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Old October 11th 05, 04:27 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Keith Dancey Keith Dancey is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Jul 2003
Posts: 318
Default Connection between hurricane frequency an

In article , "Will Hand" writes:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pastprofile.shtml

http://www.metoffice.com/research/ha...Annual/cet.gif

What's the relationship between the series ?


Nothing very strong, as far as I can see.


To my mind a cold snowy decade in the 60s followed a high hurricane frequency
decade the 50s,


True. But a much colder several decades centred around 1890 did not follow
any high frequency hurricane period centred around 1870. Is there any reason
why a "pattern" should break down there?



.. at some stage the hurricane frequency this century will decrease
and then what will happen to the winters ? Colder perhaps ?


Coincidence does not mean correlation. I know you know that:-)




OK *very loose* science, but to me just another part of the jigsaw.


I think we are in new territory, climate-wise. Time series correlations which
have held true over some part of recent history may simply begin to fall apart...



Cheers,

keith




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