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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#21
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"Alastair McDonald" k
wrote in message That is a good point, but you could argue that about the forest fires in Spain, and the drought in the USA, and the fires and drought in Australia, and the deaths in India last year from the record temperatures, and the flooding in Bangladesh this year, and ... ....and the man's a fool. Does he not know that flash floods predate the history of mankind. -- Posted via Mailgate.ORG Server - http://www.Mailgate.ORG |
#22
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Well the Lynmouth disaster of August the 15th 1952 took place in a pereiod
of global warming as did the Canvey Island tragedy. Only idiots and ideologically lead brainwashed would blame this Boscastle incident on Global warming. Go check the satellite temps, these have run since 1978 and basically show that nowt has changed much in that period. If anything the temp down turn with volcanoes is now in process. It won't of course mean anything to the self-loathers of the developed world. These middle -class hand wringers will continue to thrash themselves with birchleaves with only the white working class elderly strapped across their back's for protection. They will thrash them until the blood flows. Look out very soon for new carbon taxes based on an blatant lie. "Sunimage" wrote in message news ![]() I watched lasts nights special ITV program on the flood in Boscastle and saw a meteorologist blame this flood and many other storms this summer on global warming. Is it really possible to link isolated and localisd events like this on global warming? --- Outgoing mail is certified Virus Free. Checked by AVG anti-virus system (http://www.grisoft.com). Version: 6.0.735 / Virus Database: 489 - Release Date: 06/08/2004 |
#23
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Are you really saying that we would not have heard about Bocastle, if the
tourists had not been there with their video cameras? Neither Shaun, or me, or anybody else is saying that. It is a most unfair exaggeration of what has been said. Obviously Boscastle would be news even if it had happened 100 yrs ago. What would not have been news is the various extreme events in third-world countries and their associated devastating human effects. A monsoon flood in Bangladesh or a tropical hurricane in the Caribbean would not have been news in the past, partly because they are not news, and can be expected, unfortunately. The cumulative effect of all this is to engender a false sense of doom, even if it is the lesser of two evils, the other being censorship. There is too much sodding news these days, too much for our own good, and too much for us to make sense of. Tudor Hughes, Warlingham, Surrey. |
#24
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![]() "TudorHgh" wrote in message ... Are you really saying that we would not have heard about Bocastle, if the tourists had not been there with their video cameras? Neither Shaun, or me, or anybody else is saying that. It is a most unfair exaggeration of what has been said. Obviously Boscastle would be news even if it had happened 100 yrs ago. What would not have been news is the various extreme events in third-world countries and their associated devastating human effects. A monsoon flood in Bangladesh or a tropical hurricane in the Caribbean would not have been news in the past, partly because they are not news, and can be expected, unfortunately. The cumulative effect of all this is to engender a false sense of doom, even if it is the lesser of two evils, the other being censorship. There is too much sodding news these days, too much for our own good, and too much for us to make sense of. You may not be able to make sense of it, but the climate scientists at the Hadley Centre can. For instance see this quote from Nature; "Here we report a systematic attempt to determine the range of climate changes consistent with these uncertainties, based on a 53-member ensemble of model versions constructed by varying model parameters. We estimate a probability density function for the sensitivity of climate to a doubling of atmospheric carbon dioxide levels, and obtain a 5-95 per cent probability range of 2.4-5.4 °C. " JAMES M. MURPHY1, DAVID M. H. SEXTON1, DAVID N. BARNETT1, GARETH S. JONES1, MARK J. WEBB1, MATTHEW COLLINS1 & DAVID A. STAINFORTH2 Quantification of modelling uncertainties in a large ensemble of climate change simulations Nature 430, 768 - 772 (12 August 2004); doi:10.1038/nature02771 http://www.nature.com/cgi-taf/DynaPa...e02771_fs.html Recent events ARE caused by anthropogenic global warming, and no amount of sticking your head in the sand will make it go away. Cheers, Alastair. |
#25
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Angry of nextworld fulminated:
"Doris Stokes" wrote in message ... Well the Lynmouth disaster of August the 15th 1952 took place in a pereiod of global warming as did the Canvey Island tragedy. Only idiots and ideologically lead brainwashed would blame this Boscastle incident on Global warming. Go check the satellite temps, these have run since 1978 and basically show that nowt has changed much in that period. If anything the temp down turn with volcanoes is now in process. It won't of course mean anything to the self-loathers of the developed world. These middle -class hand wringers will continue to thrash themselves with birchleaves with only the white working class elderly strapped across their back's for protection. They will thrash them until the blood flows. Look out very soon for new carbon taxes based on an blatant lie. "Sunimage" wrote in message news ![]() I watched lasts nights special ITV program on the flood in Boscastle and saw a meteorologist blame this flood and many other storms this summer on global warming. Is it really possible to link isolated and localisd events like this on global warming? --- Outgoing mail is certified Virus Free. Checked by AVG anti-virus system (http://www.grisoft.com). Version: 6.0.735 / Virus Database: 489 - Release Date: 06/08/2004 |
#26
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#27
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#28
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![]() "Keith Dancey" wrote in message ... In article , "James" writes: Either way, if global warming is the real cause, no one is tackling population increase as a problem... I can assure you, James, that population increase is considered the prime cause of global warming, combined, of course, with the economic activity of that population. The amount of anthropomorhic greenhouse gases being emitted each year is a result of the size of the human population and what that human population is doing. You are right to imply that *politically* there is only a modest amount of activity on population control, however. That needs to change. Well, we can solve the problem by reducing the amount of CO2 we emit or by reducing the world population. I much prefer the second option so long as the cull does not include me! Cheers, Alastair. |
#29
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![]() "Keith Dancey" wrote in message ... In article , "Doris Stokes" writes: Go check the satellite temps, these have run since 1978 and basically show that nowt has changed much in that period. I have been responsible for retrieving, recording and validating remotely sensed data for many years, working for NERC and ESA with my colleagues at NASA. I have direct input to the UARS, ERS1, ERS2 and ENVISAT missions, although I currently command MARS EXPRESS (about to return to ENIVSAT). So I know what I am talking about, whereas I suspect that you do not. I would like to know of your involvement with developing and operating space-based radiometers, which may lend credence to you statement? I say this because you are presenting a "fact" in a way which no reputable scientist would, unlike a politically motivated politician... The truth of the matter is that remotely sensed temperature data is NOWHERE NEAR accurate enough to discern a signature of global warming from background noise, over the short period in which such data exists. Such a temperture signature does exist however, from ground-based records based over a much longer period of time. Second point: unlike the temperture record, the signature for global warming in the CO2 record is HUGE. It cannot be mistaken, and is easily verified. Cheers, keith --- Iraq: 5 thousand million pounds, 60 lives, and counting... The Politicians will now seek to blame the Spooks. Keith, Is this the resolution of the sensors being no better than .2C thing, or something else? What should the error bars of the various interpretations of the raw sat data be? |
#30
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Typical, I was waiting for this
![]() "Sunimage" wrote in message news ![]() I watched lasts nights special ITV program on the flood in Boscastle and saw a meteorologist blame this flood and many other storms this summer on global warming. Is it really possible to link isolated and localisd events like this on global warming? |
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