In message , Joe Hunt
writes

"Norman Lynagh" wrote in message
...

|
| Martin.
|
| It's a fascinating conundrum. The models handle the broadscale well in
| these situations but the detail much less well. As ever, it's the detail
| that really matters.
|
| The 06z run of the GFS is predicting nothing stronger than a mean speed
| of 20 knots for this location on Monday. We shall see
|
| Norman.
| (delete "thisbit" twice to reply)

Hi Norman,

The ECM has certainly put the spanner in the works -

Joe

The 12z GFS run gives mean winds only up to 17 knots on Monday for this
location. It's all on a bit of a knife edge.

Norman.
(delete "thisbit" twice to reply)
--
Norman Lynagh Weather Consultancy
Chalfont St Giles
England