Felly sgrifennodd Malcolm :
No, it won't be the same story as surely the probability of it happening
will have increased!

Maybe that was tongue-in-cheek, but just in case it wasn't, statistically
that argument is wrong. Of course, the press won't understand that.

Say I toss a coin 10 times, and each time it comes up tails. The chance of it
being heads next time is still 1 in 2.

Adrian
--
Adrian Shaw ais@
Adran Cyfrifiadureg, Prifysgol Cymru, aber.
Aberystwyth, Ceredigion, Cymru ac.
http://users.aber.ac.uk/ais uk