On Sunday, 9 October 2016 17:58:02 UTC+1, Weatherlawyer wrote:

'The dull overcast (almost mammatus) that makes the skies darken early that filled the skies almost all last winter were the product of volcanic action.'

Utter bilge. Firstly that simply didn't happen and secondly, the explanation is just stupid.

On Sunday, 9 October 2016 17:58:02 UTC+1, Weatherlawyer wrote:

The dull overcast (almost mammatus) that makes the skies darken early that filled the skies almost all last winter were the product of volcanic action.

And it just seems not likely to go away. In fact it is related to the smogs of a bygone age.

A nice sunny spell should take us into the 17th?

Then we get the apology from the delicate Mr Garvey. Only don't hold your breath.

On Wednesday, 12 October 2016 10:05:20 UTC+1, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Sunday, 9 October 2016 17:58:02 UTC+1, Weatherlawyer wrote:

The dull overcast (almost mammatus) that makes the skies darken early that filled the skies almost all last winter were the product of volcanic action.

And it just seems not likely to go away. In fact it is related to the smogs of a bygone age.

A nice sunny spell should take us into the 17th?

Then we get the apology from the delicate Mr Garvey. Only don't hold your breath.

And your forecast is/was/will be/will be constructed post event (again) that you have got absolutely bang on correct? Or would you rather that one wasn't made plain?

1/18 and counting.

On Wednesday, 12 October 2016 10:05:20 UTC+1, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Sunday, 9 October 2016 17:58:02 UTC+1, Weatherlawyer wrote:

The dull overcast (almost mammatus) that makes the skies darken early that filled the skies almost all last winter were the product of volcanic action.

And it just seems not likely to go away. In fact it is related to the smogs of a bygone age.

A nice sunny spell should take us into the 17th?

Then we get the apology from the delicate Mr Garvey. Only don't hold your breath.

And now for a little clarity o the matter of so many volcanic ash reports. it would be nice to be right bt I will settle to knowing what is going on in greater detail if that is an option.

Most of my devotees will have noticed the strange behaviou of tropical storms at the same that i did however there is still the illusion that a wet sheep saying baa knows what he is talking about.

let us refer to the lengths of the earthquake hiatus of gale force equivalents. 2 days ia a minimum for cyclogenesis, however what we have at the moment is a calm period and little high energy rotation about the southern oceans.

you had best make what you can from the NA-EFS over this, as it is quite beyond my ability, me not having seen it before. So much for counting sheep.

We are all under a depression caused, I imagine, by a discontinuity down near the southern Ocean where it is not being fed by the constant stream from the Rivers Plate and Amazon, although I rather think the Amazon's influence is less than the smaller more southerly river.

It is high summer in the Antarctic and what little cyclonic activity is going on is unable to get ashore and what does manage to broach is not swept out in such large volumes.

This is the discontinuity but it is still the great red storm of the creator's footstool. All it lacks to show us what it can do is the full import from Jupiter.

What we are having instead is a demonstration of what a strongly volcanic spell looks like when the sun is absorbing most of the gravitational effect of a binary star. The smaller one.
https://www.volcanodiscovery.com/volcano_news.html

Were we to have the full capacity we would be experiencing deep snow joymold (winter's fertiliser) what we are getting is an example of god's benevolence; he is demonstrating where there is muck there are fish.

And this season we will be seeing a record amount of phytoplankton despite the (likely) absence of a cataclysm such as a Pinatubo or Mt St Helens.

http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Fea...n/printall.php

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u1Vtdz4J7J8

This profusion of life is toxic -capable of producing nitrous oxides,even the bromides and iodides of red algal wastes. Fortunately the designer gave us trees to help us deal with it and, since we have cut them all down, let us produce hydrogen bombs so we can do their job wholesale in the interests of democracy.

And right down at the bottom of the statue we have the concrete feet of the democrats who will do it.

I am not getting at the Americans in particular; the passage I refer to tells us quite clearly it is the fault of all governments except god's.

Fortunately he has given us all a stone with which we can tell him the good news that there are one or two of us that do not bear the mark of the beast. You might say, as only a god could, that the rare earths came to the rescue of those with no hope of a vote!

13:20~ish BST. I have just been pinged by a volcanic eruption. Not painfully and not long. Anyone with tinnitus know anything more?

The overcast has cleared about the same time and the strange tropical storm sequence, aligned with cool weather here means no superquake unless I am about to learn more, on Wednesday/Thursday perhaps.

On Tuesday, 4 October 2016 11:03:52 UTC+1, Weatherlawyer wrote:
Having said all that, this:

5.7 Mb (magnitude) Luzon, Philippine Islands 2016/10/02, 13:40.

(For the hard of reading that is a pause of 28 hours.)

For Messrs Easterling and Cook that is 28 hours (and counting) of unimposed upon seiche development.

And back to wet-sheep mode:

Big baaa go boom go bomb!


And finally for us normals:

Something has has to relieve the monotony. Any more of it and there will be too much crosswind development for serious hurricane cyclo-genesis.

Not too much though (once it hits 30 hours or so) to reach tornadic-dercho-genesis.

Seeing that the skies are already heavily laden (one might say overladen) and along with everything else that is going on, it really does look like it is all over baaa the waiting.

Perhaps we can go baaaack a few threaads and recovaaaa some of the answers we may have missed from the questiaaans posed to Paul Foursocks Gaaaarvey in the winter of our discontent?

Or is is lack of content?
I know it's some form of contentiousness-foolishness. (And how can a lamebrain muttonheaded hard of reading numbskull like him get a job advising a nursery school?)

In the spirit of Mathew, I had better stop now before I say something I might regret.

Hahaha! Please continue. The gobbledygook gets denser by the post. 😂 😂 😂 😂

Come on W. Try a forecast. The 1/18 needs improvement.

In article ,
says...

Hahaha! Please continue


Oh, what fun....

--
Alan LeHun

On Sunday, 16 October 2016 20:23:45 UTC+1, Alan LeHun wrote:
In article ,
says...

Hahaha! Please continue


Oh, what fun....

--
Alan LeHun

I am not interested in forecasts and if I was I wouldn't be interested in maing them for him. I don't have the focu that the meteorologists on here have. If I bothered getting a Vantage pro it would be largely unused after remaining in its box for months or longer.

I just don't have any concentration and thus is a pointless taks keeping up with what the NA-efs and other charts I collect actually say.

Once i have discovered how something works I move on to the next puzzle and that by the definition of research is an all consuming hobby.

I can't sleep without thinking about it lasty thing and I don't usually get out of the toilet first thin in the morning withoup planning how I am going to make a post describing what I am thinking.

When I was working I was thinking about how the weather looked and how much I needed to earn before I could stop working. Largely that became a matter of how bad my health was towards the end.

But I would work until I had a couple of thousand in the bank then take a break until I was down to a few hundred.

Is there anyone on here that imagines I exist just to teach a wet sheep how to behave?

Back to the point:
Today's morning run fro Canada lacks a chart from its run. In my experience when that happens it is because the ensemble can not be deciphered fro the spaghetti produced by the different model runs that make it.

The first lore of thaumaturgy is that when the professional forecasts are uncertain the rule of thumb is downward towards big geo-phenomena.

We don't noramally get such problems fro other charts because the composites for the NA-EFS come from Mexico, USA and Canada. A vast area with all sorts of hamstrung problems from comparatives . Their ground stations are sited in places that climatologists have Clintonned to serve climategate but so far as i know the balloon and satellite data is still good.

Mexico and Canada (Canada is full of environmentalists but) has not suffered politically as much as the USA has. So how much is super-quake and how much is volcano and how much is derech/hurricanes or how much is skewed US data spoiling the model runs remains to be seen. The evening run should be available by now if you wish to look:

https://weather.gc.ca/ensemble/naefs/cartes_e.html
I use the "Pressure at sea level" charts and the hour selection is 00 or 12; you want 12.

On Sunday, 16 October 2016 22:34:23 UTC+1, Weatherlawyer wrote:

I am not interested in forecasts and if I was I wouldn't be interested in making them for him. I don't have the focus that the meteorologists on here have. If I bothered getting a Vantage Pro, it would be largely unused after remaining in its box for months or longer.

I just don't have any concentration and thus is a pointless task, keeping up with what the NA-EFS and other charts I collect actually say.

Once I have discovered how something works, I move on to the next puzzle and that by the definition of research is an all consuming hobby.

I can't go to sleep at night without thinking about it last thing and I don't usually get out of the toilet first thing in the morning without planning how I am going to make a post describing what I am thinking.

When I was working, I was thinking about how the weather looked and how much I needed to earn before I could stop working, so that I could get on with my first love. Largely, that became a matter of how bad my health was towards the end.

But I would work until I had a couple of thousand in the bank then take a break until I was down to a few hundred.

Is there anyone on here that imagines I exist just to teach a wet sheep how to behave?

Back to the point:
Today's morning run from Canada lacks a chart from its run. In my experience when that happens it is because the ensemble can not be deciphered from the spaghetti produced by the different model runs that make it.

The first lore of thaumaturgy is that when the professional forecasts are uncertain, the rule of thumb points towards big geo-phenomena.

We don't normally get such problems from other charts because the composites for the NA-EFS come from Mexico, USA and Canada. A vast area with all sorts of hamstrung problems from comparatives.

Their ground stations are sited in places that climatologists have Clintoned to serve climategate but so far as I know, the balloon and satellite data is still good.

Mexico and Canada (Canada is full of environmentalists but...) has not suffered politically as much as the USA has. So how much is super-quake and how much is volcano and how much is derecho/hurricanes or how much is skewed US data spoiling the model runs, remains to be seen.

The evening run should be available by now if you wish to look:

Still missing the last chart.

https://weather.gc.ca/ensemble/naefs/cartes_e.html
I use the "Pressure at sea level" charts and the hour selection is 00 or 12; you want 12.

Another thing is that as the proximity of large magnitude earthquake pulls in, my spelling falls apart. And my thinking power refuses me a chance to relax and go over it.

What a magnitude 6+ looks like is a pair of adjacent cyclones or anticylones (whichever so long as they are twins) which disappear from the next day on the run. There is no point looking past 5 days as such a set up will generate a ridge or trough, breaking the sequence.

All the more so if there are three in a straight line as is available at the bottom of the chart for the first one in the 14 given in the noon UTC run..

If there are three adjacent similar air masses in a straight line over two or three consecutive days there will be volcanic eruptions. This will be in the North American hemisphere from Kamchatka to Europe and you can tell by the angle from equatorial where this is likely to be.
It seems to work like a pendulum suspended from the North Pole.

Similarly, with a line of Anticylones the eruption will be mainly on the other side of the planet; say from Fiji to Eastern Europe.

If the sequence pulls in a block that reduces the geophysics to a magnitude 6 earthquake; three in a line become a larger earthquake instead of volcanic in nature.

For some reason I have not quite grasped, tropical storms are dampened down by a coming large quake and for a super-quake are entirely absent.