Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for 12z on Sunday. Issued 0552z,
8/06/05.
The runs still show a largely settled outlook, although with a strong
blocking high near Iceland it looks like temperatures will be at or below
average for most areas.
ECMWF:
http://64.246.48.81/pics/Recm1201.gif
High pressure lies to the west, leading to northerlies and NE'lies. The high
builds and moves NE'wards at T+144, with NE'lies for most areas. The NE'lies
persist at T+168 as the high continues to build.
MetO:
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rukm1201.html
Northerlies and NNE'lies cover the UK due to a ridge to the west. The parent
high sinks SW'wards towards Iceland at T+144, with low pressure moving
SW'wards over Denmark. This leads to northerlies and NNW'lies across the UK.
GFS:
http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/pslv_frame.htm
A large high covers Iceland, resulting in northerlies for all. 850hPa
temperatures vary from -1C over much of southern England and Wales to +2C
over NE Scotland. The winds remain northerlies at T+144 as low pressure
moves SW'wards over the North Sea, followed by yet more northerlies on day
7. Day 8 sees northerlies and NE'lies as a ridge moves slowly eastwards
towards the UK. By day 9 high pressure covers Scotland, with easterlies and
NE'lies elsewhere. The high moves SE'wards and declines at T+240, allowing
southerlies to affect Northern Ireland and SW'lies for Scotland.
Ensembles:
http://217.160.75.104/pics/MT8_London_ens.png
The London ensembles show a prolonged cool, largely dry spell for London.
GEM:
http://www.meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html
The Canadian run places high pressure to the north, with a ridge to the west
of the UK. Northerlies and NE'lies cover the UK with more of the same at
T+144 as the high sinks SW'wards near Iceland.
GME/DWD:
http://www.wetter.com/home/img/sat/g...080000_120.gif
A ridge covers the UK, bringing easterlies and NE'lies. The winds become
northerlies and NE'lies for many areas at T+144 as low pressure moves
westwards over the North Sea.
JMA:
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rjma1201.html
Unavailable today.
NOGAPS:
http://wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rngp1201.gif
NOGAPS shows a high near Iceland at T+120 and T+144, with increasingly cool
northerlies and NE'lies across the UK.
KMA:
http://www.kma.go.kr/kma03/gif/g21nh_smsr_120.gif
The Korean run shows a high over the North Pole with several ridges
southwards - one of which lies to the north of the UK. The British Isles lie
under light and variable winds as another high lies to the south, with the
UK under a col.