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Old September 19th 05, 08:47 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Paul Bartlett Paul Bartlett is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Aug 2003
Posts: 264
Default And the forecast for this winter is. bitterly cold with heavy snow and power blackouts

In message , John Whitby
writes
Paul Bartlett wrote:
In message . com,
BlueLightning writes
Having now read the Telegraph article, yeah it smacks of fear/doom
mongering

Way OTT headline. I was looking for the reasons behind this, and the
only hint the telegraph article drops is:

"Considering we have had a run of fairly mild winters......."

Is that it?

I was told about the Sunday Telegraph report by a normally intelligent
friend. The Office was forecasting heavy snow throughout December!

I did not realise that the Office were daft enough to issue a forecast
for the winter this far ahead. On what do they base this prediction?
It seems so unlikely after so many mild winters.

We have in fact had a run of 'Mild' winters. With some very mild
spells.

Would someone like Will Hand be good enough to give me an explanation
why such a wild forecast has been issued so early?

What is the mechanism where the Office can be so mis-represented.
Unless of course they were serious which I doubt. Cheers
Paul


Puzzled by this change in the winter ' forecast'....only this morning I
was looking at this page...
http://www.meto.gov.uk/research/seas.../headline.html
I can only assume that later 'information' has resulted in the complete
reversal which appeared in some of the media this morning..and which
Paul Hudson featured on 'Look North' this evening.
John

John.
I couldn't get through to the URL. But I am still confused how an
intelligent and well educated layman can be lead into expecting a severe
winter. Via Telegraph from Office.
Seems weird to me.
Kind regards
Paul
--
'Wisest are they that know they do not know.' Socrates.
Paul Bartlett FRMetS
www.rutnet.co.uk Go to local weather