You have to understand (and I'm sure you are fairly au fait with this)
- we are not dealing with an exact science. If I say it will be sunny
today what does that mean to people? Totally clear skies, little puffy
cumulus clouds, fair amount of cirrus etc. Most people cannot
understand the concept of showers - to them it's raining or not. When
it comes to showers, they are always difficult if not impossible to
predict for a particular location. I can say showers over SE England
and you know full well that some places will be dry all day and others
where there may be convergence could have almost non stop showers all
day. Am I wrong in my forecast? To the people who get wet they say it
was in the forecast and the ones who stay dry say - we were lucky to
miss the showers. So, be clear in your mind. Weather forecasting, on
the whole is very good for the big picture. When it comes to predicting
a shower in your location of say a square mile current computer models
are really not up to that kind of accuracy yet. I do agree that radio
and TV forecasters could do a lot better by at least giving a degree of
uncertainty in their forecasts if they really don't know. Please don't
think that it's just incompetence of forecasters - they really do try
their best to get it right and nobody has ever claimed that they are
perfect. Would you prefer a world where there are no forecasts and
every day you wake up having absolutely no idea what the weather will
do today. Be fair, on the whole the forecasts are pretty good and it is
very rare that the forecast is totally wrong.