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Old September 19th 05, 08:54 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Paul Bartlett Paul Bartlett is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Aug 2003
Posts: 264
Default And the forecast for this winter is. bitterly cold with heavy snow and power blackouts

In message , Nick G
writes
Met office forecasting a colder then normal winter

http://www.portal.telegraph.co.uk/ne...ws/2005/09/18/
nchill18.xml&sSheet=/news/2005/09/18/ixnewstop.html
zaax


Sounds like complete guesswork nonsense and opportunistic journalism.

As Graham said recently, 80% chance this winter will be warmer than normal.
H. H. Lamb used the 7/10 rule, whatever the season before, the following
season will be similar in terms of temperature in 7/10 cases until the cycle
is broken.

Nick, seems sense to me. So why are the media floating this around?
OK to get attention -fine. But who in the Office gave them this reason
to promote such an unlikely forecast.
Cheers
Paul
--
'Wisest are they that know they do not know.' Socrates.
Paul Bartlett FRMetS
www.rutnet.co.uk Go to local weather