Indeed Will, Sat Imagery during the day has always looked much more
"angry"
than the relatively tame 12Z output. There were very few ship obs in the
region at midday and this may have undely affected the models.
I notice that on a sequence of hourly WV images that a marked dry slot is
now appearing in the region of the left exit, very near the "suggested"
centre ... meaning more rapid cyclogenesis may be appearing.

Hi Paul,
It's a pity we still do not have the line of weather ships that used to be
stationed in the Atlantic. I'm sure there used to be one at 50N 20W which
would have assisted the forecasted track of tomorrows low,
best regards,
Alan

--
Wirral, Merseyside. 53.2N 3.0W 40m amsl
http://www.wirralcam.com/