
February 24th 05, 07:02 PM
posted to uk.sci.weather
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A cold Sunday in the South?
"Mike Tullett" wrote in message
...
On Thu, 24 Feb 2005 18:34:11 -0000, Phil Layton wrote in
In the few years I've been watching the ensemble charts I can't recall
anything quite like this: -13C at 850hPa as an ensemble mean:
http://64.246.48.81/pics/MT8_London_ens.png
There's precipitation around as well, which would add to the fun. I
suspect the BBC's 6s and 7s [for Sunday] might look a bit optomistic if
the GFS has its way!
Darren, I'm a little surprised at Sunday when you compare it to
http://129.13.102.67/wz/pics/brack3.gif
with the 528DM line across the UK - later in the week seems colder - but
for
us in the SE dosent look like much snow with a NWly.
It fits in quite well with the GFS prog for Sunday, though I find it hard
to believe we will see that depth of cold:
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn722.html
12Z EC ensemble data looked very similar. 510dam air digging in the east on
the finalised T+72 http://imkpc3.physik.uni-karlsruhe.de/pics/brack2.gif
not far off the GFS http://wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn723.html
Jon.
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