Hi David

The forecast soundings from the NMM are not great, but as a whole the CAPR
/LI charts are slightly more "believable" !!! TRouble is the model is
initialised using the GFS boundary data so make of that what you will !!


Cheers
Paul

"Waghorn" wrote in message
...

"PJB"
The GFS Cape calculations are highly unlikely to be correct. They are
based
on =highly fictictious= Dewpoint's of 23/24C tomorrow afternoon across
England. Highly unlikely to come off. Therefore CAPE and L.I
Calculations
will be in error.
.........................
TD of 18-19C (maybe 20) would be more realistic and extrapolating them
would
give more realistic CAPE values across England.

.................................................. ...........................
..................
Paul



How do you rate the NMM Paul?It's suggesting a much more realistic (IMO)
~750J/Kg tomorrow afternoon,

--
regards,
David

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