Snip to the bit I want to argue about!
Weather forecasting seems somewhat conservative in respect of adopting state
of the art research....
As Martin said, that is untrue. The Norwegian model may not have been
acepted in Britain quicky. However, that was nearly 100 years ago. I don't
think there are many meteorologists from that time who have moved to Exeter!

I am just interested in how the latest ideas filter in to weather forecasting practice.I believe
there have been debates (esp in the States)on the practice of synoptic analysis and presentation,and
also the slowness of movement of research results into practice.
It seems to me that the way features like upper air anomalies are presented in the analysis is
misleading and confusing.Vide these threads.

Off the thread..Where they are being conservative is in not admitting global warming is a
serious problem. You are one of the worst. I have given you evidence that
there will be a rapid climate change event within the next ten years, and yet
you have dismissed it, on the grounds that "The sky is not falling in!"
Where is your evidence?
Cheers, Alastair.
I do hope you are not attributing remarks to me that I have never made (once again).There is no hard
evidence that an impending rapid climate change event in the N Atlantic is immanent,and frankly it
shows a poor grasp of the arguments if you ask me to show evidence that it's not going to happen,

--
regards,
david
(add 17 to waghorne to reply)

On Fri, 13 Feb 2004 18:24:27 -0000, Martin Rowley wrote in


... turning into a very tasty feature now: the 500hPa is forecast to be
(by midday Sunday) down to MS30, associated with a sub-552dam upper low
/ sub 530dam Thickness. The model rainfall totals don't look too great
(somewhere around 1 to 2 mm per 6hr period), but the rain might linger
in any one point and make a mess of the day for some.

It seems to be over E England at present and there appears to be some
outbreaks of moderate rain now coming into the East Riding and
Lincolnshire.

Here is the latest GFS look at the surface and 500mb flow.

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn001.html

--
Mike 55.13°N 6.69°W Coleraine posted to uk.sci.weather 14/02/2004 13:18:12 UTC
Temperature 6.4C

"Mike Tullett" wrote in message
...
On Fri, 13 Feb 2004 18:24:27 -0000, Martin Rowley wrote in


... turning into a very tasty feature now: the 500hPa is forecast to be
(by midday Sunday) down to MS30, associated with a sub-552dam upper low
/ sub 530dam Thickness. The model rainfall totals don't look too great
(somewhere around 1 to 2 mm per 6hr period), but the rain might linger
in any one point and make a mess of the day for some.

It seems to be over E England at present and there appears to be some
outbreaks of moderate rain now coming into the East Riding and
Lincolnshire.

Here is the latest GFS look at the surface and 500mb flow.

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn001.html

Turning out to be quite a damp day in York. Mainly very light rain this
morning has now become more substantial. Radar suggests it's here for a
while in circulation of upper low. Another chart showing the low at 500MB
is..
http://weather.uwyo.edu/cgi-bin/uama...IME=2004021412
Cheers
John
--
York,
North Yorkshire.
(Norman Virus Protected)