Anyone like to guess where the most likely places are to develop any Heavy
Shower / Storm on Sunday PM ?


--
Adrian

http://www.vengaboy.plus.com/Weather/Ady's_Weather.htm

"Adrian" wrote in message
...
Anyone like to guess where the most likely places are to develop any Heavy
Shower / Storm on Sunday PM ?


In the east, e.g. East Midlands EGNX 241601Z 250018 16008KT 9999 SCT030
TEMPO 0208 7000 PROB30
TEMPO 0307 4000 BR PROB30 TEMPO 1118 7000 SHRA=

http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/cg...42518_2412.gif
http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/cg...42518_2412.gif

http://imkpc3.physik.uni-karlsruhe.de/pics/brack0a.gif

Jon.

Nowhere in the UK. It's only April, you know. Have patience.

TH.

"TudorHgh" wrote in message
...
Nowhere in the UK. It's only April, you know. Have patience.

TH.

I agree, Hell come on!! Like to have more days like today before any TS's
Maybe Mid/Late May before we shall see any TS action here in the SW.

Gary
Torquay

"Adrian" wrote in message
...
Anyone like to guess where the most likely places are to develop any Heavy
Shower / Storm on Sunday PM ?

western and central continental Greece.

Looking at the 7am radar - looks like heavy showers around The Wash ! -
cant confirm though

Paul

"Adrian" wrote in message
...
Anyone like to guess where the most likely places are to develop any Heavy
Shower / Storm on Sunday PM ?


--
Adrian

http://www.vengaboy.plus.com/Weather/Ady's_Weather.htm

"Paul Crabtree" (remove spam for valid
e-mail) wrote in message ...
Looking at the 7am radar - looks like heavy showers around The Wash
! -
cant confirm though

Paul

.... if you put 7 or 8 degC on the midnight Watnall ascent, then that
implies an intense surface-based inversion. The radarnet will attempt to
remove such anomalies, but in these situations, there are limits ... it
is not always easy to detect though, and cross-referral to observations
on the ground (where available), SFERIC's and satellite pictures will
usually help
sort it out. The Wash 'hell and damnation' zone is a common feature in
these set-ups. (The clue here are the reports of mist/patchy fog/haze -
still, near-surface air after a
cool night).

See the radar FAQ for more on this ...

http://homepage.ntlworld.com/booty.w...o/radarFAQ.htm
(see paragraph B2)

However, note that the same ascent *does* imply instability later on,
with sufficiently high temperatures (or a dynamic trigger), so the
situation isn't straightforward by any means ;-)

Martin.

--
FAQ & Glossary for uk.sci.weather at:-
http://homepage.ntlworld.com/booty.weather/uswfaqfr.htm

"Martin Rowley" wrote in message
...

"Paul Crabtree" (remove spam for valid
e-mail) wrote in message ...
Looking at the 7am radar - looks like heavy showers around The Wash
! -
cant confirm though

Paul

... if you put 7 or 8 degC on the midnight Watnall ascent, then that
implies an intense surface-based inversion. The radarnet will attempt to
remove such anomalies, but in these situations, there are limits ... it
is not always easy to detect though, and cross-referral to observations
on the ground (where available), SFERIC's and satellite pictures will
usually help
sort it out. The Wash 'hell and damnation' zone is a common feature in
these set-ups. (The clue here are the reports of mist/patchy fog/haze -
still, near-surface air after a
cool night).

See the radar FAQ for more on this ...

http://homepage.ntlworld.com/booty.w...o/radarFAQ.htm
(see paragraph B2)

However, note that the same ascent *does* imply instability later on,
with sufficiently high temperatures (or a dynamic trigger), so the
situation isn't straightforward by any means ;-)

Martin.

Hi Martin,

Living close to the area, well Leicestershire, the anaprop can get rather
annoying, but it is expected in such situations. I think we will need to
rely on surface convergence over E England today which should bring in
some more moisture at lower levels, as well as additional ascent. The TAFs
are giving less and less chance of something occurring, 00Z doesn't hold
out much hope. Off to play tennis and enjoy the day, showers or not !

ATB, Joe

"TudorHgh" wrote in message
...
Nowhere in the UK. It's only April, you know. Have patience.



err yeh I would have said the same(and did on BBC Local Radio 24th), however
its thundering out there (Sun 1800) .

You should be a weather forecaster Adrian!!!!!!!!!!!