In message , Martin Rowley
writes

"Will" wrote in message
...

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This posting expresses the personal view and opinions of the author.
Something which everyone on this planet should be able to do.
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Hi Keith, honestly I'm really not sure. I still cannot do better than
the trend
I issued on thursday.


... this is the key: the situation is highly volatile - a small change
one way or the other will be the key: the models nowadays are *superb*
but they can't do the whole job. The best that can be done is to outline
the possibilities and prepare for what might happen.

Martin.

It's a fascinating conundrum. The models handle the broadscale well in
these situations but the detail much less well. As ever, it's the detail
that really matters.

The 06z run of the GFS is predicting nothing stronger than a mean speed
of 20 knots for this location on Monday. We shall see

Norman.
(delete "thisbit" twice to reply)
--
Norman Lynagh Weather Consultancy
Chalfont St Giles
England