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Old December 22nd 03, 10:45 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
Jack Harrison Jack Harrison is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Jul 2003
Posts: 283
Default So, how did the Met Office do ....


"Martin Rowley" wrote in message
...
So, how did it fare ..... here is the original Advanced Warning posted
here last Wednesday:


ECMWF in the +168 available as early as last Tuesday morning were showing a
forecast chart that was to all intents and purposes exactly what has
actually transpired.

So the synoptics have been spot on for days. But there has to be a minor
query about the interpretation of these charts. This is nothing new of
course. So often, a forecast chart turns out to be accurate but the weather
doesn't quite behave. It could be argued that the computer models for
charts (at all levels) are now very good. Maybe more research is needed
into the human interpretation of what these charts will actually mean.

All in all though, I reckon this was a pretty good effort.

Jack