In message , Adrian D. Shaw
writes
Felly sgrifennodd BlueLightning :
Metcheck Winter Forecast Enclosed

You said that as if you meant to precede it by "Health warning: ".

Headline : Average to slightly above average temperatures. Drier than
average.

One might cynically say that they came up with this so that if the winter
is indeed not what the press seem to think the Met Office are forecasting,
they can claim one up on the Met Office.

And of course if it is cold, everyone will have forgotten their forecast
anyway.
To be fair Metcheck have published their methodology for once, of course
they are cashing in on the Met Office press misrepresentation. I don't
think they are being anything but sensible in doing this.
I have not put any work in yet and may not bother again this year unless
November is cold and wet.
From what little I have seen from the ecmwf seasonal progs Metcheck seem
to be on track.
But the Office are sticking to their guns - so the winter may be down to
normal.
Cheers
Paul
--
'Wisest are they that know they do not know.' Socrates.
Paul Bartlett FRMetS
www.rutnet.co.uk Go to local weather