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Old September 27th 05, 12:27 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
BlueLightning BlueLightning is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Dec 2004
Posts: 663
Default Another classic!

Yep - one of those - if you touch the water, it might be wet comments.

A disclaimer should be made by anyone attempting to do a long range
forecast.

Some people out there seem rather confused. They seem to believe them
hook, line and sinker. All the media have to do is put out a bit of
doom-mongering, and people's tongues start waggling.

The atmosphere up there is 'chaotic'
There is no way, that even the most powerful models or computer system
can forecast with any accuracy the positions of Low and High pressure
way ahead into the future.
Those weather systems do not exist yet. All they can do is follow
trends

During complex situations (especially the rain/sleet/snow boundary area
during the winter months) we can see just how difficult it is to
forecast the next twenty four hours.

Why is it, that people seem so desperate to want to know what the
weather will be doing in four or five months time. I understand people
like aircraft pilots needing to know the weather in advance for
flights... but why invite idle speculation. We're heading into the
autumn / winter period, we'll find out soon enough !!

I think some people are being blinded by their strong wish for an
interesting winter / lots of snow, etc etc

For pete's sake, keep Critical and Rational thinking as a top priority.
It is essential