British Isles Outlook - 1st to 10th January 2004
Morning Sean!
It's not the type of weather I go for, but what can you expect at this time of
year.
Best regards, Sean
Cheers, Keith
Sean Blowman schrieb:
Looks a rather strange forecast based on recent models Keith? But then again
whats new?
Regards
Sean B
"Keith Darlington" wrote in message
...
The general pressure distribution for the period 1st to 10th January
2004 is marked by a LP centre near NW and W Scotland bringing warm SW
to W winds over the country. At the same time, HP is present in the S,
SE and E of the country. This would mean wetter conditions for the NW
of the country and dryer conditions for the S and SE areas, as well as E
Scotland.
The general run of weather during the period is for LPs in the NW to be
active at first as they drift E'ward across the N of the country. in a
W'erly airstream. Then on 5th January, HP builds up from the SW as it
travels E'wards into the North Sea and the near continent. It remains
there till the end of the period with LP coming once again to the NW
and W of the country.
London temperature will be above average in the warm SW winds. Small
dips in the temperature are expected near the 4th and 9th January.
Warm peaks are expected near 2nd, 3rd and 5th.
On 1st January a LP to the N of the British Isles draws in warm SW
winds. Rain showers cross the country with the best weather in the SE
as a flat HP ridge moves E'wards towards the S North Sea area.
On 2nd January LP still lies to the N of the country and the HP to the
SE of the country is moving away. A depression out in the Atlantic is
moving towards the SW of Ireland. Fair weather in the SE with some
showers over the rest of the country, but cloud could come into western
areas late in the day.
On 3rd January a LP near N and NW Scotland has a trough down the W of
Ireland and perhaps a small LP off SW Ireland. Rainy weather to the W
moves into the country.
On 4th January. LP between E Scotland and SW Norway. Another LP SW of
Iceland - . generally W winds over the country. HP has built up over the
near continent. Cooler winds flow into Scotland for a short time.
Showers in the N half of the country and better weather in the SE.
On 5th January LP ou to the SW of Iceland with a trough E'wards in the
direction of SW Scandinavia. Generally W winds over the country with
pressure building up in the SW. Fair weather in the S and a few
showers in the N of the country.
On 6th January HP stretches from N to S down the E side of the
country. Winds are light but SW in the W of Britain. Fog and frost are
most likely in most parts.
On 7th January the area of HP over the E part of the country moves into
the near continent and a small belt of LP crosses the N of the
country. Showers in the N of the country spread southwards.
On 8th January LP leaves E Scotland and the North Sea as HP builds up
once again in the SW of the country. Winds are from the NW bringing
cool showery weather to the N of the country while fairer weather
enters SW England and spreads E.
On 9th January HP covers the North Sea, N France and Germany, while LP
lies to the S or SW of Iceland with a secondary LP on its S flank.
Winds are light from the S . Weather is mostly fair but chance of frost
and fog early and late.
On 10th January the HP remains over the North Sea and the near
continent as the LP to the SW of Iceland and its secondary LP move
nearer to the British Isles. Weather will be fair in the E of the
country with light winds and fog and frost early, but the stronger S
winds to the W of the country spread E'wards bringing cloud and
showers.
So to sum up, its an unsettled period of warm weather at first,
turning dryer for some parts with frost and fog to go with it.
Cheers, Keith
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