Thread: Place your bets
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Old August 22nd 05, 10:06 PM posted to sci.environment,sci.geo.meteorology,uk.sci.weather
lawrence Jenkins lawrence Jenkins is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Jul 2003
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Default Place your bets


"James Annan" wrote in message
oups.com...
With reference to:

http://www.guardian.co.uk/uk_news/st...552092,00.html
http://www.nature.com/nature/journal...l/436897a.html

I'd like to invite those on both sides of the debate to offer whatever
bets they would be willing to make, either posted here or by email (see
sig). I'll try to act as a match-maker to set up individual agreements.

So far, a few people have said they are willing to weigh in on the
warming side, and Piers Corbyn has said (quoted in Nature) that he is
"happy to bet loads of money" (presumably on the sceptic side),
although I've not got any firm commitment out of him.

Of course, contributors are not limited to betting at evens for a
threshold of 0C temperature change. Just choose whatever you think is
an acceptable risk/return. However, while some people are confidently
predicting significant world cooling, and others a continued warming,
it is probably a plausible starting point.

Ideally, the money should be paid up-front and invested somewhere
sensible, but I think it's easier to rely on "gentleman's agreements"
for now. Maybe a proper market will be set up eventually, but it surely
won't be unless there is some evidence of interest in the first place.

James
--
James Annan
see web pages for email
http://www.ne.jp/asahi/julesandjames/home/
http://julesandjames.blogspot.com/



James I hope your not related to Koffi Annan.?


There are some strange links here, for instance Maurice Strong Senior
Advisor to the United Nations and a leading spokesperson on environmental
issues

http://www.iaed.org/books/strong.html

Has now been forced to resign over allegations of corruption and all sorts
of shennanigans with the Iraqi "Oil for food " Programme. It would seem that
Mr Strong a leading light on Kyoto has found it far too hot in the the
thieves kitchen.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/opinion/m.../16/do1602.xml

There are lot's of Annan's around at the moment and all seem to be linked to
the UN and via the UN to Global Warming and perhaps more tellingly to
corruption.

Now I've added up two plus two, you are a "Climate Expert", and it's evident
you have no time for the Global Warming dissidents-so are you one of the
Annan Clan?