View Single Post
  #3   Report Post  
Old January 12th 04, 03:36 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Jon O'Rourke Jon O'Rourke is offline
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Jul 2003
Posts: 80
Default A bit of verification

"Andrew Bond" wrote in message
...

"Jon O'Rourke" wrote in message
...

LOL, no comment on the superb effort with the low to the east of Iceland

?!

Oops, sorry Jon, a fantastic forecast for the intensity and location of

the
low.


Not mine, but I'll pass on your congratulations. I'll also get that trough
over western Scotland removed at a later date :-)



snip I personally feel that around 5 years ago, the
UKMO model took a huge step backwards and has not recovered since, perhaps

I
am wrong with this.


The NWP index target was exceeded in 2002/2003
http://www.metoffice.com/corporate/a...rgets0203.html
and continues to do so


I simply feel that at the moment the GFS stands head and shoulders above

the
UKMO output, but that is a personal view and I would personally love to

see
the opposite being true.

But, like I said, what does the Met Office need in order to do this? I

feel
with all the cut-backs, closing of reporting stations etc,


We've got more reporting stations now than we ever had, many reporting at 10
minute intervals, yes many are automated but the quality is improving all
the time.

the situation is
likely to get worse before it gets better.


Well in my field (aviation) forecasting accuracy is at an all time high so I
beg to differ.

Cheers,
Jon.