"Brendan DJ Murphy" wrote in message
...
I am beginning to only trust GFS for 3 days at the most. Anything
more than that and they really
haven't got a clue.

--
.... don't just 'blame' the GFS: I think Philip Eden mentioned a couple
of days ago that the models were entering a period of what I would call:
'which-way-shall-we-fall' mode. There is a major change of long-wave
type about to be performed, and the slightest synoptic-scale 'wobble'
loaded onto the broader-scale change could kick it one way or another.
As you rightly say, best not to trust the detail (and perhaps the broad
thrust), beyond 3 or so days - an 'interesting' week coming up!

Martin.


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