Thread: Monday.....
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Old January 11th 04, 09:38 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
Will Will is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Jul 2003
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Default Monday.....


Martin Rowley wrote in message ...

"SarahH" wrote in message
...


Thanks! I was wondering exactly which one 'cos there seems to be a
little line of lows. Its about time I did some proper reading and
learned for myself......


... it's not a daft question this: the problem will be to pick out the
*significant* development from the 'runners' (the ones that don't cross
to the cold side of the jet and develop sharply). The situation this
morning still looks a mess
( see: http://www.weather.org.uk/charts/UKCpf000.gif .. all those
'wiggly bits' south of Newfoundland - which one is the 'fat lady'?)

and the 'window' of uncertainty is open as wide as it could be! I think
Bob Prichard got it about as right as possible this morning (on Radio 5)
when he went more for the rain, but also saying that the nearer to the
English Channel you were, the more likely to have to worry about wind -
and of course it's pretty lively now in some places as regards wind.
(And in north coastal France & the Channel Islands, the strength of the
wind almost certainly will be uppermost; indeed, have just looked at the
latest Arpege output on MF site, and at VT 12/1200Z, there is a 60kn
arrow (mean wind) slap-bang in area Wight, with a discrete area of dark
red (55kn upwards in the central Channel), so the 'watch' for the
broader English Channel (including the south English coastal areas east
of roughly Start Point) is still valid.

For those that don't know, you can keep an eye on the Buoy data at the
following link (click on the appropriate sub-map for either the UK or
French sectors)

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/

Martin.



Thanks Martin, it's going to be a very close run thing for me up at 1000 feet.
70 mph I can cope with as that is not unusual in these parts, but 90-100 mph
that could cause damage. Fortunately the land rises to the west of my house so
unless there is a rotor (unlikely) I should still have a roof tomorrow,
hopefully.

Ah well I did choose to live up here !

Will.
--

" A cup is most useful when empty "
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