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Old January 23rd 04, 06:56 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Paul S Paul S is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Oct 2003
Posts: 13
Default Forecast update (23/01/04)

You never know Jim

don't give up hope til next week has passed !

Paul


"Jim Smith" wrote in message
...
I am in Bournemouth too.. and since passing my driving test in 1986, I

have
driven in snow on no more than three occasions.
Those occasions being Jan 1987, after the Valentines night fall of Feb 94,
and just before xmas 97 when they didnt grit the main road through
Colehill.. and I went down the hill sideways!

I have more than a suspicion that under this setup I will not be speaking

of
a fourth occasion over the next few days, barring a low up the channel
trying to move the cold air aside.

Jim

Bournemouth.


"Paul S" wrote in message
...
cheers Will, I'll keep my fingers crossed!

last time we had any snow worth writing home about here was about 10

years
ago now. Still also have fond memories of the winter of 78 - 79

we can only wait and see

Paul



"Will" wrote in message
...

I must admit Paul, you are not well placed for snow in Bournemouth in

this
situation.

At least it will get cold and brighter :-)

Perhaps later in the week or weekend another depression may be heading

towards
the SW.

Will.
--

Paul S wrote in message ...
Typical as always here in Bournemouth we will miss out !!


"Will" wrote in message
...


================================================== ==================
This posting expresses the personal view and opinions of the

author.
Something which everyone on this planet should be able to do.

================================================== ==================

As you know I rarely update forecasts on here, but in light of the

very
serious
forecast situation next week I have made an exception.

The "dire, doom and gloom" scenario now looks like a 60%

possibility.
On Sunday afternoon rain will reach the SW, quickly turning to

sleet
and
snow
above 200m this will then move steadily east across southern

England
during the
evening and night, possibly giving temporary blizzard conditions

above
300m. SE
England could well have problems Monday morning as northeasterlies

set
in
behind
the low. The Midlands and Wales could escape the heaviest

precipitation
but snow
showers will be draped around exposed coasts and hills.

The emphasis for the rest of the week remains for sub-zero maxes in

many
places
with heavy snow at times associated with slow moving upper

vortices.
Northern
and eastern areas are most at risk with potential for blocked roads

and
serious
skin-damaging wind chill in mountains where the north wind could

touch
gale. The
elderly and livestock are also at risk.

No sign of a thaw until next Saturday at the earliest and then I

suspect
it will
be a messy dirty affair with avalanche risk in mountains.

Looking further afield, as the very cold sub-516 DAM air floods

south
over
France and hits the warm waters of the Med there is the potential

for
violent
thunderstorms and catastrophic flooding in the south of France and

parts
of
northern Italy. The Alps could also see huge snowfalls and

attendant
avalanche
threat due to shear volume of snow.

Please take care next week.

Will.
--

" A cup is most useful when empty "



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A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017

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