"Gavin Staples" wrote in message
...

"Phil Layton" wrote in message
...
Looks as though the forecast Storm is now going to slip along the
Channel
at
985mbs and be gone by early afternoon.

Tomorrows Low may well bring us more wind!

I'm off to encounter the cones on the M25.. See you later

Phil



I was about to say the same. Where is it? I had my suspicions when the
temperature kept falling last night. This is too cold for a hefty gale. I
gather it has slipped further south than expected.
In Cambs it is calm, grey, the occasional light rain and just 5C.

Gavin.
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I think that the Met Office would be well served if it did a thorough
investigation into why the GFS model got this one essentially correct, and
the Bracknell model was so far off track. They should both have used the
same data base, with the same inaccuracies and gaps. Is the problem in the
model formulation, or is it being 'fine tuned' by human intervention still?
Could it be that some essential observations are being ignored or rejected
by the Met Office model? Perhaps if less money was spent on ensembles, which
have very limited application in the real world, and more on improving the
observational network, we may see some improvement.

--
Bernard Burton
Wokingham, Berkshire, UK.


Satellite images at:
www.btinternet.com/~wokingham.weather/wwp.html