Keith.
I have been reading Joe's column now for some months and once you get used
to his jargon it really makes quite interesting reading. I really do hope
that he is right in what he is saying as I am sceptical about global
warming, and I would love to hear what the GW enthusiasts can come up with
if this severe cold spell really happens.
Although I was not around in 1947, that winter didn't really start until
quite late in January with exceptionally mild temperatures preceeding the
icy blast.
It appears to me and perhaps some others that the GW enthusiasts think they
are onto a winner if it fails to snow in December.
We all know it can happen as late as March and quite often does.
I still fail to see what people enjoy about a mild british winter with all
the rain and gloom, but I could understand it if it was sunny.

Best regards. Len.
"Keith (Southend)" wrote in message
news
Interesting addition today...

snip
There is some sentiment in the office to the extreme event temperature
wise down the road, but that is something that I can only allude to
now.
snip

Keith (Southend)

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Reply to: kreh'at'southendweather'dot'net
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On Mon, 5 Jan 2004 20:32:37 -0000, "Weatherman"
wrote:

BACK AND FORTH THIS WEEK, THEN MAJOR TROUGH DEVELOPS FARTHER WEST NEXT
WEEK.
ARCTIC ATTACK POSSIBLE WEEK OF 11TH FOR MUCH OF EUROPE.
The upcoming week will feature a flattening of the mean trough and ridge
positions, but it is merely an in between time before the trough cranks
up
stronger than all winter in the means for next week, with the prospect
that
the cherries are lined up like the slots at Monte Carlo. Cold in western
Europe, eastern and central North America and eastern Asia, the big three
temperate region fuel consuming areas the middle and latter part of the
week
of the 11th.

My concern is that if we are mimicking summer, then the mean trough has
been
pulling back the same way the ridge did during summer. Now though, the
elusive butterfly of blocking may develop upstream from the North
American
trough next week (week of 11th) rather than upstream from the trough in
Europe. This mean air mass could be delivered with a high coming south
from
over the the pole and midway between Scandinavia and Greenland, rather
than
the normal developing north Atlantic high coming from south of Greenland
(maritime) with it coming at the coldest time of the year. Such an event
would have an ironic balance with the summer.

For this week, though, the pulse east of the ridge (one step forward, two
steps back) means much of the continent is milder by way of a fast west
flow
that tries to develop between the trough over the northern part of the
continent and the ridge trying to stick its nose in east.

An interesting side note is a temperature report out of Siberia of their
coldest temperature ever (not for the whole place, but for the city in
question) at -72F.

Such a temperature is the kind of thing where dogs wind up stuck to fire
hydrants.

Ciao for now