Good morning Col.

Your point has been well taken here. And I agree with what you say. The forecast was in no way reliable. A good case for gloating on your part would only
have been fair. I was also in two minds whether to post your posting, as arranged, or leave it. Due to spring cleaning this weekend I've only now got back to
the forecast.

For some time I've been watching the results of previous forecasts and not been pleased with the outcome. The problem was the periods of stagnation due to
blocking situations. My forecasting method worked on the continued movement of day-to-day pressure situations. When a blocking occurred and stagnation set
in, my forecast didn't see it and continued merrily turning out day-to-day movements. I've been working on changes in the routine for some time and came up
with two systems which (I think) have solved the blocking problem. Naturally, I want the better of the two systems to show itself by experience. And that's
what I'm doing at the moment. Two forecasts of the daily charts have been running since the end of last month and I hope to have the new routine going
towards the end of April.

So Col, if you don't mind, I would like to redeem anything I might have had, by doing a new forecast with a similar type of support information. Perhaps
you could suggest a date and give me a chance to gloat.

Thanks for the interest, Col.

Cheers, Keith
PS. Don't know what happened to my previous posting. Lines must have got crossed.


Col schrieb:

I hesitated in posting this because I didn't want it to look like
I was gloating:

http://groups-beta.google.com/group/...lington&rnum=1

With regard to the Royal Wedding taking place yesterday (!)
You predicted warm southerlies, but in fact it was the opposite
with cold northerlies.

You live and learn, I guess

If there is any merit to your methods, I hope you find it.

Col
--
Bolton, Lancashire.
160m asl.
http://www.reddwarfer.btinternet.co.uk
http://www.reddwarfer.btinternet.co....rPictures.html