Ron Button wrote:

OK Graham ,what about this winter then ?


SST anomalies hint at more easterlies than usual but the pattern is too
feeble at the moment to bet on anything much out of the ordinary. With the
cold pool to the south of Newfoundland being so weak it could vanish before
the winter arrives.

I'm also bothered by the overall warmth of the North Atlantic. Are the SST
anomaly patterns that I saw used successfully thirty to forty years ago to
forecast pressure anomalies going to be valid in the current warm regime? I
think Paul Bartlett also made this point a while ago.

More runs are needed!

--
Graham Davis
Bracknell