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This forecast summary is my *PERSONAL OPINION* of how the weather may unfold
next week. I will take no responsibility whatsoever for any actions arising from
its use. It is provided freely in the spirit of freedom and the great love for
meteorology that I personally enjoy and wish to share freely with others.

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Summary valid for Sunday 14/08/05 to Saturday 20/08/05
TOI (time of issue) Friday 12/08/05 1000 UK local time

This summary is based on a quick appraisal of the GFS, JMA, ECMWF, UKMO, FAX,
and ENS (NCEP ensemble) labelled charts available from the superb
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten

Confidence high for beginning of week then turning moderate but low for
thunderstorms in SW later.

After a cool and showery period in the east on Sunday the first half of next
week up to Wednesday looks like being dominated by high pressure in the south
and low pressure to the north. This means a predominantly west to southwest
airflow with light winds over England and Wales and stronger winds, moderate to
fresh over Scotland and northern Ireland. England and Wales mainly dry with
sunny periods and sea breezes and generally warm with temperatures into the 20s
Celsius. Scotland and northern Ireland will be more cloudy with a lot of dry
weather too but also spells of rain, most likely in northern Scotland where it
could be heavy at times. Temperatures above normal and rather warm at times.

From Wednesday onwards high pressure looks like dominating the whole of the
British Isles for a time, and with the winds turning into a more southerly
direction it will become warmer and perhaps hot in the south with temperatures
reaching the 30s Celsius. Meanwhile pressure will tend to fall to the southwest
later turning the winds into the southeast meaning some east coast areas will
turn cooler with the hottest weather transferring westwards. Also an increasing
risk (40%) of heavy thundertstorms with torrential downpours moving up from the
SW by the weekend. However, at this stage the emphasis should be on dry and fine
weather next week.


Will.
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A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet).

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www: http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk

DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal
and do not necessarily represent those of my employer.
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