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Old January 10th 04, 04:08 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Peter Thomas Peter Thomas is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Jan 2004
Posts: 377
Default Severe weather this week - effect of lows on sea level?

In message , Gavin Staples
writes


"Will" wrote in message
...

================================================== ==================
This posting expresses the personal view and opinions of the author.
Something which everyone on this planet should be able to do.
================================================== ==================

All, this is a very serious post.

Just had a look at all the available information this morning and it seems

to me
that the UK is *potentially* in for quite a severe spell of weather this

coming
week with the possibility of loss of life, damage to property and some
disruption.

The low on Monday will give heavy rain in England and Wales and could

cause
flooding. Track is important for associated gales, but a track slightly

further
north than the Met Office expects could bring severe gales or storm force

winds
to larger areas of southern England. Atrocious conditions are likely in

the
Channel anyway with a high swell and severe gales or storms. Another low

on
Tuesday could be just as nasty with a short spell of very strong winds and

snip


Thanks very much Will. I have just had a look at the latest news on this
such as I have been able to obtain. Obviously with depressions moving at
this rate we do not know exactly what we will get until about 12 hours
before. It looks like a repeat of October 2002 from what I can gather. I
wonder what others think. I reckon we will get a bit of a hammering in
Cambridgeshire.
Thanks again for the severe weather warning and it would be good if
others on this newsgroup can keep a check on the latest news that they can
obtain, and then post them on this ng.


Just a thought, my rusty Day Skipper (shorebased) mentioned that low
atmospheric pressure could allow the sea level to rise materially.


The tides for Monday/Tuesday look like Springs. Full moon tonight.
Forecasts from Admiralty : UKHO. Some East Anglian ports:


Port Maximum Height (M) Day

Kings Lynn 6.4 Sunday-Monday
Southwold 2.4 Sunday-Thursday
Osea Island 5.2 Today-Sunday
Lowestoft 2.5 Today-Wednesday.



http://www.ukho.gov.uk/tideprediction.cfm

From memory, a low over the North Sea is reported as contributing to the
1953 flooding.

Does depend on the timing and track of the lows, of course, but has
someone better informed and more numerate than myself any better idea of
what might me expected from this effect this week?

--
Peter Thomas