"Lawrence Jenkins" wrote in message
...
GFS getting it's knickers in a twist - what do you think ?



Lawrence I do not see any reason to change my forecast. Last few runs of GFS I
think were mis-handling "epsilon", dragging it into the flow as an elongated
trough just did not look right to me. ECMWF and UKMO both largely kept it out of
the mid-latitude circulation and I notice that the 12Z ECMWF is now building
pressure over the UK linking it to the Scandinavian high (see www.ecmwf.int) ,
much like the "pre-epsilon" GFS a couple of days ago. The balance is in favour
of a blocking pattern with high pressure slowly becoming established around the
UK, how much of an easterly develops in the south is still very much open to
question but the moderate possibility is still there in my view.

Will.
--

" Ah yet another day to enjoy "
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