"spu02je" wrote in message
...
Technically Mr Fish's comment there wont be a hurricane was true, it was
not
a hurricane as the disturbance did not originate in the tropics.
Hurricane
force winds yes were observed ie F12.

The Met office forecasts have grown in accuracy in the last decades. A
one
day forecast given in 1960 is now as accurate as a 3day forecast in 2004.
Inshore water forecasts are diccicult to judge especially in anticyclonic
conditions when sea breezes form etc. Frontal features do however
complicate the matter but forecasts are improving!!!

James Eberlein

Department of Meteorology

University of Reading

I didn't say they were't accurate, more that the interpretation was always
on the black side and alarmist. In any forecast there is a range of
probablilities, and I still think that when popularising their forecasts for
mass consumption they are going to the poorest end of probabaility rather
than the most probabale part of the range.