http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/...IVAN/track.gif

Seems as though IVAN took the southern bypass around Jamaica, not that
that has spared them much. However, currently at CAT 4 the forecast as
it moves towards Cuba is a CAT5 and then a CAT4 as it skirts the west
coast of Florida. This certainly must be a storm that has/will affect
more of the populus in the region than ones before.

Best satellite links in my opinion:

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

http://www.cira.colostate.edu/RAMM/R.../tropical.html

Keith (Southend)

********************************
'Weather Home & Abroad'
http://www.southendweather.net
********************************
COL Station for Southend-on-Sea
http://www.wunderground.com/weathers...p?ID=IESSEXSO1
********************************
Reply to: kreh'at'southendweather'dot'net
All mail scanned for virus's using Norton 2003

"Keith (Southend)" wrote in message
...
http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/...IVAN/track.gif

Seems as though IVAN took the southern bypass around Jamaica, not that
that has spared them much. However, currently at CAT 4 the forecast as
it moves towards Cuba is a CAT5 and then a CAT4 as it skirts the west
coast of Florida. This certainly must be a storm that has/will affect
more of the populus in the region than ones before.

Best satellite links in my opinion:

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

http://www.cira.colostate.edu/RAMM/R.../tropical.html

Keith (Southend)

********************************
'Weather Home & Abroad'
http://www.southendweather.net
********************************
COL Station for Southend-on-Sea
http://www.wunderground.com/weathers...p?ID=IESSEXSO1
********************************
Reply to: kreh'at'southendweather'dot'net
All mail scanned for virus's using Norton 2003


My knowledge of hurricanes is not that good but those satellite images show
what looks like a front strung out to the ENE from the main storm and with
the wind direction from the E along that region - just as one would expect
with a mid latitude Polar Front depression. I would have thought that the
circulation would have been much more closed cyclonic around the edges of
the storm.

Since hurricanes do not have fronts what would this be due to? Upper
troposphere disturbances related to the storm?

I've not yet found the associated synoptic chart for that area, no doubt
there will be a link somewhere when I get a chance to spend a bit of time
looking.

--
Pete

Please take my dog out twice to e-mail

---------------------------------------------------------------
The views expressed above are entirely those of the writer and
do not represent the views, policy or understanding of any
other person or official body.
---------------------------------------------------------------

On Sat, 11 Sep 2004 10:49:27 +0100, "Keith (Southend)"
wrote:

http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/...IVAN/track.gif

Seems as though IVAN took the southern bypass around Jamaica, not that
that has spared them much. However, currently at CAT 4 the forecast as
it moves towards Cuba is a CAT5 and then a CAT4 as it skirts the west
coast of Florida. This certainly must be a storm that has/will affect
more of the populus in the region than ones before.

It looks as if the Cayman Islands are in for it next.


--
Paul

You beat me to that one, it will be interesting to see how they deal
with the crisis, being a British Coloney, what preparations,
conditions of buildings etc. Stiff upper lip comes to mind here, I
guess they will just ontinue to eat Roast Beef and drink tea :-)

Keith (Southend)

********************************
'Weather Home & Abroad'
http://www.southendweather.net
********************************
COL Station for Southend-on-Sea
http://www.wunderground.com/weathers...p?ID=IESSEXSO1
********************************
Reply to: kreh'at'southendweather'dot'net
All mail scanned for virus's using Norton 2003

On Sat, 11 Sep 2004 10:31:47 GMT, (Paul C) wrote:

On Sat, 11 Sep 2004 10:49:27 +0100, "Keith (Southend)"
wrote:

http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/...IVAN/track.gif

Seems as though IVAN took the southern bypass around Jamaica, not that
that has spared them much. However, currently at CAT 4 the forecast as
it moves towards Cuba is a CAT5 and then a CAT4 as it skirts the west
coast of Florida. This certainly must be a storm that has/will affect
more of the populus in the region than ones before.

It looks as if the Cayman Islands are in for it next.

In article ,
"Keith (Southend)" writes:
You beat me to that one, it will be interesting to see how they deal
with the crisis, being a British Coloney, what preparations,
conditions of buildings etc. Stiff upper lip comes to mind here, I
guess they will just ontinue to eat Roast Beef and drink tea :-)

British Colony? Surely you are about forty years out of date?
--
John Hall

You can divide people into two categories:
those who divide people into two categories and those who don't

John Hall wrote in message ...

: "Keith (Southend)" writes:
: ... it will be interesting to see how they deal
:with the crisis, being a British Colony ...

:British Colony? Surely you are about forty years out of date?

I think you are mistaken, John
http://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/...k/geos/cj.html

The Cayman Islands are a Crown Colony.

Colin Youngs
Brussels

In article ,
Colin Youngs writes:
John Hall wrote in message ...

: "Keith (Southend)" writes:
: ... it will be interesting to see how they deal
:with the crisis, being a British Colony ...

:British Colony? Surely you are about forty years out of date?

I think you are mistaken, John
http://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/...k/geos/cj.html

The Cayman Islands are a Crown Colony.

Sorry, my mistake. I thought we were talking about Jamaica.
--
John Hall

You can divide people into two categories:
those who divide people into two categories and those who don't

Paul C wrote:
On Sat, 11 Sep 2004 10:49:27 +0100, "Keith (Southend)"
wrote:


http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/...IVAN/track.gif

Seems as though IVAN took the southern bypass around Jamaica, not that
that has spared them much. However, currently at CAT 4 the forecast as
it moves towards Cuba is a CAT5 and then a CAT4 as it skirts the west
coast of Florida. This certainly must be a storm that has/will affect
more of the populus in the region than ones before.


It looks as if the Cayman Islands are in for it next.


From the current warning digest posted by Louis, Florida landfall is
predicted for Sarasota, passing through to North Carolina. That's going
to be incredibly messy, as it will most likely pass straight over the
Orlando metro area, as well as Kissimmee and possibly Cape Canaveral too.

G.

--
Graham J. Platt
TRA #10112 L2

At 8:30pm (BST) winds have increased back up to 165mph making it a cat-5
again!

On Sat, 11 Sep 2004 21:10:54 +0100, "Brendan DJ Murphy"
wrote:

At 8:30pm (BST) winds have increased back up to 165mph making it a cat-5
again!

....and now, Hurricane Ivan Intermediate Advisory Number 39a
Statement as of 2:00 am EDT on September 12, 2004:

"An Air Force Reserve unit hurricane hunter aircraft measured a
minimum central pressure of 910 mb...26.87 inches. This is the
sixth lowest central pressure on record for a hurricane in the
Atlantic Basin."

Wow!

--
Dave