it could prove to be a damaging storm. Lots of leaves still
left on trees and lots of blocked drains too.


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn962.png


Further afield, it looks like Autumn will hit the Med next week. Perf
Anyone who has escaped for half-term, to the western Med, at least,
has had some super October weather, but anyone who has tried to save
some money and tried to escape the kids in the resorts, or taken the
kids out of school to benefit from cheaper deals, might wish they
chosen this week instead!!


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rt...Hidequotedtext -


- Show quoted text -


Not quite the same track this morning and the 00z gfs takes the
depression across Northern Ireland and then across Scotland, but still
with some strong winds and heavy rain,. Definitely one to watch ATM.- Hide quoted text -


- Show quoted text -


Sorry, posted too early!


I'd add that it also looks as if the UK is in for a spell of windy
weather which could last right the way through next week. The 00zgfs
shows little respite until next Friday. The ECM is similar, but is
promising a much colder plunge and north-easterlies next weekend.
Brrr. "If only we had that chart in January", I can hear a few saying!


http://www.ecmwf.int/products/foreca...ducts/f...Hide quoted text -


- Show quoted text -


Anyone care to take a bet that rainfall in NW Cambs is more than 5mm
in next 7 days ? Damn this Indian Summer, had enough of it. I do hope
that the water companies are preparing for a drought next summer.
wouldnt be surprised if they wait until the horse has bolted before
closing the stable door.
Ned (fed up)- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -


Poor you! I think your drought is about to break Ned! I'll bet you a
virtual pint of Atom Splitter that you've recorded 5mm of rain by
0800 on Monday!
  #7   Report Post  
Old October 29th 09, 06:05 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Nov 2004
Posts: 7,921
Default Storm for Sunday?


"Dawlish" wrote in message
...
On Oct 29, 7:39 am, Dawlish wrote:
On Oct 28, 6:26 pm, "Will Hand" wrote:





Great minds think alike. Simultaneously I started a similar thread!
Yes it could be further north OTOH it could slow even more and deepen
further south. Ensembles will be key to arriving at a most likely
position.


Will
--


"Dawlish" wrote in message


...


12z gfs has Sunday's depression on a very interesting track. I feel
that the low centre wil end up further North than currently forecast,
but there's some gales and heavy rain likely to be wrapped around that
low and it could prove to be a damaging storm. Lots of leaves still
left on trees and lots of blocked drains too.


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn962.png


Further afield, it looks like Autumn will hit the Med next week. Perf
Anyone who has escaped for half-term, to the western Med, at least,
has had some super October weather, but anyone who has tried to save
some money and tried to escape the kids in the resorts, or taken the
kids out of school to benefit from cheaper deals, might wish they
chosen this week instead!!


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1802.png-Hide quoted text -


- Show quoted text -


Not quite the same track this morning and the 00z gfs takes the
depression across Northern Ireland and then across Scotland, but still
with some strong winds and heavy rain,. Definitely one to watch ATM.- Hide
quoted text -

- Show quoted text -


Sorry, posted too early!

I'd add that it also looks as if the UK is in for a spell of windy
weather which could last right the way through next week. The 00zgfs
shows little respite until next Friday. The ECM is similar, but is
promising a much colder plunge and north-easterlies next weekend.
Brrr. "If only we had that chart in January", I can hear a few saying!

http://www.ecmwf.int/products/foreca...test!chart.gif

==============

Oh if only it were March!

Will
--

  #8   Report Post  
Old October 29th 09, 06:25 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Nov 2004
Posts: 7,921
Default Storm for Sunday?


"Malcolm" wrote in message
...

In article
,
Dawlish writes
On Oct 28, 6:26 pm, "Will Hand" wrote:
Great minds think alike. Simultaneously I started a similar thread!
Yes it could be further north OTOH it could slow even more and deepen
further south. Ensembles will be key to arriving at a most likely
position.

Will
--

"Dawlish" wrote in message

...



12z gfs has Sunday's depression on a very interesting track. I feel
that the low centre wil end up further North than currently forecast,
but there's some gales and heavy rain likely to be wrapped around that
low and it could prove to be a damaging storm. Lots of leaves still
left on trees and lots of blocked drains too.

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn962.png

Further afield, it looks like Autumn will hit the Med next week. Perf
Anyone who has escaped for half-term, to the western Med, at least,
has had some super October weather, but anyone who has tried to save
some money and tried to escape the kids in the resorts, or taken the
kids out of school to benefit from cheaper deals, might wish they
chosen this week instead!!

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1802.png- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -


Not quite the same track this morning and the 00z gfs takes the
depression across Northern Ireland and then across Scotland, but still
with some strong winds and heavy rain,. Definitely one to watch ATM.


During today, http://www.xcweather.co.uk/ have downgraded it and pushed it
further north. This morning, Islay (where I live) was set for force 8-9
for the much of the daytime. Now, it's a mere force 7, and even further
north into the Outer Hebrides it isn't given more than force 8. Northern
Ireland hasn't anywhere above force 6.

--
Malcolm


It's a tricky one for sure. We need to wait until it is within time range of
high resolution NWP models.
06Z run tomorrow (friday) should start to see it better handled. Having said
that the wave starts near the Azores a relatively data rich region, however,
models historically have trouble with waves coming from the SW. My option is
that it will end up in the Irish Sea and then slide across northern England
but confidence is only 30%. The best charts to keep an eye on it will be the
UKmet FAX charts as these will represent the best estimate from the human
forecaster team at Exeter.

Will
--

  #9   Report Post  
Old October 29th 09, 06:46 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Apr 2009
Posts: 956
Default Storm for Sunday?

On Oct 29, 6:05*pm, "Will Hand" wrote:
"Dawlish" wrote in message

...
On Oct 29, 7:39 am, Dawlish wrote:



On Oct 28, 6:26 pm, "Will Hand" wrote:


Great minds think alike. Simultaneously I started a similar thread!
Yes it could be further north OTOH it could slow even more and deepen
further south. Ensembles will be key to arriving at a most likely
position.


Will
--


"Dawlish" wrote in message


....


12z gfs has Sunday's depression on a very interesting track. I feel
that the low centre wil end up further North than currently forecast,
but there's some gales and heavy rain likely to be wrapped around that
low and it could prove to be a damaging storm. Lots of leaves still
left on trees and lots of blocked drains too.


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn962.png


Further afield, it looks like Autumn will hit the Med next week. Perf
Anyone who has escaped for half-term, to the western Med, at least,
has had some super October weather, but anyone who has tried to save
some money and tried to escape the kids in the resorts, or taken the
kids out of school to benefit from cheaper deals, might wish they
chosen this week instead!!


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rt...png-Hidequoted text -


- Show quoted text -


Not quite the same track this morning and the 00z gfs takes the
depression across Northern Ireland and then across Scotland, but still
with some strong winds and heavy rain,. Definitely one to watch ATM.- Hide
quoted text -


- Show quoted text -


Sorry, posted too early!

I'd add that it also looks as if the UK is in for a spell of windy
weather which could last right the way through next week. The 00zgfs
shows little respite until next Friday. The ECM is similar, but is
promising a much colder plunge and north-easterlies next weekend.
Brrr. "If only we had that chart in January", I can hear a few saying!

http://www.ecmwf.int/products/foreca...log/products/f...

==============

Oh if only it were March!

Will
--


That's the problem with November, it's very very difficult to get (on
the one hand) warm sunny weather and (on the other) snow. It's
probably the only month of the year when neither of those will happen
in central southern England. Something of a month to just "get
through" it has to be said... Contrast to March and April when both
happen, usually within a couple of days of each other!

Nick
  #10   Report Post  
Old October 29th 09, 08:07 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Jul 2007
Posts: 1,810
Default Storm for Sunday?

On 29 Oct, 18:10, Malcolm wrote:
In article
,
Dawlish writes





On Oct 28, 6:26*pm, "Will Hand" wrote:
Great minds think alike. Simultaneously I started a similar thread!
Yes it could be further north OTOH it could slow even more and deepen
further south. Ensembles will be key to arriving at a most likely position.


Will
--


"Dawlish" wrote in message


....


12z gfs has Sunday's depression on a very interesting track. I feel
that the low centre wil end up further North than currently forecast,
but there's some gales and heavy rain likely to be wrapped around that
low and it could prove to be a damaging storm. Lots of leaves still
left on trees and lots of blocked drains too.


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn962.png


Further afield, it looks like Autumn will hit the Med next week. Perf
Anyone who has escaped for half-term, to the western Med, at least,
has had some super October weather, but anyone who has tried to save
some money and tried to escape the kids in the resorts, or taken the
kids out of school to benefit from cheaper deals, might wish they
chosen this week instead!!


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1802.png-Hide quoted text -


- Show quoted text -


Not quite the same track this morning and the 00z gfs takes the
depression across Northern Ireland and then across Scotland, but still
with some strong winds and heavy rain,. Definitely one to watch ATM.


During today,http://www.xcweather.co.uk/have downgraded it and pushed
it further north. This morning, Islay (where I live) was set for force
8-9 for the much of the daytime. Now, it's a mere force 7, and even
further north into the Outer Hebrides it isn't given more than force 8.
Northern Ireland hasn't anywhere above force 6.

--
Malcolm- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -


XCWeather is still forecasting a Force 8 for Penzance 03:00 Sunday,
Force 9 for Scilly, though it looks like being short lived, just
before the front goes through.( www.xcweather.co.uk/ ) Also it looks
like being SSW rather than SSE, which is the 'bad' direction here. The
tides aren't big, so there probably won't be any problems. On 20th Oct
there was some flooding due to a large Spring tide coinciding with
strongest onshore wind. This was widely mis-reported as being due to
heavy rain (The flooding that is not the wind). It led to delays on
the trains into Pz, and minor damage to the sea defences at Long Rock,
just east of Pz. Also it led to the pier car park at Mousehole being
shut for safety reasons for the 1st time since Spring. An
exceptionally late date for this, a reflaction of the exceptionally
quiet Autumn.

Surf was small today,

Graham
Penzance

Significant 21stC storms:- www.turnstone-cottage.co.uk/wpage9.html


Reply
Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules

Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On


Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
Sunday Sunday The Good Poster alt.binaries.pictures.weather (Weather Photos) 3 March 30th 10 03:48 PM
Trick or Treat Sunday Storm Len Wood uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) 6 November 2nd 09 03:29 PM
Sunday's storm Penzance Graham Easterling[_2_] uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) 2 January 15th 08 07:23 PM
Spectacular storm front - Guildford Sunday a.m. T uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) 2 November 28th 06 09:38 PM
Sunday's Storm Chris Handscomb uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) 2 September 7th 03 07:39 AM


All times are GMT. The time now is 10:32 PM.

Powered by vBulletin® Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Copyright ©2004-2025 Weather Banter.
The comments are property of their posters.
 

About Us

"It's about Weather"

 

Copyright © 2017