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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#21
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On 10/02/2015 16:17, Jim Cannon wrote:
On Tuesday, February 10, 2015 at 8:11:59 AM UTC, Malcolm wrote: In article , Jim Cannon writes On Monday, February 9, 2015 at 7:50:50 PM UTC, Malcolm wrote: In article , Martin Brown writes On 08/02/2015 20:41, Jim Cannon wrote: The guvnor went along to the RMetS socierty meeting on Saturday. Here is his report "The Failure & Fraud [snip incoherent denier rant] of the Grand Charlatan and his sock puppet are clear for all to see. Interesting that he counts failing to ask a question as "success" that is much like the self professed successes of his so called forecasts. It smacks of desperation t be believed, but in fact as the opposite effect. -- On the contrary Malcolm!! The gaffer collared a few NEW subscribers after the meeting exasperated RMETS members who are tired of being lied to and are looking for better VALUE for money from WeatherAction As I have your attention, Jim, please could you ask Piers what went wrong with this piece of his forecasting, issued on December 9th 2014: "The massive storm (map below for 10th 12noon) now heading for Britain and Ireland 9/10th bringing blizzard conditions for most parts and damaging gales or storms in all parts is essentially our top active period 5-8th extended a day or two. "This will then develop to set up the more Northerly VERY SEVERE SNOW AND BLIZZARD BLAST WITH EXTREME COLD AND GALES for the following period Friday 12th to Tue 16th . This was always forecast by WeatherAction (from 100days ahead with detail 27days ahead) to be more extreme and severe then 5-8th and that looks like what is going to hit. "This will probably be the most extreme 5 days of snow blizzards and and gales in Britain and Ireland for 100 years, being more severe than the worst events of December 2010 (which were also correctly forecast by WeatherAction)." Over to you, Jim Cannon. Are you a subscriber Malcolm? If so, and you are not 100% HAPPY with the service, you have the right to return your subscription. On the EXTREMELY rare occasion subs are unhappy weatheraction can take action. At the moment their are one or two taking our vastly reduced rate in view of any snow disappointment. Which is MORE than you can say for the Met Office! Every time they get a forecast wrong we dont get tax rebates do we! The amount of times theyve dropped a clanger I think wed all be MILLIONAIRES LOL!!! Answer the question that you were asked. |
#22
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On Tuesday, February 10, 2015 at 9:45:40 PM UTC, Malcolm wrote:
In article , Jim Cannon writes On Tuesday, February 10, 2015 at 8:40:14 PM UTC, Dawlish wrote: On Tuesday, February 10, 2015 at 7:35:31 PM UTC, Malcolm wrote: In article , Jim Cannon writes On Tuesday, February 10, 2015 at 8:11:59 AM UTC, Malcolm wrote: In article , Jim Cannon writes On Monday, February 9, 2015 at 7:50:50 PM UTC, Malcolm wrote: In article , Martin Brown writes On 08/02/2015 20:41, Jim Cannon wrote: The guvnor went along to the RMetS socierty meeting on Saturday. Here is his report "The Failure & Fraud [snip incoherent denier rant] of the Grand Charlatan and his sock puppet are clear for all to see. Interesting that he counts failing to ask a question as "success" that is much like the self professed successes of his so called It smacks of desperation t be believed, but in fact as the opposite effect. -- On the contrary Malcolm!! The gaffer collared a few NEW subscribers after the meeting exasperated RMETS members who are tired of being lied to and are looking for better VALUE for money from WeatherAction As I have your attention, Jim, please could you ask Piers what went wrong with this piece of his forecasting, issued on December 9th 2014: "The massive storm (map below for 10th 12noon) now heading for Britain and Ireland 9/10th bringing blizzard conditions for most parts and damaging gales or storms in all parts is essentially our top active period 5-8th extended a day or two. "This will then develop to set up the more Northerly VERY SEVERE SNOW AND BLIZZARD BLAST WITH EXTREME COLD AND GALES for the following period Friday 12th to Tue 16th . This was always forecast by WeatherAction (from 100days ahead with detail 27days ahead) to be more extreme and severe then 5-8th and that looks like what is going to hit. "This will probably be the most extreme 5 days of snow blizzards and and gales in Britain and Ireland for 100 years, being more severe than the worst events of December 2010 (which were also correctly forecast by WeatherAction)." Over to you, Jim Cannon. Are you a subscriber Malcolm? If so, and you are not 100% HAPPY with the service, you have the right to return your subscription. On the EXTREMELY rare occasion subs are unhappy weatheraction can take action. At the moment their are one or two taking our vastly reduced rate in view of any snow disappointment. Which is MORE than you can say for the Met Office! Every time they get a forecast wrong we dont get tax rebates do we! The amount of times theyve dropped a clanger I think wed all be MILLIONAIRES LOL!!! Dear Jim I asked you a question and you did what everyone does when asked a question they can't answer, you asked a question of me and then tried diversionary tactics. I wasn't asking about the Met Office's forecasts, I was asking about this particular forecast of Corbyn who repeatedly claims how much better he is than the Met Office. Now, would you please re-read my question and answer it. I want to know what went wrong with that forecast posted here by you and repeating Corbyn's very definite forecast. It didn't contain any "ifs" or "buts", but instead clear statements of what was going to happen, including on the very next day, which almost anyone is capable of forecasting, even me. But not apparently Corbyn. So, what went wrong? -- Malcolm Waiting........... and laughing at piers' inability to cope with this simple question Its above my pay grade lads but heres one possible explanation: "a massive dark solar filament is on the earth facing portion of the sun ===http://ow.ly/IOChZ ===. This filament is "a tendril of plasma more than 1,000,000 km long held suspended above the surface of the sun by **magnetic forces**" [SpaceWeather 9 Feb 15]. It stretches from one side of suns southern hemisphere to the other. If youve been around here for some time then you will notice these dark solar filaments have put out previous cold forecasts in years gone by. Now why should it affect the forecast? Well Sir Piers theory is based upon the earth-solar (lunar modulated) MAGNETIC CONNECTION which affects circulation patterns/jetstream. This will affect the connection. This image gives a very good representation of magnetic field lines around the filament === http://ow.ly/IOATi === Ive been watching it since 3rd Feb (it has trebled in size since then) but how/if this has an impact on fcasts+going forward? Yet more diversionary tactics. I asked about 9th/10 December 2014 and you respond with comments about 3rd February 2015 Why don't you just confess that Corbyn made a complete balls up of that forecast? -- Malcolm Still waiting for piers................... quite hilarious |
#23
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On Tuesday, February 10, 2015 at 8:11:59 AM UTC, Malcolm wrote:
As I have your attention, Jim, please could you ask Piers what went wrong with this piece of his forecasting, issued on December 9th 2014: "The massive storm (map below for 10th 12noon) now heading for Britain and Ireland 9/10th bringing blizzard conditions for most parts and damaging gales or storms in all parts is essentially our top active period 5-8th extended a day or two. "This will then develop to set up the more Northerly VERY SEVERE SNOW AND BLIZZARD BLAST WITH EXTREME COLD AND GALES for the following period Friday 12th to Tue 16th . This was always forecast by WeatherAction (from 100days ahead with detail 27days ahead) to be more extreme and severe then 5-8th and that looks like what is going to hit. "This will probably be the most extreme 5 days of snow blizzards and and gales in Britain and Ireland for 100 years, being more severe than the worst events of December 2010 (which were also correctly forecast by WeatherAction)." Over to you, Jim Cannon. =========== One could also add questions regarding the assertions that: 1. Last August was likely to experience record-breaking heat (when in fact it was the only month of 2014 that was cooler than average): "It is going to be mostly sunny and very pleasant and we could even beat the record high for August of 101.3F (38.5C) set in 2003. We are definitely looking at what could turn out to be the hottest August on record after a cooler start to the month." 2. February 2015 could "bring some of the coldest weather for generations" to the UK. Stephen. |
#24
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On Tuesday, February 10, 2015 at 7:10:25 PM UTC, Jim Cannon wrote:
On Tuesday, February 10, 2015 at 5:12:10 PM UTC, John Hall wrote: -- Yes but people have a choice of whether they want to subscribe to Sir Piers. The Met Office is just foisted on people / the ones who pay tax that is Like the army, RAF and Navy foisted upon us? Not to mention the NHS foisted upon us, education foisted upon us, the police foisted upon us? It might be a revealing and a good response to the Met Office haters to see how much the Met Office forecasting saves the nation. |
#25
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On Wednesday, 11 February 2015 10:02:20 UTC, Stephen Davenport wrote:
1. We are definitely looking at what could turn out to be the hottest August on record after a cooler start to the month." 2. February 2015 could "bring some of the coldest weather for generations" to the UK. Oh Stephen for goodness' sake note the "could". Can't you interpret his forecasts properly? Meanwhile in my first forecast at Dixon Agreeable Weather Solutions, I reveal how London tomorrow could have 6 inches of snow. Richard |
#26
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Richard Dixon wrote:
On Wednesday, 11 February 2015 10:02:20 UTC, Stephen Davenport wrote: 1. We are definitely looking at what could turn out to be the hottest August on record after a cooler start to the month." 2. February 2015 could "bring some of the coldest weather for generations" to the UK. Oh Stephen for goodness' sake note the "could". Can't you interpret his forecasts properly? Meanwhile in my first forecast at Dixon Agreeable Weather Solutions, I reveal how London tomorrow could have 6 inches of snow. Richard The scuttlebut around the village here this morning is that 'they' say that there'll be more heavy snow here at the end of next week. When quizzed, though, no-one seemed to know who 'they' are. Once started, these rumours really do spread around like wildfire. I generally keep silent on these matters :-) -- Norman Lynagh Tideswell, Derbyshire 303m a.s.l. http://peakdistrictweather.org |
#27
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On Wednesday, 11 February 2015 13:24:40 UTC, Norman wrote:
The scuttlebut around the village here this morning is that 'they' say that there'll be more heavy snow here at the end of next week. When quizzed, though, no-one seemed to know who 'they' are. Once started, these rumours really do spread around like wildfire. I generally keep silent on these matters :-) Being "the bloke who does the weather" amongst my friends, I reckon about 25% of them will ask me at some point in the winter "I've heard we're going to get a cold winter/month/spell - is this true?" I usually ask whether they read it in the Mail/Express... Richard |
#28
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On Wednesday, February 11, 2015 at 1:15:07 PM UTC, Richard Dixon wrote:
Oh Stephen for goodness' sake note the "could". Can't you interpret his forecasts properly? Meanwhile in my first forecast at Dixon Agreeable Weather Solutions, I reveal how London tomorrow could have 6 inches of snow. ============= I consider myself rightfully upbraided. I think I must have got confused by the inclusion also of the word "definitely". I should start using that phraseology in my own forecasts: "definitely could" is a tremendous get-out from a busted forecast if one is also implying "certainly might not". By the way, two things about the meeting: since when was heckling considered so laudable anyway? And it fails to mention the chuckling that rippled around the room. Stephen. |
#29
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On Wednesday, February 11, 2015 at 1:24:40 PM UTC, Norman wrote:
Richard Dixon wrote: On Wednesday, 11 February 2015 10:02:20 UTC, Stephen Davenport wrote: 1. We are definitely looking at what could turn out to be the hottest August on record after a cooler start to the month." 2. February 2015 could "bring some of the coldest weather for generations" to the UK. Oh Stephen for goodness' sake note the "could". Can't you interpret his forecasts properly? Meanwhile in my first forecast at Dixon Agreeable Weather Solutions, I reveal how London tomorrow could have 6 inches of snow. Richard The scuttlebut around the village here this morning is that 'they' say that there'll be more heavy snow here at the end of next week. When quizzed, though, no-one seemed to know who 'they' are. Once started, these rumours really do spread around like wildfire. I generally keep silent on these matters :-) ======== There'll be more heavy snow in New England, though. And I'm not joking when I suggest that it might be seized upon in some quarters as some sort of verification. Stephen. |
#30
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In message , Norman
writes The scuttlebut around the village here this morning is that 'they' say that there'll be more heavy snow here at the end of next week. When quizzed, though, no-one seemed to know who 'they' are. Once started, these rumours really do spread around like wildfire. I generally keep silent on these matters :-) I wonder what the Daily Express front page headline is today? They are always a prime suspect. I've just looked on their website, and there doesn't seem to be anything there. -- I'm not paid to implement the recognition of irony. (Taken, with the author's permission, from a LiveJournal post) |
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