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Old October 20th 05, 03:40 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Adrian D. Shaw Adrian D. Shaw is offline
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Default BBC NEWS | UK | Met Office warns of bitter winter - yes it's the same story told slightly differently

Felly sgrifennodd Malcolm :
No, it won't be the same story as surely the probability of it happening
will have increased!


Maybe that was tongue-in-cheek, but just in case it wasn't, statistically
that argument is wrong. Of course, the press won't understand that.

Say I toss a coin 10 times, and each time it comes up tails. The chance of it
being heads next time is still 1 in 2.

Adrian
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