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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#1
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![]() ================================================== ================== This posting expresses the personal view and opinions of the author. Something which everyone on this planet should be able to do. ================================================== ================== Just to stress again that this is my *personal* view, a view which I have every right to hold and express in public. Now, to start on a positive note. I think the new system has great potential when the presenters get more used to using and exploiting it and it is fed with modified model rather than raw model fields which I am sure is the aim. The potential for detailed regional forecasts is enormous and eventually more detail *will* translate into greater accuracy over the years as models improve. Also our presenters have actually been amazing this week, having to smile through despite working their socks off to keep the show on the road, that is *real* dedication and should be admired. I will not dwell on all the issues raised elsewhere and here, we all know what the main ones a 1. Choice of colours - dirty brown and yellow is not very inspiring. 2. The need for binoculars to see Scotland's weather on the national picture 3. The lack of wind forecasts nationally 4. No pressure maps or no fronts when pressure maps are shown. 5. Maps not matching reality at T+0 6. Lack of time to explain exactly what people are looking at 7. No summary charts to dwell on 8. Apparent accuracy which is not really there 9. People mistaking detail for accuracy I am sure that all these will be addressed in due course. No my main gripe is the speed with which this £1 million pound plus sytem has been installed. Just precisely what was the market research that drove it ? Was it a MORI opinion poll conducted in a SCIENTIFIC manner using established sampling techniques ? I am 99% sure it was not that, else the BBC would have said so. No you can bet it was a set of bloomin focus groups. Here's how it works - You start with the classic "if it ain't broke, fix it anyway" maxim from some senior person who thinks it is a good time for a change, for whatever reason. You then set up your focus groups and select the members - somehow, not necessarily at random but a reasonable cross-section. This helps to magnify the "requirement" into a burning issue. A Project Manager gets appointed and then a team gets assembled and before you know it a mass of people are involved and money is being spent. It then becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy as nobody wants it to fail as jobs would be on the line. So every effort is made to get the "correct" answer from the focus groups - (easily done I can assure you). Then you can say the change is what the great British public actually wants. Moreover you then have the power to tell any detractors that they are old fashioned and will resist change anyway. The Project gets high-level support, more money is spent and then people are told to implement it as it must be good and it is progress isn't it ? But time is money and busy executives want results fast, so corners are cut, decisions are made in haste to meet some artificial deadline and lo and behold it hits the screens .... Is this the best way to go about things, nature herself does not work that way, nature EVOLVES - SLOWLY- and BEAUTIFULLY in HARMONY. I just wish certain people would realise that. Will. -- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet). mailto: www: http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal and do not necessarily represent those of my employer. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
#2
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![]() "Will Hand" wrote in message ... ================================================== ================== This posting expresses the personal view and opinions of the author. Something which everyone on this planet should be able to do. ================================================== ================== Just to stress again that this is my *personal* view, a view which I have every right to hold and express in public. Now, to start on a positive note. I think the new system has great potential when the presenters get more used to using and exploiting it and it is fed with modified model rather than raw model fields which I am sure is the aim. The potential for detailed regional forecasts is enormous and eventually more detail *will* translate into greater accuracy over the years as models improve. Also our presenters have actually been amazing this week, having to smile through despite working their socks off to keep the show on the road, that is *real* dedication and should be admired. I will not dwell on all the issues raised elsewhere and here, we all know what the main ones a 1. Choice of colours - dirty brown and yellow is not very inspiring. 2. The need for binoculars to see Scotland's weather on the national picture 3. The lack of wind forecasts nationally 4. No pressure maps or no fronts when pressure maps are shown. 5. Maps not matching reality at T+0 6. Lack of time to explain exactly what people are looking at 7. No summary charts to dwell on 8. Apparent accuracy which is not really there 9. People mistaking detail for accuracy I think there are some other basic flaws in it. The old system of symbols could clearly show various types of dry weather (white cloud, white cloud half sun, dark cloud, dark cloud half sun) The typical viewer would have some idea of what type of dry weather it was. Now there is just the one cloud symbol. So yesterday (18th) west Cornwall was shown as cloudy bur dry all day. In fact there were spells of hazy sunshine AM, followed by a gradually lowering/thickening cloud, and rain by 17:00. This sequence might have been obvious to the enthusiast, but certainly not to the average viewer. The old system could have shown white cloud/half sun for the morning, then a white cloud, then a dark cloud with 1 rain drop for the evening, which would have been clear to everyone. Also the wind symbols are rubbish. Graham ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet). mailto: www: http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal and do not necessarily represent those of my employer. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
#3
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![]() "Will Hand" wrote in message ... ================================================== ================== This posting expresses the personal view and opinions of the author. Something which everyone on this planet should be able to do. ================================================== ================== Just to stress again that this is my *personal* view, a view which I have every right to hold and express in public. Now, to start on a positive note. I think the new system has great potential when the presenters get more used to using and exploiting it and it is fed with modified model rather than raw model fields which I am sure is the aim. The potential for detailed regional forecasts is enormous and eventually more detail *will* translate into greater accuracy over the years as models improve. Also our presenters have actually been amazing this week, having to smile through despite working their socks off to keep the show on the road, that is *real* dedication and should be admired. I will not dwell on all the issues raised elsewhere and here, we all know what the main ones a 1. Choice of colours - dirty brown and yellow is not very inspiring. 2. The need for binoculars to see Scotland's weather on the national picture 3. The lack of wind forecasts nationally 4. No pressure maps or no fronts when pressure maps are shown. 5. Maps not matching reality at T+0 6. Lack of time to explain exactly what people are looking at 7. No summary charts to dwell on 8. Apparent accuracy which is not really there 9. People mistaking detail for accuracy I think there are some other basic flaws in it. The old system of symbols could clearly show various types of dry weather (white cloud, white cloud half sun, dark cloud, dark cloud half sun) The typical viewer would have some idea of what type of dry weather it was. Now there is just the one cloud symbol. So yesterday (18th) west Cornwall was shown as cloudy bur dry all day. In fact there were spells of hazy sunshine AM, followed by a gradually lowering/thickening cloud, and rain by 17:00. This sequence might have been obvious to the enthusiast, but certainly not to the average viewer. The old system could have shown white cloud/half sun for the morning, then a white cloud, then a dark cloud with 1 rain drop for the evening, which would have been clear to everyone. Also the wind symbols are rubbish. Graham ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet). mailto: www: http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal and do not necessarily represent those of my employer. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
#4
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![]() "Will Hand" wrote in message ... ================================================== ================== This posting expresses the personal view and opinions of the author. Something which everyone on this planet should be able to do. ================================================== ================== Just to stress again that this is my *personal* view, a view which I have every right to hold and express in public. Now, to start on a positive note. I think the new system has great potential when the presenters get more used to using and exploiting it and it is fed with modified model rather than raw model fields which I am sure is the aim. The potential for detailed regional forecasts is enormous and eventually more detail *will* translate into greater accuracy over the years as models improve. Also our presenters have actually been amazing this week, having to smile through despite working their socks off to keep the show on the road, that is *real* dedication and should be admired. I will not dwell on all the issues raised elsewhere and here, we all know what the main ones a 1. Choice of colours - dirty brown and yellow is not very inspiring. 2. The need for binoculars to see Scotland's weather on the national picture 3. The lack of wind forecasts nationally 4. No pressure maps or no fronts when pressure maps are shown. 5. Maps not matching reality at T+0 6. Lack of time to explain exactly what people are looking at 7. No summary charts to dwell on 8. Apparent accuracy which is not really there 9. People mistaking detail for accuracy I think there are some other basic flaws in it. The old system of symbols could clearly show various types of dry weather (white cloud, white cloud half sun, dark cloud, dark cloud half sun) The typical viewer would have some idea of what type of dry weather it was. Now there is just the one cloud symbol. So yesterday (18th) west Cornwall was shown as cloudy bur dry all day. In fact there were spells of hazy sunshine AM, followed by a gradually lowering/thickening cloud, and rain by 17:00. This sequence might have been obvious to the enthusiast, but certainly not to the average viewer. The old system could have shown white cloud/half sun for the morning, then a white cloud, then a dark cloud with 1 rain drop for the evening, which would have been clear to everyone. Also the wind symbols are rubbish. Graham ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet). mailto: www: http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal and do not necessarily represent those of my employer. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
#5
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![]() "Will Hand" wrote in message ... ================================================== ================== This posting expresses the personal view and opinions of the author. Something which everyone on this planet should be able to do. ================================================== ================== Just to stress again that this is my *personal* view, a view which I have every right to hold and express in public. Now, to start on a positive note. I think the new system has great potential when the presenters get more used to using and exploiting it and it is fed with modified model rather than raw model fields which I am sure is the aim. The potential for detailed regional forecasts is enormous and eventually more detail *will* translate into greater accuracy over the years as models improve. Also our presenters have actually been amazing this week, having to smile through despite working their socks off to keep the show on the road, that is *real* dedication and should be admired. I will not dwell on all the issues raised elsewhere and here, we all know what the main ones a 1. Choice of colours - dirty brown and yellow is not very inspiring. 2. The need for binoculars to see Scotland's weather on the national picture 3. The lack of wind forecasts nationally 4. No pressure maps or no fronts when pressure maps are shown. 5. Maps not matching reality at T+0 6. Lack of time to explain exactly what people are looking at 7. No summary charts to dwell on 8. Apparent accuracy which is not really there 9. People mistaking detail for accuracy I am sure that all these will be addressed in due course. No my main gripe is the speed with which this £1 million pound plus sytem has been installed. Just precisely what was the market research that drove it ? Was it a MORI opinion poll conducted in a SCIENTIFIC manner using established sampling techniques ? I am 99% sure it was not that, else the BBC would have said so. No you can bet it was a set of bloomin focus groups. Here's how it works - You start with the classic "if it ain't broke, fix it anyway" maxim from some senior person who thinks it is a good time for a change, for whatever reason. You then set up your focus groups and select the members - somehow, not necessarily at random but a reasonable cross-section. This helps to magnify the "requirement" into a burning issue. A Project Manager gets appointed and then a team gets assembled and before you know it a mass of people are involved and money is being spent. It then becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy as nobody wants it to fail as jobs would be on the line. So every effort is made to get the "correct" answer from the focus groups - (easily done I can assure you). Then you can say the change is what the great British public actually wants. Moreover you then have the power to tell any detractors that they are old fashioned and will resist change anyway. The Project gets high-level support, more money is spent and then people are told to implement it as it must be good and it is progress isn't it ? But time is money and busy executives want results fast, so corners are cut, decisions are made in haste to meet some artificial deadline and lo and behold it hits the screens .... Is this the best way to go about things, nature herself does not work that way, nature EVOLVES - SLOWLY- and BEAUTIFULLY in HARMONY. I just wish certain people would realise that. Will. -- -------------------------------------------------------------------------- ----- A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet). mailto: www: http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal and do not necessarily represent those of my employer. -------------------------------------------------------------------------- ----- Sound like a likely scenario ![]() The local forecast down here last night by David Braine did show some of the potential of the system when the presenter is given more time... It had an aminated synoptic map (not fronts though - just crazy), the maps of the islands were good, it was interesting to zoom in on Dartmoor ![]() animations seemed to work, it wasn't rushed, but showers just don't look like showers and the wind indictors are, well, useless, more like locusts moving NE than wind. So, the regions with good presenters might see something better develop, but for the national forecast the outlook still looks even more dumbed down. |
#6
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![]() "Will Hand" wrote in message ... ================================================== ================== This posting expresses the personal view and opinions of the author. Something which everyone on this planet should be able to do. ================================================== ================== Just to stress again that this is my *personal* view, a view which I have every right to hold and express in public. Now, to start on a positive note. I think the new system has great potential when the presenters get more used to using and exploiting it and it is fed with modified model rather than raw model fields which I am sure is the aim. The potential for detailed regional forecasts is enormous and eventually more detail *will* translate into greater accuracy over the years as models improve. Also our presenters have actually been amazing this week, having to smile through despite working their socks off to keep the show on the road, that is *real* dedication and should be admired. I will not dwell on all the issues raised elsewhere and here, we all know what the main ones a 1. Choice of colours - dirty brown and yellow is not very inspiring. 2. The need for binoculars to see Scotland's weather on the national picture 3. The lack of wind forecasts nationally 4. No pressure maps or no fronts when pressure maps are shown. 5. Maps not matching reality at T+0 6. Lack of time to explain exactly what people are looking at 7. No summary charts to dwell on 8. Apparent accuracy which is not really there 9. People mistaking detail for accuracy I am sure that all these will be addressed in due course. No my main gripe is the speed with which this £1 million pound plus sytem has been installed. Just precisely what was the market research that drove it ? Was it a MORI opinion poll conducted in a SCIENTIFIC manner using established sampling techniques ? I am 99% sure it was not that, else the BBC would have said so. No you can bet it was a set of bloomin focus groups. Here's how it works - You start with the classic "if it ain't broke, fix it anyway" maxim from some senior person who thinks it is a good time for a change, for whatever reason. You then set up your focus groups and select the members - somehow, not necessarily at random but a reasonable cross-section. This helps to magnify the "requirement" into a burning issue. A Project Manager gets appointed and then a team gets assembled and before you know it a mass of people are involved and money is being spent. It then becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy as nobody wants it to fail as jobs would be on the line. So every effort is made to get the "correct" answer from the focus groups - (easily done I can assure you). Then you can say the change is what the great British public actually wants. Moreover you then have the power to tell any detractors that they are old fashioned and will resist change anyway. The Project gets high-level support, more money is spent and then people are told to implement it as it must be good and it is progress isn't it ? But time is money and busy executives want results fast, so corners are cut, decisions are made in haste to meet some artificial deadline and lo and behold it hits the screens .... Is this the best way to go about things, nature herself does not work that way, nature EVOLVES - SLOWLY- and BEAUTIFULLY in HARMONY. I just wish certain people would realise that. Will. -- -------------------------------------------------------------------------- ----- A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet). mailto: www: http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal and do not necessarily represent those of my employer. -------------------------------------------------------------------------- ----- Sound like a likely scenario ![]() The local forecast down here last night by David Braine did show some of the potential of the system when the presenter is given more time... It had an aminated synoptic map (not fronts though - just crazy), the maps of the islands were good, it was interesting to zoom in on Dartmoor ![]() animations seemed to work, it wasn't rushed, but showers just don't look like showers and the wind indictors are, well, useless, more like locusts moving NE than wind. So, the regions with good presenters might see something better develop, but for the national forecast the outlook still looks even more dumbed down. |
#7
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![]() "Will Hand" wrote in message ... ================================================== ================== This posting expresses the personal view and opinions of the author. Something which everyone on this planet should be able to do. ================================================== ================== Just to stress again that this is my *personal* view, a view which I have every right to hold and express in public. Now, to start on a positive note. I think the new system has great potential when the presenters get more used to using and exploiting it and it is fed with modified model rather than raw model fields which I am sure is the aim. The potential for detailed regional forecasts is enormous and eventually more detail *will* translate into greater accuracy over the years as models improve. Also our presenters have actually been amazing this week, having to smile through despite working their socks off to keep the show on the road, that is *real* dedication and should be admired. I will not dwell on all the issues raised elsewhere and here, we all know what the main ones a 1. Choice of colours - dirty brown and yellow is not very inspiring. 2. The need for binoculars to see Scotland's weather on the national picture 3. The lack of wind forecasts nationally 4. No pressure maps or no fronts when pressure maps are shown. 5. Maps not matching reality at T+0 6. Lack of time to explain exactly what people are looking at 7. No summary charts to dwell on 8. Apparent accuracy which is not really there 9. People mistaking detail for accuracy I am sure that all these will be addressed in due course. No my main gripe is the speed with which this £1 million pound plus sytem has been installed. Just precisely what was the market research that drove it ? Was it a MORI opinion poll conducted in a SCIENTIFIC manner using established sampling techniques ? I am 99% sure it was not that, else the BBC would have said so. No you can bet it was a set of bloomin focus groups. Here's how it works - You start with the classic "if it ain't broke, fix it anyway" maxim from some senior person who thinks it is a good time for a change, for whatever reason. You then set up your focus groups and select the members - somehow, not necessarily at random but a reasonable cross-section. This helps to magnify the "requirement" into a burning issue. A Project Manager gets appointed and then a team gets assembled and before you know it a mass of people are involved and money is being spent. It then becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy as nobody wants it to fail as jobs would be on the line. So every effort is made to get the "correct" answer from the focus groups - (easily done I can assure you). Then you can say the change is what the great British public actually wants. Moreover you then have the power to tell any detractors that they are old fashioned and will resist change anyway. The Project gets high-level support, more money is spent and then people are told to implement it as it must be good and it is progress isn't it ? But time is money and busy executives want results fast, so corners are cut, decisions are made in haste to meet some artificial deadline and lo and behold it hits the screens .... Is this the best way to go about things, nature herself does not work that way, nature EVOLVES - SLOWLY- and BEAUTIFULLY in HARMONY. I just wish certain people would realise that. Will. -- -------------------------------------------------------------------------- ----- A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet). mailto: www: http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal and do not necessarily represent those of my employer. -------------------------------------------------------------------------- ----- Sound like a likely scenario ![]() The local forecast down here last night by David Braine did show some of the potential of the system when the presenter is given more time... It had an aminated synoptic map (not fronts though - just crazy), the maps of the islands were good, it was interesting to zoom in on Dartmoor ![]() animations seemed to work, it wasn't rushed, but showers just don't look like showers and the wind indictors are, well, useless, more like locusts moving NE than wind. So, the regions with good presenters might see something better develop, but for the national forecast the outlook still looks even more dumbed down. |
#8
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I totally agree with Will's analysis. Just back from Poland so late to the
debate. The old charts with fronts and isobars is what got me interested in the first place, to find out what was going on and why. I think that even if people do not understand the terminology, it at least resonates more to say "cool showery north westely airstream", with a nice satellite pic, than a stagnant blob supposedly indicating where you might get some rain. The main attraction of Countryfile was the detailed forecast. I find the whole thing a bit patronising: we had a pretty good set up previously. I have been away in Poland where the TV forecasts have improved a bit, the graphics ok, no radar though, but at least they have the odd European synoptic chart, brief description of weather around Europe, focus on Poland region by region, and on some there is a biometeorlogical and pollen forecast. Dorian. "Will Hand" wrote in message ... ================================================== ================== This posting expresses the personal view and opinions of the author. Something which everyone on this planet should be able to do. ================================================== ================== Just to stress again that this is my *personal* view, a view which I have every right to hold and express in public. Now, to start on a positive note. I think the new system has great potential when the presenters get more used to using and exploiting it and it is fed with modified model rather than raw model fields which I am sure is the aim. The potential for detailed regional forecasts is enormous and eventually more detail *will* translate into greater accuracy over the years as models improve. Also our presenters have actually been amazing this week, having to smile through despite working their socks off to keep the show on the road, that is *real* dedication and should be admired. I will not dwell on all the issues raised elsewhere and here, we all know what the main ones a 1. Choice of colours - dirty brown and yellow is not very inspiring. 2. The need for binoculars to see Scotland's weather on the national picture 3. The lack of wind forecasts nationally 4. No pressure maps or no fronts when pressure maps are shown. 5. Maps not matching reality at T+0 6. Lack of time to explain exactly what people are looking at 7. No summary charts to dwell on 8. Apparent accuracy which is not really there 9. People mistaking detail for accuracy I am sure that all these will be addressed in due course. No my main gripe is the speed with which this £1 million pound plus sytem has been installed. Just precisely what was the market research that drove it ? Was it a MORI opinion poll conducted in a SCIENTIFIC manner using established sampling techniques ? I am 99% sure it was not that, else the BBC would have said so. No you can bet it was a set of bloomin focus groups. Here's how it works - You start with the classic "if it ain't broke, fix it anyway" maxim from some senior person who thinks it is a good time for a change, for whatever reason. You then set up your focus groups and select the members - somehow, not necessarily at random but a reasonable cross-section. This helps to magnify the "requirement" into a burning issue. A Project Manager gets appointed and then a team gets assembled and before you know it a mass of people are involved and money is being spent. It then becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy as nobody wants it to fail as jobs would be on the line. So every effort is made to get the "correct" answer from the focus groups - (easily done I can assure you). Then you can say the change is what the great British public actually wants. Moreover you then have the power to tell any detractors that they are old fashioned and will resist change anyway. The Project gets high-level support, more money is spent and then people are told to implement it as it must be good and it is progress isn't it ? But time is money and busy executives want results fast, so corners are cut, decisions are made in haste to meet some artificial deadline and lo and behold it hits the screens .... Is this the best way to go about things, nature herself does not work that way, nature EVOLVES - SLOWLY- and BEAUTIFULLY in HARMONY. I just wish certain people would realise that. Will. -- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet). mailto: www: http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal and do not necessarily represent those of my employer. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
#9
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I totally agree with Will's analysis. Just back from Poland so late to the
debate. The old charts with fronts and isobars is what got me interested in the first place, to find out what was going on and why. I think that even if people do not understand the terminology, it at least resonates more to say "cool showery north westely airstream", with a nice satellite pic, than a stagnant blob supposedly indicating where you might get some rain. The main attraction of Countryfile was the detailed forecast. I find the whole thing a bit patronising: we had a pretty good set up previously. I have been away in Poland where the TV forecasts have improved a bit, the graphics ok, no radar though, but at least they have the odd European synoptic chart, brief description of weather around Europe, focus on Poland region by region, and on some there is a biometeorlogical and pollen forecast. Dorian. "Will Hand" wrote in message ... ================================================== ================== This posting expresses the personal view and opinions of the author. Something which everyone on this planet should be able to do. ================================================== ================== Just to stress again that this is my *personal* view, a view which I have every right to hold and express in public. Now, to start on a positive note. I think the new system has great potential when the presenters get more used to using and exploiting it and it is fed with modified model rather than raw model fields which I am sure is the aim. The potential for detailed regional forecasts is enormous and eventually more detail *will* translate into greater accuracy over the years as models improve. Also our presenters have actually been amazing this week, having to smile through despite working their socks off to keep the show on the road, that is *real* dedication and should be admired. I will not dwell on all the issues raised elsewhere and here, we all know what the main ones a 1. Choice of colours - dirty brown and yellow is not very inspiring. 2. The need for binoculars to see Scotland's weather on the national picture 3. The lack of wind forecasts nationally 4. No pressure maps or no fronts when pressure maps are shown. 5. Maps not matching reality at T+0 6. Lack of time to explain exactly what people are looking at 7. No summary charts to dwell on 8. Apparent accuracy which is not really there 9. People mistaking detail for accuracy I am sure that all these will be addressed in due course. No my main gripe is the speed with which this £1 million pound plus sytem has been installed. Just precisely what was the market research that drove it ? Was it a MORI opinion poll conducted in a SCIENTIFIC manner using established sampling techniques ? I am 99% sure it was not that, else the BBC would have said so. No you can bet it was a set of bloomin focus groups. Here's how it works - You start with the classic "if it ain't broke, fix it anyway" maxim from some senior person who thinks it is a good time for a change, for whatever reason. You then set up your focus groups and select the members - somehow, not necessarily at random but a reasonable cross-section. This helps to magnify the "requirement" into a burning issue. A Project Manager gets appointed and then a team gets assembled and before you know it a mass of people are involved and money is being spent. It then becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy as nobody wants it to fail as jobs would be on the line. So every effort is made to get the "correct" answer from the focus groups - (easily done I can assure you). Then you can say the change is what the great British public actually wants. Moreover you then have the power to tell any detractors that they are old fashioned and will resist change anyway. The Project gets high-level support, more money is spent and then people are told to implement it as it must be good and it is progress isn't it ? But time is money and busy executives want results fast, so corners are cut, decisions are made in haste to meet some artificial deadline and lo and behold it hits the screens .... Is this the best way to go about things, nature herself does not work that way, nature EVOLVES - SLOWLY- and BEAUTIFULLY in HARMONY. I just wish certain people would realise that. Will. -- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet). mailto: www: http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal and do not necessarily represent those of my employer. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
#10
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I totally agree with Will's analysis. Just back from Poland so late to the
debate. The old charts with fronts and isobars is what got me interested in the first place, to find out what was going on and why. I think that even if people do not understand the terminology, it at least resonates more to say "cool showery north westely airstream", with a nice satellite pic, than a stagnant blob supposedly indicating where you might get some rain. The main attraction of Countryfile was the detailed forecast. I find the whole thing a bit patronising: we had a pretty good set up previously. I have been away in Poland where the TV forecasts have improved a bit, the graphics ok, no radar though, but at least they have the odd European synoptic chart, brief description of weather around Europe, focus on Poland region by region, and on some there is a biometeorlogical and pollen forecast. Dorian. "Will Hand" wrote in message ... ================================================== ================== This posting expresses the personal view and opinions of the author. Something which everyone on this planet should be able to do. ================================================== ================== Just to stress again that this is my *personal* view, a view which I have every right to hold and express in public. Now, to start on a positive note. I think the new system has great potential when the presenters get more used to using and exploiting it and it is fed with modified model rather than raw model fields which I am sure is the aim. The potential for detailed regional forecasts is enormous and eventually more detail *will* translate into greater accuracy over the years as models improve. Also our presenters have actually been amazing this week, having to smile through despite working their socks off to keep the show on the road, that is *real* dedication and should be admired. I will not dwell on all the issues raised elsewhere and here, we all know what the main ones a 1. Choice of colours - dirty brown and yellow is not very inspiring. 2. The need for binoculars to see Scotland's weather on the national picture 3. The lack of wind forecasts nationally 4. No pressure maps or no fronts when pressure maps are shown. 5. Maps not matching reality at T+0 6. Lack of time to explain exactly what people are looking at 7. No summary charts to dwell on 8. Apparent accuracy which is not really there 9. People mistaking detail for accuracy I am sure that all these will be addressed in due course. No my main gripe is the speed with which this £1 million pound plus sytem has been installed. Just precisely what was the market research that drove it ? Was it a MORI opinion poll conducted in a SCIENTIFIC manner using established sampling techniques ? I am 99% sure it was not that, else the BBC would have said so. No you can bet it was a set of bloomin focus groups. Here's how it works - You start with the classic "if it ain't broke, fix it anyway" maxim from some senior person who thinks it is a good time for a change, for whatever reason. You then set up your focus groups and select the members - somehow, not necessarily at random but a reasonable cross-section. This helps to magnify the "requirement" into a burning issue. A Project Manager gets appointed and then a team gets assembled and before you know it a mass of people are involved and money is being spent. It then becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy as nobody wants it to fail as jobs would be on the line. So every effort is made to get the "correct" answer from the focus groups - (easily done I can assure you). Then you can say the change is what the great British public actually wants. Moreover you then have the power to tell any detractors that they are old fashioned and will resist change anyway. The Project gets high-level support, more money is spent and then people are told to implement it as it must be good and it is progress isn't it ? But time is money and busy executives want results fast, so corners are cut, decisions are made in haste to meet some artificial deadline and lo and behold it hits the screens .... Is this the best way to go about things, nature herself does not work that way, nature EVOLVES - SLOWLY- and BEAUTIFULLY in HARMONY. I just wish certain people would realise that. Will. -- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet). mailto: www: http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal and do not necessarily represent those of my employer. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
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