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Old February 1st 04, 01:39 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Ken Cook Ken Cook is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Jul 2003
Posts: 643
Default Recap on prediction

"Ian Currie" wrote in message
...
My Frosted Earth prediction [ Frosted Earth being the name of my house

among
other things] for January 2004 issued in November for the SE was:- A

milder
than average month with rainfall around 40% above average. Sunshine

average
or slightly above. Little frost.
Well my rainfall was 127% at 105.8mm and the temperature mean of 5C

was +1C
of 1979-2003 average so not too bad and the sunshine over the

penultimate
Weekend and on the last Wednesday and Thursday redeemed things. No, I

did
not predict the cold snap during last week but there were in general

only
slight frosts with 9 in total. I did say it would end mild which it

did.
The forecast for Feb 2004 issued last November is as follows: A very

mild
month especially first week. Rainfall a little above average. First

half
wetter than second half. Frost and fog much less than average.
It has started off well.
Incidentally March I am predicting as producing some cold winds and

snow
showers especially after the first week.


Hi, Ian,

Impressive! Do you rely solely on past years for your predictions or are
you using long range models as well?

Best wishes,

--
Ken Cook, Copley (5miles north of Barnard Castle), County Durham.
830ft
http://mysite.freeserve.com/copley
(MO climat. site updated before 10Z and 19Z daily)
kencookATcopleydurham.freeserve.co.uk


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