Most of the weather lore was based around the people at the time liking
things to follow in 'proper' order, hence a warm January was deemed as
foreboding and not how 'it should be' and therefore something sinister was
at work, which usually meant that a cold spring would follow as a form of
recompense for the disorder.

This goes against findings by Lamb who found that in around 70% of the
instances, a warm winter is followed by a warm spring and so on until the
cycle gets 'broken'.
________________________
Nick G
Exe Valley, Devon
50 m amsl

"Michael Mcneil" wrote in message
news:dc545d140c4aaae1feddb6b12a0b994e.45219@mygate .mailgate.org...
"Waghorn" wrote in message


A 30-35 day oscillation has been reported in the literature in
association
with N Atlantic sector blocking and retrogression of the jet,this may be
a
harmonic of a 70 day signal.

There is an history of inexplicable cycles in weatherlore too. It is
difficult to relate it to anything as regular as these things though.

This sort of thing. Somewhat unscientifically set out, as a mere
collection belying a total lack of research:

In Janiveer if the sun appear, March and April pay full dear.

January warm, the Lord have mercy!

[Because a premature growth of vegetation is liable to suffer severe
damage from spring frosts -Editor]

(I had thought the editor's comments unlikely. I'd thought it more
likely to be a reference to the prevalence of T.B. and influenza.)

While frost might damage the cross fertilisation process of some fruit
trees it isn't likely to do worse to any vegetation. I remember once a
hard frost took all the leaves off the conker trees where I used to
live. They soon grew back.)

A summerish January; a winterish spring.

If January calends be summery gay, it will be wintry weather until the
calends of May.

(Well that one was true enough.)

A January spring is worth nothing -Scotland.

A warm January, a cold May.

Not really illuminating but totally inexplicable (if true.)



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