"Victor West" wrote in message
...

As of the 24th October (when they issued it) they were expecting a
fairly
high probability that this winter would be the coldest since 1995/96.
Whether that turns out to be correct or not we'll have to wait and see.

Victor

I've since discovered the NAO forecast and statements are based on a 56 year
period;
the NAO averaging values for the period 48/49 to 03/04.

It all makes sense now ;-)

Jon.