Met. Office Crying 'Woolf!' ?
Technically Mr Fish's comment there wont be a hurricane was true, it was not
a hurricane as the disturbance did not originate in the tropics. Hurricane
force winds yes were observed ie F12.
The Met office forecasts have grown in accuracy in the last decades. A one
day forecast given in 1960 is now as accurate as a 3day forecast in 2004.
Inshore water forecasts are diccicult to judge especially in anticyclonic
conditions when sea breezes form etc. Frontal features do however
complicate the matter but forecasts are improving!!!
James Eberlein
Department of Meteorology
University of Reading
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