================================================== ==================
This posting expresses the personal view and opinions of the author.
Something which everyone on this planet should be able to do.
================================================== ==================

As you know I rarely update forecasts on here, but in light of the very serious
forecast situation next week I have made an exception.

The "dire, doom and gloom" scenario now looks like a 60% possibility.
On Sunday afternoon rain will reach the SW, quickly turning to sleet and snow
above 200m this will then move steadily east across southern England during the
evening and night, possibly giving temporary blizzard conditions above 300m. SE
England could well have problems Monday morning as northeasterlies set in behind
the low. The Midlands and Wales could escape the heaviest precipitation but snow
showers will be draped around exposed coasts and hills.

The emphasis for the rest of the week remains for sub-zero maxes in many places
with heavy snow at times associated with slow moving upper vortices. Northern
and eastern areas are most at risk with potential for blocked roads and serious
skin-damaging wind chill in mountains where the north wind could touch gale. The
elderly and livestock are also at risk.

No sign of a thaw until next Saturday at the earliest and then I suspect it will
be a messy dirty affair with avalanche risk in mountains.

Looking further afield, as the very cold sub-516 DAM air floods south over
France and hits the warm waters of the Med there is the potential for violent
thunderstorms and catastrophic flooding in the south of France and parts of
northern Italy. The Alps could also see huge snowfalls and attendant avalanche
threat due to shear volume of snow.

Please take care next week.

Will.
--

" A cup is most useful when empty "
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet).

mailto:
www: http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk

DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal
and do not necessarily represent those of my employer.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

As ever - thankyou very much for the update - your thoughts are much
appreciated.

Mark.

"Will" wrote in message
...

================================================== ==================
This posting expresses the personal view and opinions of the author.
Something which everyone on this planet should be able to do.
================================================== ==================

As you know I rarely update forecasts on here, but in light of the very
serious
forecast situation next week I have made an exception.

The "dire, doom and gloom" scenario now looks like a 60% possibility.
On Sunday afternoon rain will reach the SW, quickly turning to sleet and
snow
above 200m this will then move steadily east across southern England
during the
evening and night, possibly giving temporary blizzard conditions above
300m. SE
England could well have problems Monday morning as northeasterlies set in
behind
the low. The Midlands and Wales could escape the heaviest precipitation
but snow
showers will be draped around exposed coasts and hills.

The emphasis for the rest of the week remains for sub-zero maxes in many
places
with heavy snow at times associated with slow moving upper vortices.
Northern
and eastern areas are most at risk with potential for blocked roads and
serious
skin-damaging wind chill in mountains where the north wind could touch
gale. The
elderly and livestock are also at risk.

No sign of a thaw until next Saturday at the earliest and then I suspect
it will
be a messy dirty affair with avalanche risk in mountains.

Looking further afield, as the very cold sub-516 DAM air floods south over
France and hits the warm waters of the Med there is the potential for
violent
thunderstorms and catastrophic flooding in the south of France and parts
of
northern Italy. The Alps could also see huge snowfalls and attendant
avalanche
threat due to shear volume of snow.

Please take care next week.

Will.
--

" A cup is most useful when empty "
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----
A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet).

mailto:
www: http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk

DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal
and do not necessarily represent those of my employer.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----

Thanks Will!

I think it's time for me to jump on-board the snow-boat now.

Tom
Danbury, Essex (107m)

"Mark Buckley" wrote in
message ...
As ever - thankyou very much for the update - your thoughts are much
appreciated.


I'd like to second that, the measured nature of the forecasts, and the way
you give the probabilities etc make them a very useful guide.

Jim Webster

"Will" wrote in message ...

================================================== ==================
This posting expresses the personal view and opinions of the author.
Something which everyone on this planet should be able to do.
================================================== ==================

As you know I rarely update forecasts on here, but in light of the very serious
forecast situation next week I have made an exception.

The "dire, doom and gloom" scenario now looks like a 60% possibility.
On Sunday afternoon rain will reach the SW, quickly turning to sleet and snow
above 200m this will then move steadily east across southern England during the
evening and night, possibly giving temporary blizzard conditions above 300m. SE
England could well have problems Monday morning as northeasterlies set in behind
the low. The Midlands and Wales could escape the heaviest precipitation but snow
showers will be draped around exposed coasts and hills.

The emphasis for the rest of the week remains for sub-zero maxes in many places
with heavy snow at times associated with slow moving upper vortices. Northern
and eastern areas are most at risk with potential for blocked roads and serious
skin-damaging wind chill in mountains where the north wind could touch gale. The
elderly and livestock are also at risk.

No sign of a thaw until next Saturday at the earliest and then I suspect it will
be a messy dirty affair with avalanche risk in mountains.

Looking further afield, as the very cold sub-516 DAM air floods south over
France and hits the warm waters of the Med there is the potential for violent
thunderstorms and catastrophic flooding in the south of France and parts of
northern Italy. The Alps could also see huge snowfalls and attendant avalanche
threat due to shear volume of snow.

Please take care next week.

Will.
--

" A cup is most useful when empty "
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet).

mailto:
www: http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk

DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal
and do not necessarily represent those of my employer.

Thanks for that update Will.
Any chance of polar lows coming down the Irish Sea?

Regards,

Rob
Chester, UK
http://www.west-cheshire.ac.uk/weather/

Heating fixed and patio door now in, I'm ready to ride the storm :-)

Man thanks Will, I know you've personally sorted this for all us sad
gits :-)

Keith (Southend)

********************************
'Weather Home & Abroad'
http://www.southendweather.net
********************************
COL Station for Southend-on-Sea
http://www.wunderground.com/weathers...p?ID=IESSEXSO1
********************************
Reply to: kreh'at'southendweather'dot'net
All mail scanned for virus's using Norton 2003

Typical as always here in Bournemouth we will miss out !!


"Will" wrote in message
...

================================================== ==================
This posting expresses the personal view and opinions of the author.
Something which everyone on this planet should be able to do.
================================================== ==================

As you know I rarely update forecasts on here, but in light of the very
serious
forecast situation next week I have made an exception.

The "dire, doom and gloom" scenario now looks like a 60% possibility.
On Sunday afternoon rain will reach the SW, quickly turning to sleet and
snow
above 200m this will then move steadily east across southern England
during the
evening and night, possibly giving temporary blizzard conditions above
300m. SE
England could well have problems Monday morning as northeasterlies set in
behind
the low. The Midlands and Wales could escape the heaviest precipitation
but snow
showers will be draped around exposed coasts and hills.

The emphasis for the rest of the week remains for sub-zero maxes in many
places
with heavy snow at times associated with slow moving upper vortices.
Northern
and eastern areas are most at risk with potential for blocked roads and
serious
skin-damaging wind chill in mountains where the north wind could touch
gale. The
elderly and livestock are also at risk.

No sign of a thaw until next Saturday at the earliest and then I suspect
it will
be a messy dirty affair with avalanche risk in mountains.

Looking further afield, as the very cold sub-516 DAM air floods south over
France and hits the warm waters of the Med there is the potential for
violent
thunderstorms and catastrophic flooding in the south of France and parts
of
northern Italy. The Alps could also see huge snowfalls and attendant
avalanche
threat due to shear volume of snow.

Please take care next week.

Will.
--

" A cup is most useful when empty "
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----
A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet).

mailto:
www: http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk

DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal
and do not necessarily represent those of my employer.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----

Thanks for that update Will.
Any chance of polar lows coming down the Irish Sea?

Regards,


Hi Rob, always a chance in a very cold northerly with deep cold air and vigorous
convection over the sea. Exact track would depend on wind flow.
Good tip would be to watch the satellite imagery once the cold spell gets going,
look out for clusters of showers forming which then take on a 'comma' or 'swirl'
shape. Word of caution though, polar lows can disintegrate very quickly, so
tracking may be tricky.

Will.
--

"Keith (Southend)" wrote in message
...
Heating fixed and patio door now in, I'm ready to ride the storm :-)

Man thanks Will, I know you've personally sorted this for all us sad
gits :-)

Rob McElwee was on this evening, showing a chart for Tuesday
suggesting it won't even get above freezing over most of the
country. So how cold are the nights going to be?
Perhaps not as cold as you might think if the wind keeps up.

He said that next week we were probably going to suffer and there
was more than a little relish in the way he said it!

He's lovin' it!

Col
--
Bolton, Lancashire.
160m asl.
http://www.reddwarfer.btinternet.co.uk

I must admit Paul, you are not well placed for snow in Bournemouth in this
situation.

At least it will get cold and brighter :-)

Perhaps later in the week or weekend another depression may be heading towards
the SW.

Will.
--

Paul S wrote in message ...
Typical as always here in Bournemouth we will miss out !!


"Will" wrote in message
...

================================================== ==================
This posting expresses the personal view and opinions of the author.
Something which everyone on this planet should be able to do.
================================================== ==================

As you know I rarely update forecasts on here, but in light of the very
serious
forecast situation next week I have made an exception.

The "dire, doom and gloom" scenario now looks like a 60% possibility.
On Sunday afternoon rain will reach the SW, quickly turning to sleet and
snow
above 200m this will then move steadily east across southern England
during the
evening and night, possibly giving temporary blizzard conditions above
300m. SE
England could well have problems Monday morning as northeasterlies set in
behind
the low. The Midlands and Wales could escape the heaviest precipitation
but snow
showers will be draped around exposed coasts and hills.

The emphasis for the rest of the week remains for sub-zero maxes in many
places
with heavy snow at times associated with slow moving upper vortices.
Northern
and eastern areas are most at risk with potential for blocked roads and
serious
skin-damaging wind chill in mountains where the north wind could touch
gale. The
elderly and livestock are also at risk.

No sign of a thaw until next Saturday at the earliest and then I suspect
it will
be a messy dirty affair with avalanche risk in mountains.

Looking further afield, as the very cold sub-516 DAM air floods south over
France and hits the warm waters of the Med there is the potential for
violent
thunderstorms and catastrophic flooding in the south of France and parts
of
northern Italy. The Alps could also see huge snowfalls and attendant
avalanche
threat due to shear volume of snow.

Please take care next week.

Will.
--

" A cup is most useful when empty "
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----
A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet).

mailto:
www: http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk

DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal
and do not necessarily represent those of my employer.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----